Industrial - Pollution & Treatment Controls
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FSS vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
FSS vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Pollution & Treatment Controls | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $7.60B | $431.16B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.34B | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $271M | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 28.4% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | 16.7% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 26.0x | 40.1x |
| Total Debt | $595M | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $64M | $9.98B |
FSS vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Signal Corp… (FSS) | 100 | 427.7 | +327.7% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 771.4 | +671.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FSS vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FSS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 1.20, yield 0.4%
- Rev growth 17.1%, EPS growth 14.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 15.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.20, Low D/E 43.0%, current ratio 3.02x
CAT is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 12.2% 10Y total return vs FSS's 8.9%
- 13.3% margin vs FSS's 11.6%
- +190.7% vs FSS's +43.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 17.1% revenue growth vs CAT's 4.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (26.0x vs 40.1x), PEG 1.25 vs 1.43 | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.3% margin vs FSS's 11.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.20 vs CAT's 1.54, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.4% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs CAT's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +190.7% vs FSS's +43.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 12.4% ROA vs CAT's 10.0%, ROIC 16.4% vs 15.9% |
FSS vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FSS vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — FSS and CAT each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 30.2x FSS's $2.3B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 13.3% (CAT) to 11.6% (FSS). On growth, FSS holds the edge at +34.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.3B | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $477M | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $271M | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $291M | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +28.4% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +16.7% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +11.6% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.4% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +34.9% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +52.0% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
FSS leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 31.1x trailing earnings, FSS trades at a 37% valuation discount to CAT's 49.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), FSS offers better value at 1.50x vs CAT's 1.75x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $7.6B | $431.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8.1B | $464.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 31.08x | 49.21x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 26.04x | 40.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.50x | 1.75x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 18.59x | 34.48x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.49x | 6.38x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 5.55x | 20.39x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 33.47x | 41.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
FSS leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $20 for FSS. FSS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.43x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +20.1% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +12.4% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +16.4% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +19.6% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.43x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $531M | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $64M | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $595M | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 20.81x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAT five years ago would be worth $40,189 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $29,592 for FSS. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +190.7% total return vs FSS's +43.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 63.8% vs FSS's 33.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +12.0% | +55.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +43.4% | +190.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +138.0% | +339.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +195.9% | +301.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +887.4% | +1223.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +33.5% | +63.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FSS and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
FSS is the less volatile stock with a 1.20 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAT's 1.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAT currently trades 99.6% from its 52-week high vs FSS's 93.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.20x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $132.89 | $930.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $85.53 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.8% | +99.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.0 | 73.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 494K | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — FSS and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FSS as "Buy" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 12.3% upside for FSS (target: $140) vs -11.0% for CAT (target: $825). For income investors, CAT offers the higher dividend yield at 0.63% vs FSS's 0.44%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $140.00 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 11 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.4% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.55 | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.5% | +1.2% |
FSS leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). CAT leads in 1 (Total Returns). 3 tied.
FSS vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FSS or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) is the stronger pick with 17.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 3% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) offers the better valuation at 31. 1x trailing P/E (26. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) a "Buy" — based on 11 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FSS or CAT?
On trailing P/E, Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) is the cheapest at 31.
1x versus Caterpillar Inc. at 49. 2x. On forward P/E, Federal Signal Corporation is actually cheaper at 26. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Federal Signal Corporation wins at 1. 25x versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 43x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FSS or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) delivered a total return of +301. 9%, compared to +195. 9% for Federal Signal Corporation (FSS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1223% versus FSS's +887. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FSS or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
20β versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 54β — meaning CAT is approximately 28% more volatile than FSS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 43% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FSS or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) is pulling ahead at 17.
1% versus 4. 3% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Federal Signal Corporation grew EPS 14. 6% year-over-year, compared to -14. 6% for Caterpillar Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FSS leads at 15. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FSS or CAT?
Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 1% net margin versus 11. 3% for Federal Signal Corporation — meaning it keeps 13. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAT leads at 16. 6% versus 16. 4% for FSS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAT leads at 32. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FSS or CAT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 25x versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 43x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) trades at 26. 0x forward P/E versus 40. 1x for Caterpillar Inc. — 14. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FSS: 12. 3% to $140. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FSS or CAT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) offers the highest yield at 0. 6%, versus 0. 4% for Federal Signal Corporation (FSS).
09Is FSS or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +1223% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAT: +1223%, FSS: +887. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FSS and CAT?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FSS is a small-cap high-growth stock; CAT is a large-cap quality compounder stock. CAT pays a dividend while FSS does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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