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FROG vs ESTC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Application
FROG vs ESTC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Software - Application |
| Market Cap | $6.52B | $5.18B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $532M | $1.68B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-72M | $-85M |
| Gross Margin | 76.7% | 76.0% |
| Operating Margin | -17.7% | -1.7% |
| Forward P/E | 59.9x | 19.4x |
| Total Debt | $19M | $595M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $77M | $728M |
FROG vs ESTC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| JFrog Ltd. (FROG) | 100 | 63.6 | -36.4% |
| Elastic N.V. (ESTC) | 100 | 45.5 | -54.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FROG vs ESTC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FROG is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 24.1%, EPS growth 1.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 23.8%
- -16.9% 10Y total return vs ESTC's -29.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.24, Low D/E 2.2%, current ratio 2.09x
ESTC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and defensive.
- beta 1.08
- Beta 1.08, current ratio 1.92x
- Lower P/E (19.4x vs 59.9x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 24.1% revenue growth vs ESTC's 17.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (19.4x vs 59.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | -5.0% margin vs FROG's -13.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.08 vs FROG's 1.24 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +56.5% vs ESTC's -40.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -3.5% ROA vs FROG's -5.8%, ROIC -5.2% vs -8.0% |
FROG vs ESTC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FROG vs ESTC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — FROG and ESTC each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ESTC is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.7B annually — 3.2x FROG's $532M. ESTC is the more profitable business, keeping -5.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FROG's -13.5%. On growth, FROG holds the edge at +25.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $532M | $1.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$69M | -$27M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$72M | -$85M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $142M | $257M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +76.7% | +76.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -17.7% | -1.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -13.5% | -5.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +26.8% | +15.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +25.2% | +17.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +38.1% | +143.8% |
Valuation Metrics
ESTC leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.5B | $5.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.5B | $5.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -86.79x | -47.22x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 59.88x | 19.45x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 12.26x | 3.49x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 7.05x | 5.49x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 45.82x | 19.80x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ESTC leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FROG delivers a -8.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-9 in annual profit, vs $-11 for ESTC. FROG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.02x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ESTC's 0.64x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ESTC scores 7/9 vs FROG's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -8.5% | -10.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -5.8% | -3.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -8.0% | -5.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -9.6% | -3.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.02x | 0.64x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$57M | -$133M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $77M | $728M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $19M | $595M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -2.17x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FROG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FROG five years ago would be worth $12,797 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,612 for ESTC. Over the past 12 months, FROG leads with a +56.5% total return vs ESTC's -40.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FROG at 35.8% vs ESTC's -5.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -9.7% | -32.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +56.5% | -40.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +150.6% | -14.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +28.0% | -53.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -16.9% | -29.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +35.8% | -5.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FROG and ESTC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ESTC is the less volatile stock with a 1.08 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FROG's 1.24 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FROG currently trades 76.4% from its 52-week high vs ESTC's 51.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.24x | 1.08x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $70.43 | $96.07 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $33.33 | $42.05 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +76.4% | +51.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 69.3 | 53.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.8M | 1.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FROG as "Buy" and ESTC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 71.8% upside for ESTC (target: $84) vs 27.7% for FROG (target: $69).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $68.71 | $84.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 22 | 34 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
ESTC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). FROG leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
FROG vs ESTC: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FROG or ESTC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, JFrog Ltd.
(FROG) is the stronger pick with 24. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 17. 0% for Elastic N. V. (ESTC). Analysts rate JFrog Ltd. (FROG) a "Buy" — based on 22 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — FROG or ESTC?
Over the past 5 years, JFrog Ltd.
(FROG) delivered a total return of +28. 0%, compared to -53. 9% for Elastic N. V. (ESTC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FROG returned -16. 9% versus ESTC's -29. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — FROG or ESTC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Elastic N.
V. (ESTC) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 08β versus JFrog Ltd. 's 1. 24β — meaning FROG is approximately 15% more volatile than ESTC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, JFrog Ltd. (FROG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 64% for Elastic N. V. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — FROG or ESTC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), JFrog Ltd.
(FROG) is pulling ahead at 24. 1% versus 17. 0% for Elastic N. V. (ESTC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: JFrog Ltd. grew EPS 1. 6% year-over-year, compared to -276. 3% for Elastic N. V.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FROG leads at 23. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — FROG or ESTC?
Elastic N.
V. (ESTC) is the more profitable company, earning -7. 3% net margin versus -13. 5% for JFrog Ltd. — meaning it keeps -7. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ESTC leads at -3. 7% versus -15. 7% for FROG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FROG leads at 76. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is FROG or ESTC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Elastic N.
V. (ESTC) trades at 19. 4x forward P/E versus 59. 9x for JFrog Ltd. — 40. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ESTC: 71. 8% to $84. 38.
07Which pays a better dividend — FROG or ESTC?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is FROG or ESTC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Elastic N.
V. (ESTC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 08)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ESTC: -29. 8%, FROG: -16. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between FROG and ESTC?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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