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5 / 10Stock Comparison
FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
Restaurants
Restaurants
Restaurants
FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $737M | $81M | $322M | $3.03B | $6.27B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.27B | $1.21B | $457M | $3.75B | $5.73B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $18M | $-23M | $10M | $148M | $463M |
| Gross Margin | 35.1% | 26.8% | 43.8% | 78.3% | 46.0% |
| Operating Margin | 2.3% | 0.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 10.4% |
| Forward P/E | 60.7x | — | 15.0x | 15.0x | 13.7x |
| Total Debt | $740M | $514M | $408M | $3.46B | $1.69B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $21M | $20M | $2M | $216M | $19M |
FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Watch Restaur… (FWRG) | 100 | 55.4 | -44.6% |
| Red Robin Gourmet B… (RRGB) | 100 | 18.5 | -81.5% |
| Denny's Corporation (DENN) | 100 | 39.1 | -60.9% |
| The Cheesecake Fact… (CAKE) | 100 | 149.6 | +49.6% |
| Brinker Internation… (EAT) | 100 | 348.7 | +248.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FWRG lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
Among these 5 stocks, RRGB doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
DENN is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability is your priority.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.65
- Beta 0.65 vs RRGB's 2.10
- +39.8% vs FWRG's -25.3%
CAKE ranks third and is worth considering specifically for sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.11, current ratio 0.59x
- Beta 1.11, yield 1.8%, current ratio 0.59x
- 1.8% yield; the other 4 pay no meaningful dividend
EAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 21.9%, EPS growth 144.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 12.3%
- 229.9% 10Y total return vs CAKE's 35.6%
- 21.9% revenue growth vs RRGB's -3.1%
- Lower P/E (13.7x vs 15.0x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.9% revenue growth vs RRGB's -3.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.7x vs 15.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.1% margin vs RRGB's -1.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.65 vs RRGB's 2.10 | |
| Dividends | 1.8% yield; the other 4 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +39.8% vs FWRG's -25.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.0% ROA vs RRGB's -4.1%, ROIC 19.1% vs 0.5% |
FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
EAT leads in 3 of 6 categories
RRGB leads 1 • DENN leads 1 • FWRG leads 0 • CAKE leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
EAT leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
EAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.7B annually — 12.5x DENN's $457M. EAT is the more profitable business, keeping 8.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to RRGB's -1.9%. On growth, FWRG holds the edge at +17.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.3B | $1.2B | $457M | $3.8B | $5.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $109M | $54M | $55M | $296M | $819M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $18M | -$23M | $10M | $148M | $463M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$9M | $6M | $2M | $155M | $504M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +35.1% | +26.8% | +43.8% | +78.3% | +46.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.3% | +0.2% | +8.4% | +5.0% | +10.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.4% | -1.9% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +8.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.7% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +4.1% | +8.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +17.3% | -5.7% | +1.3% | +4.4% | +3.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.2% | +77.4% | -89.9% | -28.6% | +12.1% |
Valuation Metrics
RRGB leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.2x trailing earnings, DENN trades at a 60% valuation discount to FWRG's 38.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, RRGB's 10.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CAKE's 21.2x.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $737M | $81M | $322M | $3.0B | $6.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.5B | $575M | $728M | $6.3B | $7.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 38.55x | -2.80x | 15.24x | 19.80x | 17.58x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 60.72x | — | 15.02x | 15.04x | 13.66x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — | 0.26x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.38x | 10.66x | 12.10x | 21.19x | 11.06x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.60x | 0.07x | 0.71x | 0.81x | 1.17x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.20x | — | — | 6.74x | 18.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 13.00x | 350.62x | 19.55x | 15.17x |
Profitability & Efficiency
EAT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
EAT delivers a 123.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $123 in annual profit, vs $3 for FWRG. FWRG carries lower financial leverage with a 1.18x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAKE's 7.93x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), DENN scores 7/9 vs RRGB's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +2.9% | — | — | +37.1% | +123.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.0% | -4.1% | +2.0% | +4.7% | +17.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.9% | +0.5% | +9.7% | +4.7% | +19.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.3% | +0.7% | +11.9% | +7.8% | +25.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.18x | — | — | 7.93x | 4.57x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $718M | $494M | $406M | $3.2B | $1.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $21M | $20M | $2M | $216M | $19M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $740M | $514M | $408M | $3.5B | $1.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.64x | 0.26x | 1.73x | 16.15x | 18.61x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
