Industrial - Distribution
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
FERG vs WSO vs GWW vs MSM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Industrial - Distribution
Industrial - Distribution
Industrial - Distribution
FERG vs WSO vs GWW vs MSM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Distribution | Industrial - Distribution | Industrial - Distribution | Industrial - Distribution |
| Market Cap | $48.02B | $17.45B | $58.41B | $5.82B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $31.63B | $7.24B | $18.38B | $3.81B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.07B | $496M | $1.78B | $205M |
| Gross Margin | 30.7% | 28.4% | 39.2% | 40.7% |
| Operating Margin | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 8.4% |
| Forward P/E | 22.1x | 34.0x | 28.3x | 24.0x |
| Total Debt | $5.97B | $479M | $3.16B | $539M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $674M | $433M | $585M | $56M |
FERG vs WSO vs GWW vs MSM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferguson plc (FERG) | 100 | 311.3 | +211.3% |
| Watsco, Inc. (WSO) | 100 | 241.3 | +141.3% |
| W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) | 100 | 398.6 | +298.6% |
| MSC Industrial Dire… (MSM) | 100 | 150.4 | +50.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FERG vs WSO vs GWW vs MSM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FERG is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value and momentum is your priority.
- Lower P/E (22.1x vs 34.0x), PEG 1.30 vs 2.88
- +48.6% vs WSO's -6.0%
WSO is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.10, Low D/E 14.9%, current ratio 4.12x
GWW carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.5%, EPS growth -8.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.6%
- 463.0% 10Y total return vs FERG's 373.2%
- PEG 1.27 vs WSO's 2.88
- 4.5% revenue growth vs WSO's -5.0%
MSM is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 0.86, yield 3.3%
- Beta 0.86, yield 3.3%, current ratio 1.68x
- Beta 0.86 vs FERG's 1.24, lower leverage
- 3.3% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs GWW's 0.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.5% revenue growth vs WSO's -5.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (22.1x vs 34.0x), PEG 1.30 vs 2.88 | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.7% margin vs MSM's 5.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.86 vs FERG's 1.24, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.3% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs GWW's 0.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +48.6% vs WSO's -6.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 19.7% ROA vs MSM's 8.2%, ROIC 32.1% vs 12.3% |
FERG vs WSO vs GWW vs MSM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
FERG vs WSO vs GWW vs MSM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
GWW leads in 3 of 6 categories
MSM leads 2 • FERG leads 0 • WSO leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GWW leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FERG is the larger business by revenue, generating $31.6B annually — 8.3x MSM's $3.8B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 9.7% (GWW) to 5.4% (MSM). On growth, GWW holds the edge at +10.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $31.6B | $7.2B | $18.4B | $3.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.3B | $757M | $2.8B | $414M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.1B | $496M | $1.8B | $205M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.0B | $702M | $1.4B | $167M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +30.7% | +28.4% | +39.2% | +40.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +9.2% | +9.8% | +14.2% | +8.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.6% | +6.8% | +9.7% | +5.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | +9.7% | +7.5% | +4.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.0% | +0.1% | +10.1% | +4.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.9% | -3.1% | +18.2% | +12.0% |
Valuation Metrics
MSM leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 26.5x trailing earnings, FERG trades at a 25% valuation discount to WSO's 35.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), FERG offers better value at 1.55x vs WSO's 2.97x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $48.0B | $17.5B | $58.4B | $5.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $53.3B | $17.5B | $61.0B | $6.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 26.45x | 35.04x | 34.86x | 29.22x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.12x | 34.05x | 28.29x | 23.99x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.55x | 2.97x | 1.56x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 17.90x | 23.76x | 20.71x | 15.61x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.56x | 2.41x | 3.26x | 1.54x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.42x | 5.05x | 14.30x | 4.17x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 29.96x | 32.59x | 43.88x | 24.17x |
Profitability & Efficiency
GWW leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GWW delivers a 43.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $43 in annual profit, vs $15 for MSM. WSO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.15x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FERG's 1.02x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GWW scores 8/9 vs MSM's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +35.1% | +15.3% | +43.1% | +14.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +11.8% | +10.8% | +19.7% | +8.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +18.0% | +16.6% | +32.1% | +12.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +22.6% | +19.0% | +39.7% | +17.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.02x | 0.15x | 0.76x | 0.39x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.3B | $46M | $2.6B | $483M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $674M | $433M | $585M | $56M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.0B | $479M | $3.2B | $539M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 15.59x | — | 22.63x | 12.56x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GWW leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GWW five years ago would be worth $27,320 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $12,874 for MSM. Over the past 12 months, FERG leads with a +48.6% total return vs WSO's -6.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GWW at 22.8% vs MSM's 8.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +10.4% | +25.4% | +23.2% | +23.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +48.6% | -6.0% | +19.1% | +43.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +82.0% | +37.6% | +85.3% | +26.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.7% | +59.8% | +173.2% | +28.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +373.2% | +281.5% | +463.0% | +87.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +22.1% | +11.2% | +22.8% | +8.0% |
