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Stock Comparison

FLY vs SPCE

Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.

Live fundamentals10-year financials5-year price chart
FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.

Aerospace & Defense

IndustrialsNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$5.19B
5Y Perf.-11.7%
SPCE
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

Aerospace & Defense

IndustrialsNYSE • US
Market Cap$158M
5Y Perf.-63.6%

FLY vs SPCE — Key Financials

Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.

Company Snapshot
FLY logoFLY
SPCE logoSPCE
IndustryAerospace & DefenseAerospace & Defense
Market Cap$5.19B$158M
Revenue (TTM)$185M$2M
Net Income (TTM)$-335M$-293M
Gross Margin21.7%-46.5%
Operating Margin-153.5%-183.1%
Total Debt$309M$420M
Cash & Equiv.$793M$179M

Quick Verdict: FLY vs SPCE

Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.

Bottom line: FLY leads in 4 of 6 categories, making it the strongest pick for growth and revenue expansion and profitability and margin quality. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. is the stronger pick specifically for capital preservation and lower volatility and recent price momentum and sentiment. As sector peers, any of these can serve as alternatives in the same allocation.
FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
The Growth Play

FLY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.

  • Rev growth 163.0%, EPS growth -161.0%
  • -46.4% 10Y total return vs SPCE's -98.8%
  • Lower volatility, beta 2.73, Low D/E 25.9%, current ratio 4.51x
Best for: growth exposure and long-term compounding
SPCE
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.
The Income Pick

SPCE is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.

  • beta 1.91
  • Beta 1.91, current ratio 4.19x
  • Beta 1.91 vs FLY's 2.73
Best for: income & stability and defensive
See the full category breakdown
CategoryWinnerWhy
GrowthFLY logoFLY163.0% revenue growth vs SPCE's 3.5%
Quality / MarginsFLY logoFLY-181.1% margin vs SPCE's -176.2%
Stability / SafetySPCE logoSPCEBeta 1.91 vs FLY's 2.73
DividendsFLY logoFLY0.2% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend
Momentum (1Y)SPCE logoSPCE-12.1% vs FLY's -46.4%
Efficiency (ROA)FLY logoFLY-26.6% ROA vs SPCE's -34.3%, ROIC -26.2% vs -42.0%

FLY vs SPCE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment

How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units

FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.
FY 2025
Spacecraft Solutions Revenue
62.8%$131M
Launch Revenue
37.2%$78M
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.
FY 2020
Technology Service
100.0%$200,000
Spaceflight Operations
0.0%$0
Sponsorship Revenue
0.0%$0

FLY vs SPCE — Financial Metrics

Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.

BEST OVERALLFLYLAGGINGSPCE

Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)

FLY leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.

FLY is the larger business by revenue, generating $185M annually — 111.3x SPCE's $2M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -181.1% (FLY) to -176.2% (SPCE). On growth, FLY holds the edge at +44.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.

MetricFLY logoFLYFirefly Aerospace…SPCE logoSPCEVirgin Galactic H…
RevenueTrailing 12 months$185M$2M
EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax-$263M-$287M
Net IncomeAfter-tax profit-$335M-$293M
Free Cash FlowCash after capex-$257M-$460M
Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue+21.7%-46.5%
Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue-153.5%-183.1%
Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue-181.1%-176.2%
FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue-139.3%-277.1%
Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year+44.8%-9.2%
EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year-21.2%+59.0%
FLY leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.

Valuation Metrics

SPCE leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
MetricFLY logoFLYFirefly Aerospace…SPCE logoSPCEVirgin Galactic H…
Market CapShares × price$5.2B$158M
Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash$4.7B$400M
Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS-6.70x-0.18x
Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est.
PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate
EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple
Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue32.44x22.49x
Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share1.88x0.19x
Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF
SPCE leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.

Profitability & Efficiency

FLY leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.

FLY delivers a -57.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-58 in annual profit, vs $-130 for SPCE. FLY carries lower financial leverage with a 0.26x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SPCE's 1.30x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), FLY scores 6/9 vs SPCE's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.

