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FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT

Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.

Live fundamentals10-year financials5-year price chart
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

Restaurants

Consumer CyclicalNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$737M
5Y Perf.-44.6%
RRGB
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.

Restaurants

Consumer CyclicalNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$81M
5Y Perf.-81.5%
DENN
Denny's Corporation

Restaurants

Consumer CyclicalNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$322M
5Y Perf.-60.9%
CAKE
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

Restaurants

Consumer CyclicalNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$3.03B
5Y Perf.+49.6%
EAT
Brinker International, Inc.

Restaurants

Consumer CyclicalNYSE • US
Market Cap$6.27B
5Y Perf.+248.7%

FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT — Key Financials

Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.

Company Snapshot
FWRG logoFWRG
RRGB logoRRGB
DENN logoDENN
CAKE logoCAKE
EAT logoEAT
IndustryRestaurantsRestaurantsRestaurantsRestaurantsRestaurants
Market Cap$737M$81M$322M$3.03B$6.27B
Revenue (TTM)$1.27B$1.21B$457M$3.75B$5.73B
Net Income (TTM)$18M$-23M$10M$148M$463M
Gross Margin35.1%26.8%43.8%78.3%46.0%
Operating Margin2.3%0.2%8.4%5.0%10.4%
Forward P/E60.7x15.0x15.0x13.7x
Total Debt$740M$514M$408M$3.46B$1.69B
Cash & Equiv.$21M$20M$2M$216M$19M

FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EATLong-Term Stock Performance

Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.

FWRG
RRGB
DENN
CAKE
EAT
StockOct 21May 26Return
First Watch Restaur… (FWRG)10055.4-44.6%
Red Robin Gourmet B… (RRGB)10018.5-81.5%
Denny's Corporation (DENN)10039.1-60.9%
The Cheesecake Fact… (CAKE)100149.6+49.6%
Brinker Internation… (EAT)100348.7+248.7%

Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.

Quick Verdict: FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT

Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.

Bottom line: EAT leads in 4 of 7 categories (5-stock set), making it the strongest pick for growth and revenue expansion and valuation and capital efficiency. Denny's Corporation is the stronger pick specifically for capital preservation and lower volatility and recent price momentum and sentiment. CAKE also leads in specific categories worth noting. As sector peers, any of these can serve as alternatives in the same allocation.
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
The Growth Angle

FWRG lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.

Best for: consumer cyclical exposure
RRGB
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
The Consumer Cyclical Pick

Among these 5 stocks, RRGB doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.

Best for: consumer cyclical exposure
DENN
Denny's Corporation
The Income Pick

DENN is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability is your priority.

  • Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.65
  • Beta 0.65 vs RRGB's 2.10
  • +39.8% vs FWRG's -25.3%
Best for: income & stability
CAKE
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
The Defensive Pick

CAKE ranks third and is worth considering specifically for sleep-well-at-night and defensive.

  • Lower volatility, beta 1.11, current ratio 0.59x
  • Beta 1.11, yield 1.8%, current ratio 0.59x
  • 1.8% yield; the other 4 pay no meaningful dividend
Best for: sleep-well-at-night and defensive
EAT
Brinker International, Inc.
The Growth Play

EAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.

  • Rev growth 21.9%, EPS growth 144.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 12.3%
  • 229.9% 10Y total return vs CAKE's 35.6%
  • 21.9% revenue growth vs RRGB's -3.1%
  • Lower P/E (13.7x vs 15.0x)
Best for: growth exposure and long-term compounding
See the full category breakdown
CategoryWinnerWhy
GrowthEAT logoEAT21.9% revenue growth vs RRGB's -3.1%
ValueEAT logoEATLower P/E (13.7x vs 15.0x)
Quality / MarginsEAT logoEAT8.1% margin vs RRGB's -1.9%
Stability / SafetyDENN logoDENNBeta 0.65 vs RRGB's 2.10
DividendsCAKE logoCAKE1.8% yield; the other 4 pay no meaningful dividend
Momentum (1Y)DENN logoDENN+39.8% vs FWRG's -25.3%
Efficiency (ROA)EAT logoEAT17.0% ROA vs RRGB's -4.1%, ROIC 19.1% vs 0.5%

FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment

How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units

FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
FY 2025
Franchisor Owned Outlet
49.6%$1.2B
In-Restaurant Dining Sales
40.2%$982M
Third-Party Delivery Sales
5.8%$142M
Take-Out Sales
3.6%$88M
Franchise
0.4%$10M
Royalty And System Fund Contributions
0.4%$10M
Initial Fees
0.0%$225,000
RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
FY 2025
Food and Beverage
98.3%$1.2B
Franchise
1.2%$14M
Products And Services, Gift Card Breakage
0.4%$5M
Products And Services, Gift Card
0.1%$1M
DENNDenny's Corporation
FY 2024
Franchise
34.7%$241M
Franchisor Owned Outlet
30.6%$212M
Royalty
17.1%$119M
Advertising
11.5%$80M
Occupancy
4.8%$33M
License
1.3%$9M
CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
FY 2025
The Cheesecake Factory
71.7%$2.7B
Other Segments
9.7%$362M
Other FRC
9.5%$355M
North Italia
9.2%$346M
EATBrinker International, Inc.
FY 2025
Chili's Restaurants
90.7%$4.9B
Maggiano's Restaurants
9.3%$501M

FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT — Financial Metrics

Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.