Risk & Volatility
MSM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MSM is the less volatile stock with a 0.86 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FERG's 1.24 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSM currently trades 97.4% from its 52-week high vs WSO's 86.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.24x | 1.10x | 0.89x | 0.86x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $271.64 | $496.25 | $1286.56 | $107.09 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $166.04 | $323.05 | $906.52 | $74.30 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +90.8% | +86.5% | +95.9% | +97.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.1 | 56.2 | 58.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 452K | 239K | 604K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — GWW and MSM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: FERG as "Buy", WSO as "Hold", GWW as "Hold", MSM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 9.9% upside for FERG (target: $271) vs -6.9% for WSO (target: $400). For income investors, MSM offers the higher dividend yield at 3.25% vs GWW's 0.79%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $271.00 | $399.80 | $1157.43 | $97.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 14 | 26 | 38 | 28 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.0% | +2.9% | +0.8% | +3.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 12 | 37 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.45 | $12.50 | $9.73 | $3.39 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.0% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +0.7% |
GWW leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MSM leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
FERG vs WSO vs GWW vs MSM: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FERG or WSO or GWW or MSM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, W.
W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) is the stronger pick with 4. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 0% for Watsco, Inc. (WSO). Ferguson plc (FERG) offers the better valuation at 26. 5x trailing P/E (22. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ferguson plc (FERG) a "Buy" — based on 14 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FERG or WSO or GWW or MSM?
On trailing P/E, Ferguson plc (FERG) is the cheapest at 26.
5x versus Watsco, Inc. at 35. 0x. On forward P/E, Ferguson plc is actually cheaper at 22. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: W. W. Grainger, Inc. wins at 1. 27x versus Watsco, Inc. 's 2. 88x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FERG or WSO or GWW or MSM?
Over the past 5 years, W.
W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) delivered a total return of +173. 2%, compared to +28. 7% for MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc. (MSM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GWW returned +463. 0% versus MSM's +87. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FERG or WSO or GWW or MSM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), MSC Industrial Direct Co.
, Inc. (MSM) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 86β versus Ferguson plc's 1. 24β — meaning FERG is approximately 44% more volatile than MSM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Watsco, Inc. (WSO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 15% versus 102% for Ferguson plc — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FERG or WSO or GWW or MSM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), W.
W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) is pulling ahead at 4. 5% versus -5. 0% for Watsco, Inc. (WSO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Ferguson plc grew EPS 9. 3% year-over-year, compared to -22. 1% for MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GWW leads at 5. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FERG or WSO or GWW or MSM?
W.
W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 5% net margin versus 5. 3% for MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GWW leads at 15. 0% versus 8. 3% for MSM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MSM leads at 40. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FERG or WSO or GWW or MSM more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, W. W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 27x versus Watsco, Inc. 's 2. 88x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Ferguson plc (FERG) trades at 22. 1x forward P/E versus 34. 0x for Watsco, Inc. — 11. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FERG: 9. 9% to $271. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FERG or WSO or GWW or MSM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
MSC Industrial Direct Co. , Inc. (MSM) offers the highest yield at 3. 3%, versus 0. 8% for W. W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW).
09Is FERG or WSO or GWW or MSM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, W.
W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 89), 0. 8% yield, +463. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GWW: +463. 0%, FERG: +373. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FERG and WSO and GWW and MSM?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FERG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; WSO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; GWW is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; MSM is a small-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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