MetricFLY logoFLYFirefly Aerospace…SPCE logoSPCEVirgin Galactic H…
ROE (TTM)Return on equity-57.6%-129.5%
ROA (TTM)Return on assets-26.6%-34.3%
ROICReturn on invested capital-26.2%-42.0%
ROCEReturn on capital employed-26.8%-41.7%
Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–962
Debt / EquityFinancial leverage0.26x1.30x
Net DebtTotal debt minus cash-$484M$242M
Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets$793M$179M
Total DebtShort + long-term debt$309M$420M
Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense-36.78x-21.56x
FLY leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.

Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)

FLY leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.

A $10,000 investment in FLY five years ago would be worth $5,362 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $64 for SPCE. Over the past 12 months, SPCE leads with a -12.1% total return vs FLY's -46.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FLY at -18.8% vs SPCE's -68.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.

MetricFLY logoFLYFirefly Aerospace…SPCE logoSPCEVirgin Galactic H…
YTD ReturnYear-to-date+36.2%-23.9%
1-Year ReturnPast 12 months-46.4%-12.1%
3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-46.4%-96.9%
5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-46.4%-99.4%
10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-46.4%-98.8%
CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return-18.8%-68.7%
FLY leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.

Risk & Volatility

Evenly matched — FLY and SPCE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.

SPCE is the less volatile stock with a 1.91 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FLY's 2.73 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FLY currently trades 43.8% from its 52-week high vs SPCE's 37.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.

MetricFLY logoFLYFirefly Aerospace…SPCE logoSPCEVirgin Galactic H…
Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 5002.73x1.91x
52-Week HighHighest price in past year$73.80$6.64
52-Week LowLowest price in past year$16.00$2.13
% of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak+43.8%+37.7%
RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–10051.050.7
Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded5.9M6.1M
Evenly matched — FLY and SPCE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.

Analyst Outlook

Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.

Wall Street rates FLY as "Buy" and SPCE as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 22.1% upside for FLY (target: $40) vs 5.8% for SPCE (target: $3). FLY is the only dividend payer here at 0.22% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.

MetricFLY logoFLYFirefly Aerospace…SPCE logoSPCEVirgin Galactic H…
Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sellBuyHold
Price TargetConsensus 12-month target$39.50$2.65
# AnalystsCovering analysts717
Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price+0.2%
Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises1
Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS$0.07
Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap0.0%0.0%
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Key Takeaway

FLY leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SPCE leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.

Best OverallFirefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY)Leads 3 of 6 categories
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FLY vs SPCE: Frequently Asked Questions

8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily

01

Is FLY or SPCE a better buy right now?

For growth investors, Firefly Aerospace Inc.

(FLY) is the stronger pick with 163. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 5% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). Analysts rate Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) a "Buy" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

02

Which is the better long-term investment — FLY or SPCE?

Over the past 5 years, Firefly Aerospace Inc.

(FLY) delivered a total return of -46. 4%, compared to -99. 4% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FLY returned -46. 4% versus SPCE's -98. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

03

Which is safer — FLY or SPCE?

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

(SPCE) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 91β versus Firefly Aerospace Inc. 's 2. 73β — meaning FLY is approximately 43% more volatile than SPCE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 26% versus 130% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

04

Which is growing faster — FLY or SPCE?

By revenue growth (latest reported year), Firefly Aerospace Inc.

(FLY) is pulling ahead at 163. 0% versus 3. 5% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 53. 4% year-over-year, compared to -161. 0% for Firefly Aerospace Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

05

Which has better profit margins — FLY or SPCE?

Firefly Aerospace Inc.

(FLY) is the more profitable company, earning -186. 6% net margin versus -49. 3% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps -186. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FLY leads at -154. 3% versus -53. 5% for SPCE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FLY leads at 15. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

06

Which pays a better dividend — FLY or SPCE?

In this comparison, FLY (0.

2% yield) pays a dividend. SPCE does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.

07

Is FLY or SPCE better for a retirement portfolio?

For long-horizon retirement investors, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

(SPCE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) carries a higher beta of 2. 73 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SPCE: -98. 8%, FLY: -46. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

08

What are the main differences between FLY and SPCE?

Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

In terms of investment character: FLY is a small-cap high-growth stock; SPCE is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.

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FLY

High-Growth Disruptor

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  • Market Cap > $100B
  • Revenue Growth > 22%
  • Gross Margin > 13%
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  • Sector: Industrials
  • Market Cap > $100B
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