BEST OVERALLEATLAGGINGCAKE

Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)

EAT leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.

EAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.7B annually — 12.5x DENN's $457M. EAT is the more profitable business, keeping 8.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to RRGB's -1.9%. On growth, FWRG holds the edge at +17.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.

MetricFWRG logoFWRGFirst Watch Resta…RRGB logoRRGBRed Robin Gourmet…DENN logoDENNDenny's Corporati…CAKE logoCAKEThe Cheesecake Fa…EAT logoEATBrinker Internati…
RevenueTrailing 12 months$1.3B$1.2B$457M$3.8B$5.7B
EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax$109M$54M$55M$296M$819M
Net IncomeAfter-tax profit$18M-$23M$10M$148M$463M
Free Cash FlowCash after capex-$9M$6M$2M$155M$504M
Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue+35.1%+26.8%+43.8%+78.3%+46.0%
Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue+2.3%+0.2%+8.4%+5.0%+10.4%
Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue+1.4%-1.9%+2.2%+4.0%+8.1%
FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue-0.7%+0.5%+0.5%+4.1%+8.8%
Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year+17.3%-5.7%+1.3%+4.4%+3.2%
EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year-2.2%+77.4%-89.9%-28.6%+12.1%
EAT leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.

Valuation Metrics

RRGB leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

At 15.2x trailing earnings, DENN trades at a 60% valuation discount to FWRG's 38.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, RRGB's 10.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CAKE's 21.2x.

MetricFWRG logoFWRGFirst Watch Resta…RRGB logoRRGBRed Robin Gourmet…DENN logoDENNDenny's Corporati…CAKE logoCAKEThe Cheesecake Fa…EAT logoEATBrinker Internati…
Market CapShares × price$737M$81M$322M$3.0B$6.3B
Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash$1.5B$575M$728M$6.3B$7.9B
Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS38.55x-2.80x15.24x19.80x17.58x
Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est.60.72x15.02x15.04x13.66x
PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate0.26x
EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple13.38x10.66x12.10x21.19x11.06x
Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue0.60x0.07x0.71x0.81x1.17x
Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share1.20x6.74x18.18x
Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF13.00x350.62x19.55x15.17x
RRGB leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

Profitability & Efficiency

EAT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.

EAT delivers a 123.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $123 in annual profit, vs $3 for FWRG. FWRG carries lower financial leverage with a 1.18x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAKE's 7.93x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), DENN scores 7/9 vs RRGB's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.

MetricFWRG logoFWRGFirst Watch Resta…RRGB logoRRGBRed Robin Gourmet…DENN logoDENNDenny's Corporati…CAKE logoCAKEThe Cheesecake Fa…EAT logoEATBrinker Internati…
ROE (TTM)Return on equity+2.9%+37.1%+123.4%
ROA (TTM)Return on assets+1.0%-4.1%+2.0%+4.7%+17.0%
ROICReturn on invested capital+1.9%+0.5%+9.7%+4.7%+19.1%
ROCEReturn on capital employed+2.3%+0.7%+11.9%+7.8%+25.8%
Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–955767
Debt / EquityFinancial leverage1.18x7.93x4.57x
Net DebtTotal debt minus cash$718M$494M$406M$3.2B$1.7B
Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets$21M$20M$2M$216M$19M
Total DebtShort + long-term debt$740M$514M$408M$3.5B$1.7B
Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense1.64x0.26x1.73x16.15x18.61x
EAT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.

Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)

EAT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

A $10,000 investment in EAT five years ago would be worth $22,577 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,032 for RRGB. Over the past 12 months, DENN leads with a +39.8% total return vs FWRG's -25.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors EAT at 58.2% vs RRGB's -33.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.

MetricFWRG logoFWRGFirst Watch Resta…RRGB logoRRGBRed Robin Gourmet…DENN logoDENNDenny's Corporati…CAKE logoCAKEThe Cheesecake Fa…EAT logoEATBrinker Internati…
YTD ReturnYear-to-date-22.3%-11.4%+0.6%+15.7%-3.4%
1-Year ReturnPast 12 months-25.3%+34.9%+39.8%+23.5%+5.3%
3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-28.9%-70.5%-41.3%+92.1%+295.8%
5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-46.0%-89.7%-64.9%+2.1%+125.8%
10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends-46.0%-94.4%-42.9%+35.6%+229.9%
CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return-10.7%-33.4%-16.3%+24.3%+58.2%
EAT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

Risk & Volatility

DENN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.