EAT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in EAT five years ago would be worth $22,577 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,032 for RRGB. Over the past 12 months, DENN leads with a +39.8% total return vs FWRG's -25.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors EAT at 58.2% vs RRGB's -33.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -22.3% | -11.4% | +0.6% | +15.7% | -3.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -25.3% | +34.9% | +39.8% | +23.5% | +5.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -28.9% | -70.5% | -41.3% | +92.1% | +295.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -46.0% | -89.7% | -64.9% | +2.1% | +125.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -46.0% | -94.4% | -42.9% | +35.6% | +229.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -10.7% | -33.4% | -16.3% | +24.3% | +58.2% |
Risk & Volatility
DENN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DENN is the less volatile stock with a 0.65 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RRGB's 2.10 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. DENN currently trades 99.8% from its 52-week high vs RRGB's 46.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.59x | 2.10x | 0.65x | 1.11x | 1.12x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.53 | $7.89 | $6.26 | $69.70 | $187.12 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.10 | $2.46 | $3.36 | $43.07 | $100.30 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.2% | +46.5% | +99.8% | +87.2% | +78.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.5 | 51.6 | 66.9 | 50.5 | 50.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.6M | 384K | 0 | 1.2M | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: FWRG as "Buy", RRGB as "Hold", DENN as "Buy", CAKE as "Hold", EAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 90.7% upside for RRGB (target: $7) vs -4.0% for DENN (target: $6). CAKE is the only dividend payer here at 1.78% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $19.00 | $7.00 | $6.00 | $65.50 | $184.46 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 15 | 38 | 21 | 48 | 47 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | +1.8% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | $1.08 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | +3.6% | +5.1% | +1.4% |
EAT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). RRGB leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
FWRG vs RRGB vs DENN vs CAKE vs EAT: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) is the stronger pick with 21. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 1% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). Denny's Corporation (DENN) offers the better valuation at 15. 2x trailing P/E (15. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) a "Buy" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?
On trailing P/E, Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the cheapest at 15.
2x versus First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. at 38. 5x. On forward P/E, Brinker International, Inc. is actually cheaper at 13. 7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?
Over the past 5 years, Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) delivered a total return of +125. 8%, compared to -89. 7% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: EAT returned +229. 9% versus RRGB's -94. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Denny's Corporation (DENN) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
65β versus Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. 's 2. 10β — meaning RRGB is approximately 221% more volatile than DENN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 118% versus 8% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) is pulling ahead at 21. 9% versus -3. 1% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Brinker International, Inc. grew EPS 144. 7% year-over-year, compared to -4. 1% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRG leads at 18. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?
Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 1% net margin versus -1. 9% for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. — meaning it keeps 7. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DENN leads at 10. 0% versus 0. 2% for RRGB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAKE leads at 78. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) trades at 13. 7x forward P/E versus 60. 7x for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. — 47. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for RRGB: 90. 7% to $7. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT?
In this comparison, CAKE (1.
8% yield) pays a dividend. FWRG, RRGB, DENN, EAT do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FWRG or RRGB or DENN or CAKE or EAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
11), 1. 8% yield). Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) carries a higher beta of 2. 10 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAKE: +35. 6%, RRGB: -94. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FWRG and RRGB and DENN and CAKE and EAT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FWRG is a small-cap high-growth stock; RRGB is a small-cap quality compounder stock; DENN is a small-cap deep-value stock; CAKE is a small-cap quality compounder stock; EAT is a small-cap high-growth stock. CAKE pays a dividend while FWRG, RRGB, DENN, EAT do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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