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GEO vs ABM vs CTAS vs CXW vs KELYA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
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Specialty Business Services
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GEO vs ABM vs CTAS vs CXW vs KELYA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Specialty Business Services | Specialty Business Services | REIT - Specialty | Staffing & Employment Services |
| Market Cap | $2.89B | $2.36B | $67.28B | $2.01B | $355M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.73B | $8.87B | $10.79B | $2.34B | $3.09B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $273M | $158M | $1.90B | $129M | $-266M |
| Gross Margin | 40.4% | 11.5% | 50.2% | 23.6% | 26.3% |
| Operating Margin | 10.5% | 3.7% | 23.0% | 14.7% | -2.8% |
| Forward P/E | 17.8x | 10.2x | 34.1x | 13.0x | 11.2x |
| Total Debt | $1.73B | $1.69B | $2.65B | $1.22B | $159M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $69M | $104M | $264M | $112M | $33M |
GEO vs ABM vs CTAS vs CXW vs KELYA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) | 100 | 181.6 | +81.6% |
| ABM Industries Inco… (ABM) | 100 | 130.8 | +30.8% |
| Cintas Corporation (CTAS) | 100 | 269.3 | +169.3% |
| CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) | 100 | 169.0 | +69.0% |
| Kelly Services, Inc. (KELYA) | 100 | 65.8 | -34.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GEO vs ABM vs CTAS vs CXW vs KELYA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
Among these 5 stocks, GEO doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
ABM ranks third and is worth considering specifically for income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 36 yrs, beta 0.71, yield 2.6%
- PEG 0.04 vs CTAS's 2.04
- Lower P/E (10.2x vs 13.0x), PEG 0.04 vs 0.68
CTAS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 6.7% 10Y total return vs GEO's 38.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.51, Low D/E 56.7%, current ratio 2.09x
- Beta 0.51, yield 0.9%, current ratio 2.09x
- 17.6% margin vs KELYA's -8.6%
CXW is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure is your priority.
- Rev growth 12.7%, EPS growth 74.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.2%
- 12.7% FFO/revenue growth vs KELYA's -1.9%
- -7.7% vs CTAS's -21.5%
KELYA is the clearest fit if your priority is dividends.
- 3.2% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs ABM's 2.6%, (2 stocks pay no dividend)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 12.7% FFO/revenue growth vs KELYA's -1.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.2x vs 13.0x), PEG 0.04 vs 0.68 | |
| Quality / Margins | 17.6% margin vs KELYA's -8.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.51 vs GEO's 1.22, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.2% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs ABM's 2.6%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -7.7% vs CTAS's -21.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 18.7% ROA vs KELYA's -11.3%, ROIC 25.8% vs -4.0% |
GEO vs ABM vs CTAS vs CXW vs KELYA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GEO vs ABM vs CTAS vs CXW vs KELYA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
CTAS leads in 2 of 6 categories
KELYA leads 1 • GEO leads 1 • ABM leads 0 • CXW leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CTAS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CTAS is the larger business by revenue, generating $10.8B annually — 4.6x CXW's $2.3B. CTAS is the more profitable business, keeping 17.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KELYA's -8.6%. On growth, CXW holds the edge at +25.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.7B | $8.9B | $10.8B | $2.3B | $3.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $418M | $431M | $2.9B | $475M | -$54M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $273M | $158M | $1.9B | $129M | -$266M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$165M | $327M | $1.8B | $26M | $66M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.4% | +11.5% | +50.2% | +23.6% | +26.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.5% | +3.7% | +23.0% | +14.7% | -2.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.0% | +1.8% | +17.6% | +5.5% | -8.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -6.1% | +3.7% | +16.5% | +1.1% | +2.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.6% | +6.1% | +9.3% | +25.8% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +107.1% | -7.2% | +11.0% | +56.5% | -2.1% |
Valuation Metrics
KELYA leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.0x trailing earnings, GEO trades at a 68% valuation discount to CTAS's 37.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), ABM offers better value at 0.05x vs CTAS's 2.27x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.9B | $2.4B | $67.3B | $2.0B | $355M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.5B | $3.9B | $69.7B | $3.1B | $481M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 11.96x | 15.52x | 37.95x | 18.82x | -1.36x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 17.81x | 10.15x | 34.12x | 13.05x | 11.15x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.85x | 0.05x | 2.27x | 0.98x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.71x | 9.16x | 24.41x | 6.52x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.10x | 0.27x | 6.51x | 0.91x | 0.08x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.02x | 1.41x | 14.62x | 1.56x | 0.35x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 15.19x | 38.29x | 37.25x | 3.11x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CTAS leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CTAS delivers a 42.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $43 in annual profit, vs $-25 for KELYA. KELYA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.16x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GEO's 1.15x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CTAS scores 9/9 vs KELYA's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.5% | +8.8% | +42.6% | +9.0% | -24.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.2% | +3.0% | +18.7% | +4.0% | -11.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.2% | +7.5% | +25.8% | +10.7% | -4.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.6% | +8.2% | +29.8% | +12.6% | -4.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.15x | 0.95x | 0.57x | 0.87x | 0.16x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.7B | $1.6B | $2.4B | $1.1B | $126M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $69M | $104M | $264M | $112M | $33M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.7B | $1.7B | $2.7B | $1.2B | $159M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.12x | 3.25x | 24.61x | 3.53x | -12.07x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GEO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GEO five years ago would be worth $36,327 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,269 for KELYA. Over the past 12 months, CXW leads with a -7.7% total return vs CTAS's -21.