DENN is the less volatile stock with a 0.65 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RRGB's 2.10 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. DENN currently trades 99.8% from its 52-week high vs RRGB's 46.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.

MetricFWRG logoFWRGFirst Watch Resta…RRGB logoRRGBRed Robin Gourmet…DENN logoDENNDenny's Corporati…CAKE logoCAKEThe Cheesecake Fa…EAT logoEATBrinker Internati…
Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 5001.59x2.10x0.65x1.11x1.12x
52-Week HighHighest price in past year$19.53$7.89$6.26$69.70$187.12
52-Week LowLowest price in past year$10.10$2.46$3.36$43.07$100.30
% of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak+61.2%+46.5%+99.8%+87.2%+78.2%
RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–10046.551.666.950.550.6
Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded1.6M384K01.2M1.2M
DENN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.

Analyst Outlook

Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.

Analyst consensus: FWRG as "Buy", RRGB as "Hold", DENN as "Buy", CAKE as "Hold", EAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 90.7% upside for RRGB (target: $7) vs -4.0% for DENN (target: $6). CAKE is the only dividend payer here at 1.78% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.

MetricFWRG logoFWRGFirst Watch Resta…RRGB logoRRGBRed Robin Gourmet…DENN logoDENNDenny's Corporati…CAKE logoCAKEThe Cheesecake Fa…EAT logoEATBrinker Internati…
Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sellBuyHoldBuyHoldBuy
Price TargetConsensus 12-month target$19.00$7.00$6.00$65.50$184.46
# AnalystsCovering analysts1538214847
Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price+1.8%
Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises000
Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS$1.08
Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap0.0%0.0%+3.6%+5.1%+1.4%
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Key Takeaway

EAT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). RRGB leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).

Best OverallBrinker International, Inc. (EAT)Leads 3 of 6 categories
Loading custom metrics...

FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT: Key Questions Answered

10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily

01

Is FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT a better buy right now?

For growth investors, Brinker International, Inc.

(EAT) is the stronger pick with 21. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 1% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). Denny's Corporation (DENN) offers the better valuation at 15. 2x trailing P/E (15. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) a "Buy" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

02

Which has the better valuation — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?

On trailing P/E, Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the cheapest at 15.

2x versus First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. at 38. 5x. On forward P/E, Brinker International, Inc. is actually cheaper at 13. 7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.

03

Which is the better long-term investment — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?

Over the past 5 years, Brinker International, Inc.

(EAT) delivered a total return of +125. 8%, compared to -89. 7% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: EAT returned +229. 9% versus RRGB's -94. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

04

Which is safer — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the lower-risk stock at 0.

65β versus Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 's 2. 10β — meaning RRGB is approximately 221% more volatile than DENN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 118% versus 8% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

05

Which is growing faster — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?

By revenue growth (latest reported year), Brinker International, Inc.

(EAT) is pulling ahead at 21. 9% versus -3. 1% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Brinker International, Inc. grew EPS 144. 7% year-over-year, compared to -4. 1% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRG leads at 18. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

06

Which has better profit margins — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?

Brinker International, Inc.

(EAT) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 1% net margin versus -1. 9% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. — meaning it keeps 7. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DENN leads at 10. 0% versus 0. 2% for RRGB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAKE leads at 78. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

07

Is FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT more undervalued right now?

On forward earnings alone, Brinker International, Inc.

(EAT) trades at 13. 7x forward P/E versus 60. 7x for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. — 47. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for RRGB: 90. 7% to $7. 00.

08

Which pays a better dividend — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?

In this comparison, CAKE (1.

8% yield) pays a dividend. FWRG, RRGB, DENN, EAT do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.

09

Is FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT better for a retirement portfolio?

For long-horizon retirement investors, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.

11), 1. 8% yield). Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) carries a higher beta of 2. 10 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAKE: +35. 6%, RRGB: -94. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

10

What are the main differences between FWRG and RRGB and DENN and CAKE and EAT?

Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

In terms of investment character: FWRG is a small-cap high-growth stock; RRGB is a small-cap quality compounder stock; DENN is a small-cap deep-value stock; CAKE is a small-cap quality compounder stock; EAT is a small-cap high-growth stock. CAKE pays a dividend while FWRG, RRGB, DENN, EAT do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.

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FWRG

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  • Gross Margin > 21%
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  • Sector: Consumer Cyclical
  • Market Cap > $100B
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  • Sector: Consumer Cyclical
  • Market Cap > $100B
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CAKE

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  • Sector: Consumer Cyclical
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EAT

Quality Business

  • Sector: Consumer Cyclical
  • Market Cap > $100B
  • Net Margin > 5%
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Custom Screen

Beat Both

Find stocks that outperform FWRG and RRGB and DENN and CAKE and EAT on the metrics below

Revenue Growth>
%
(FWRG: 17.3% · RRGB: -5.7%)

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