Restaurants
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FWRG vs DENN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
FWRG vs DENN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $750M | $322M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.27B | $457M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $18M | $10M |
| Gross Margin | 35.1% | 43.8% |
| Operating Margin | 2.2% | 8.4% |
| Forward P/E | 61.8x | 15.0x |
| Total Debt | $740M | $408M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $21M | $2M |
FWRG vs DENN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Watch Restaur… (FWRG) | 100 | 56.4 | -43.6% |
| Denny's Corporation (DENN) | 100 | 39.1 | -60.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FWRG vs DENN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FWRG is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 20.3%, EPS growth 3.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 18.7%
- 20.3% revenue growth vs DENN's -2.5%
DENN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.65
- -41.7% 10Y total return vs FWRG's -45.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.65, current ratio 0.42x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.3% revenue growth vs DENN's -2.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.0x vs 61.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.2% margin vs FWRG's 1.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.65 vs FWRG's 1.59 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +59.8% vs FWRG's -20.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.0% ROA vs FWRG's 1.0%, ROIC 9.7% vs 1.9% |
FWRG vs DENN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FWRG vs DENN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DENN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FWRG is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.3B annually — 2.8x DENN's $457M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 2.2% (DENN) to 1.4% (FWRG). On growth, FWRG holds the edge at +17.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.3B | $457M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $108M | $55M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $18M | $10M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$9M | $2M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +35.1% | +43.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.2% | +8.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.4% | +2.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.7% | +0.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +17.3% | +1.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -194.1% | -89.9% |
Valuation Metrics
DENN leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.2x trailing earnings, DENN trades at a 61% valuation discount to FWRG's 39.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, DENN's 12.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than FWRG's 13.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $750M | $322M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.5B | $728M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 39.26x | 15.24x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 61.84x | 15.02x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.50x | 12.10x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.61x | 0.71x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.22x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 350.62x |
Profitability & Efficiency
DENN leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), DENN scores 7/9 vs FWRG's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +2.9% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.0% | +2.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.9% | +9.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.3% | +11.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.18x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $718M | $406M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $21M | $2M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $740M | $408M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.15x | 1.73x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — FWRG and DENN each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FWRG five years ago would be worth $5,499 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,551 for DENN. Over the past 12 months, DENN leads with a +59.8% total return vs FWRG's -20.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FWRG at -10.2% vs DENN's -16.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -20.8% | +0.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -20.6% | +59.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.6% | -41.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.0% | -64.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.0% | -41.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -10.2% | -16.3% |
Risk & Volatility
DENN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DENN is the less volatile stock with a 0.65 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FWRG's 1.59 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. DENN currently trades 99.8% from its 52-week high vs FWRG's 62.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.59x | 0.65x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.53 | $6.26 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.10 | $3.36 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +62.3% | +99.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.6 | 66.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.7M | 0 |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FWRG as "Buy" and DENN as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 56.1% upside for FWRG (target: $19) vs -4.0% for DENN (target: $6).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $19.00 | $6.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 15 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +3.6% |
DENN leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics. 1 category is tied.
FWRG vs DENN: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FWRG or DENN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
(FWRG) is the stronger pick with 20. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 5% for Denny's Corporation (DENN). Denny's Corporation (DENN) offers the better valuation at 15. 2x trailing P/E (15. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) a "Buy" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FWRG or DENN?
On trailing P/E, Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the cheapest at 15.
2x versus First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. at 39. 3x. On forward P/E, Denny's Corporation is actually cheaper at 15. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FWRG or DENN?
Over the past 5 years, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
(FWRG) delivered a total return of -45. 0%, compared to -64. 5% for Denny's Corporation (DENN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: DENN returned -41. 7% versus FWRG's -45. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FWRG or DENN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
65β versus First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. 's 1. 59β — meaning FWRG is approximately 143% more volatile than DENN relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — FWRG or DENN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
(FWRG) is pulling ahead at 20. 3% versus -2. 5% for Denny's Corporation (DENN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Denny's Corporation grew EPS 17. 1% year-over-year, compared to 3. 3% for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRG leads at 18. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FWRG or DENN?
Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the more profitable company, earning 4.
8% net margin versus 1. 6% for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 4. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DENN leads at 10. 0% versus 2. 8% for FWRG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — DENN leads at 73. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FWRG or DENN more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Denny's Corporation (DENN) trades at 15.
0x forward P/E versus 61. 8x for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. — 46. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FWRG: 56. 1% to $19. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FWRG or DENN?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is FWRG or DENN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
65)). First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) carries a higher beta of 1. 59 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (DENN: -41. 7%, FWRG: -45. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FWRG and DENN?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FWRG is a small-cap high-growth stock; DENN is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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