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GEMI vs RDW
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
GEMI vs RDW — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Capital Markets | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $764M | $1.52B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $142M | $371M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-501M | $-300M |
| Gross Margin | 8.2% | 9.2% |
| Operating Margin | -116.6% | -76.8% |
| Total Debt | $1.19B | $231M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $43M | $95M |
Quick Verdict: GEMI vs RDW
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GEMI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 44.9%, EPS growth 51.3%
- 44.9% NII/revenue growth vs RDW's 10.3%
RDW carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- beta 3.20
- -11.6% 10Y total return vs GEMI's -85.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 3.20, Low D/E 21.8%, current ratio 1.62x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 44.9% NII/revenue growth vs RDW's 10.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | -80.9% margin vs GEMI's -111.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 3.20 vs GEMI's 3.31 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -17.6% vs GEMI's -85.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -20.3% ROA vs GEMI's -28.3%, ROIC -27.8% vs -16.0% |
GEMI vs RDW — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RDW leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RDW is the larger business by revenue, generating $371M annually — 2.6x GEMI's $142M. RDW is the more profitable business, keeping -80.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GEMI's -111.5%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $142M | $371M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$243M | -$244M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$501M | -$300M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$81M | -$156M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +8.2% | +9.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -116.6% | -76.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -111.5% | -80.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -80.8% | -42.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +57.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -17.3% | -3.4% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — GEMI and RDW each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $764M | $1.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.9B | $1.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.82x | -4.04x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.37x | 4.53x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 1.04x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
RDW leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GEMI scores 5/9 vs RDW's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | -29.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -28.3% | -20.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -16.0% | -27.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -113.1% | -32.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.22x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.1B | $136M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $43M | $95M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.2B | $231M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -12.78x | -6.52x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
RDW leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in RDW five years ago would be worth $9,145 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,484 for GEMI. Over the past 12 months, RDW leads with a -17.6% total return vs GEMI's -85.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors RDW at 44.2% vs GEMI's -47.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -54.2% | +1.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -85.2% | -17.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -85.2% | +199.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -85.2% | -8.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -85.2% | -11.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -47.1% | +44.2% |
Risk & Volatility
RDW leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
RDW is the less volatile stock with a 3.20 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GEMI's 3.31 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. RDW currently trades 41.3% from its 52-week high vs GEMI's 10.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 3.36x | 3.30x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $45.89 | $22.25 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.91 | $4.87 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +10.4% | +41.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.5 | 51.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.8M | 20.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GEMI as "Buy" and RDW as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 102.9% upside for GEMI (target: $10) vs 54.3% for RDW (target: $14).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $9.64 | $14.20 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 9 | 10 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +4.2% |
RDW leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 1 category is tied.
GEMI vs RDW: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GEMI or RDW a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Gemini Space Station, Inc.
Class A Common Stock (GEMI) is the stronger pick with 44. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 10. 3% for Redwire Corporation (RDW). Analysts rate Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock (GEMI) a "Buy" — based on 9 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — GEMI or RDW?
Over the past 5 years, Redwire Corporation (RDW) delivered a total return of -8.
5%, compared to -85. 2% for Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock (GEMI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: RDW returned +6. 3% versus GEMI's -84. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — GEMI or RDW?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Redwire Corporation (RDW) is the lower-risk stock at 3.
30β versus Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock's 3. 36β — meaning GEMI is approximately 2% more volatile than RDW relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — GEMI or RDW?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Gemini Space Station, Inc.
Class A Common Stock (GEMI) is pulling ahead at 44. 9% versus 10. 3% for Redwire Corporation (RDW). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock grew EPS 51. 3% year-over-year, compared to 3. 0% for Redwire Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — GEMI or RDW?
Redwire Corporation (RDW) is the more profitable company, earning -67.
6% net margin versus -111. 5% for Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock — meaning it keeps -67. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: RDW leads at -68. 5% versus -116. 6% for GEMI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GEMI leads at 8. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — GEMI or RDW?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is GEMI or RDW better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Redwire Corporation (RDW) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding.
Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock (GEMI) carries a higher beta of 3. 36 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (RDW: +6. 3%, GEMI: -84. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between GEMI and RDW?
These companies operate in different sectors (GEMI (Financial Services) and RDW (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: GEMI is a small-cap high-growth stock; RDW is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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