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RDWRedwire Corp
$7.21$1.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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RDW logo

Redwire Corp

RDW
NYSE · Space & Satellites
$7.21
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$1.72B
P/E-8.0x
52W High$26.64
Volume14.68M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Acquisition-Driven Growth Masks Persistent Cash Burn

Redwire's aggressive acquisition strategy has driven a 89.6% revenue surge to $117.1M in 2026Q2, but the company remains deeply unprofitable with a -18.9% operating margin and -$44.9M in negative free cash flow.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityWeak
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

RDW price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

2/12 Beats

EPS beat 2 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-132% Peers

P/E is 132% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 25 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 75% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 4
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue accelerated 89.6% year-over-year to $117.1M in 2026Q2, but operating losses widened to -$22.1M with a -18.9% margin, indicating that cost growth (R&D and SG&A of $54.6M) continues to outpace revenue gains.

Analyst Consensus+93.1% target
Buy(11 analysts)
8 Buy2 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Pipeline and Growth Potential

Redwire has a substantial pipeline of $6 billion and over $500 million in bids for Q1 2025. Analysts project a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 23% through 2026, with proprietary programs like the Valkyrie Hall Effect Thrusters potentially adding up to $150 million in annual revenue.

Strategic Acquisitions and Diversification

The acquisition of Edge Autonomy has transformed Redwire into a growth-focused platform, integrating it into the high-margin tactical drone market. This diversification includes capabilities in avionics, sensors, propulsion, and in-space manufacturing, enhancing its defense and international reach.

Government and Defense Contracts

Redwire stands to benefit from government initiatives such as the 'Golden Dome' missile defense program, which has a projected lifetime value of $542 billion and an initial funding opportunity of $25 billion. The company's facility in Colorado is crucial for RF systems and antenna production, supporting contracts for missile defense and lunar exploration.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
RDW-20.16%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
RDW+20.57%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
RDW+152.98%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+99.15%
5-Year Return
RDW-41.05%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.15%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
-8.0x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-8.0x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
N/A
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$2.20-69.5%
Base (Fair)$4.22-41.5%
Bull$4.49-37.7%
$2.20 Bear$4.22 Base$4.49 Bull
Current Market Price: $7.21
Trades at a 70.9% premium to Base DCF ($4.22)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$335M+10.3% YoY
Net income FY25
-$227M-98.2% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$191M-703.5% YoY
Operating margin FY25
-68.5%-54.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)-27.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-37.3%
ROE (TTM)-16.8%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate2/12 (17%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 4, 2026
-$0.06+45.0%
vs -$0.11
$109M-14.0%
vs $127M
Q3 2026
Aug 5, 2026
-$0.19-21.6%
vs -$0.16
$117M+9.3%
vs $107M
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
-$0.40-150.0%
vs -$0.16
$97M-8.5%
vs $106M
Q1 2026
Feb 25, 2026
-$0.58-262.5%
vs -$0.16
$109M+10.1%
vs $99M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
RDW Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Backlog Growth and Revenue Delays

Redwire's Q3 loss narrowed versus estimates, but revenues missed forecasts. Record backlog, improved margins and shipment delays shape its 2026 outlook.

Seeking Alpha·2d ago
Redwire Corporation (RDW) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Redwire Corporation ( RDW ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call November 5, 2026 9:00 AM EST Company Participants Alex Curatolo - Senior Director of Investor Relations Peter Cannito - President, CEO & Chairman Chris Edmunds - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Sujeeva De Silva - ROTH Capital Partners, LLC, Research Division Brian Kinstlinger - Alliance Global Partners, Research Division Liam Baker - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division Adam Samuelson - Jefferies LLC, Research Division Griffin Boss - B. Riley Securities, Inc., Research Division Colin Canfield - Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Research Division Austin Moeller - Canaccord Genuity Corp., Research Division Andrew Steinhardt - BofA Securities, Research Division Presentation Operator Greetings and welcome to Redwire Corporation's Q3 2026 Earnings Call.

24/7 Wall Street·2d ago
Redwire Plunges 21% as Revenue Miss Overshadows Record Margins and Backlog; Intuitive Machines Sinks 15%, Planet Labs Tumbles 12%

A revenue shortfall is outweighing a quarter of record margins and record backlog at Redwire (NYSE:RDW). Redwire stock is at $6.13, down 21%, as the space and defense company's third-quarter sales fell well short of Wall Street's forecast.

The Motley Fool·2d ago
Why Redwire Stock Is Plummeting Today

Redwire reported Q3 2026 financial results yesterday after the market closed. In addition to growing sales on a year-over-year basis, the company also grew its backlog.

Filtered for Redwire CorpMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark RDW against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Redwire Corp (RDW)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
RDW logoRDWRedwire CorpCurrent
$7.21$1.72B-7.9710.29%-52.36%-16.79%—
MNTS logoMNTSMomentus Inc.
$2.05$24.37M-0.68-47.49%-927.68%-90.19%—
ASTS logoASTSAST SpaceMobile, Inc.
$32.33$9.66B-15.631505.21%-536.66%-27.27%—
LUNR logoLUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.
$10.47$1.67B-12.97-7.87%-26.7%-58.45%—
RKT logoRKTRocket Companies, Inc.
$15.06$42.53B32.8622.99%13.38%5.55%—
KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
$35.10$6.58B301.2918.52%1.34%0.72%—

Compare RDW vs Peers

Redwire Corp (RDW) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MNTS

Most directly comparable listed peer for RDW.

Scale Benchmark

vs RTX

Larger-name benchmark to compare RDW against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MNTS, ASTS, LUNR, RKT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

RDW SEC Filings & Documents

Redwire Corp (RDW) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 14, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 1, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 11, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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RDW Frequently Asked Questions

Redwire Corp (RDW) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Redwire Corp's revenue?

Redwire Corp (RDW) reported $431.9M in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $335.4M in fiscal year 2025. That is 1664% more than the $19.0M of fiscal year 2019.

How fast is Redwire Corp growing?

Redwire Corp (RDW) grew revenue by 45.8% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is RDW profitable?

No. Redwire Corp (RDW) reported a net loss of $226.1M over the trailing twelve months.

Dividend & Returns
What is RDW's return on equity?

Redwire Corp (RDW) had a return on equity (ROE) of -16.8% over the trailing twelve months. A negative ROE means the company lost money over the period.

What is Redwire Corp's free cash flow?

Redwire Corp (RDW) had negative free cash flow of $140.3M over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in RDW back in 2019?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 7+ years of data

See returns →