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GEO at 38.2% vs KELYA's -12.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +36.6% | -4.5% | -9.4% | +6.9% | +15.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -17.3% | -18.6% | -21.5% | -7.7% | -18.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +163.8% | +2.0% | +49.1% | +119.1% | -33.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +263.3% | -14.5% | +92.4% | +151.9% | -57.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +38.6% | +47.0% | +671.6% | -17.8% | -32.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +38.2% | +0.7% | +14.2% | +29.9% | -12.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CTAS and CXW each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CTAS is the less volatile stock with a 0.51 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GEO's 1.22 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CXW currently trades 86.4% from its 52-week high vs KELYA's 66.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.22x | 0.71x | 0.51x | 0.65x | 0.96x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $27.90 | $52.94 | $229.24 | $23.54 | $14.94 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $12.51 | $36.96 | $165.46 | $15.74 | $7.98 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.0% | +75.9% | +72.8% | +86.4% | +66.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 67.6 | 55.8 | 39.5 | 64.7 | 59.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.1M | 513K | 2.1M | 1.0M | 364K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ABM and KELYA each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: GEO as "Buy", ABM as "Hold", CTAS as "Hold", CXW as "Buy", KELYA as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 52.0% upside for KELYA (target: $15) vs -23.8% for CXW (target: $16). For income investors, KELYA offers the higher dividend yield at 3.18% vs CTAS's 0.89%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $24.50 | $50.00 | $223.40 | $15.50 | $15.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 11 | 30 | 12 | 5 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.6% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +3.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.05 | $1.49 | $0.00 | $0.31 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.2% | +5.2% | +1.4% | +11.4% | +3.5% |
CTAS leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). KELYA leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
GEO vs ABM vs CTAS vs CXW vs KELYA: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GEO or ABM or CTAS or CXW or KELYA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, CoreCivic, Inc.
(CXW) is the stronger pick with 12. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 9% for Kelly Services, Inc. (KELYA). The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) offers the better valuation at 12. 0x trailing P/E (17. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GEO or ABM or CTAS or CXW or KELYA?
On trailing P/E, The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) is the cheapest at 12. 0x versus Cintas Corporation at 37. 9x. On forward P/E, ABM Industries Incorporated is actually cheaper at 10. 2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: ABM Industries Incorporated wins at 0. 04x versus Cintas Corporation's 2. 04x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GEO or ABM or CTAS or CXW or KELYA?
Over the past 5 years, The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) delivered a total return of +263. 3%, compared to -57. 3% for Kelly Services, Inc. (KELYA). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CTAS returned +671. 6% versus KELYA's -32. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GEO or ABM or CTAS or CXW or KELYA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Cintas Corporation (CTAS) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
51β versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 22β — meaning GEO is approximately 140% more volatile than CTAS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Kelly Services, Inc. (KELYA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 16% versus 115% for The GEO Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GEO or ABM or CTAS or CXW or KELYA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), CoreCivic, Inc.
(CXW) is pulling ahead at 12. 7% versus -1. 9% for Kelly Services, Inc. (KELYA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The GEO Group, Inc. grew EPS 727. 3% year-over-year, compared to -427. 4% for Kelly Services, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CTAS leads at 9. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GEO or ABM or CTAS or CXW or KELYA?
Cintas Corporation (CTAS) is the more profitable company, earning 17.
5% net margin versus -6. 0% for Kelly Services, Inc. — meaning it keeps 17. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CTAS leads at 22. 8% versus -1. 6% for KELYA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CTAS leads at 50. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GEO or ABM or CTAS or CXW or KELYA more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 04x versus Cintas Corporation's 2. 04x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) trades at 10. 2x forward P/E versus 34. 1x for Cintas Corporation — 24. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for KELYA: 52. 0% to $15. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — GEO or ABM or CTAS or CXW or KELYA?
In this comparison, KELYA (3.
2% yield), ABM (2. 6% yield), CTAS (0. 9% yield) pay a dividend. GEO, CXW do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GEO or ABM or CTAS or CXW or KELYA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Cintas Corporation (CTAS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
51), 0. 9% yield, +671. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CTAS: +671. 6%, GEO: +38. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GEO and ABM and CTAS and CXW and KELYA?
These companies operate in different sectors (GEO (Industrials) and ABM (Industrials) and CTAS (Industrials) and CXW (Real Estate) and KELYA (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: GEO is a small-cap deep-value stock; ABM is a small-cap deep-value stock; CTAS is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CXW is a small-cap quality compounder stock; KELYA is a small-cap income-oriented stock. ABM, CTAS, KELYA pay a dividend while GEO, CXW do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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