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GTIM vs FWRG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
GTIM vs FWRG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $14M | $737M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $138M | $1.27B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1M | $18M |
| Gross Margin | 9.9% | 35.1% |
| Operating Margin | 0.4% | 2.3% |
| Forward P/E | 13.4x | 60.7x |
| Total Debt | $42M | $740M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3M | $21M |
GTIM vs FWRG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Good Times Restaura… (GTIM) | 100 | 26.6 | -73.4% |
| First Watch Restaur… (FWRG) | 100 | 55.4 | -44.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GTIM vs FWRG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GTIM has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.50
- Lower volatility, beta 0.50, current ratio 0.37x
- Beta 0.50, current ratio 0.37x
FWRG is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 20.3%, EPS growth 3.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 18.7%
- -46.0% 10Y total return vs GTIM's -63.7%
- 20.3% revenue growth vs GTIM's -0.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.3% revenue growth vs GTIM's -0.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.4x vs 60.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 1.4% margin vs GTIM's 0.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.50 vs FWRG's 1.59 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -25.3% vs GTIM's -34.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.2% ROA vs FWRG's 1.0%, ROIC 0.3% vs 1.9% |
GTIM vs FWRG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GTIM vs FWRG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FWRG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FWRG is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.3B annually — 9.2x GTIM's $138M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 1.4% (FWRG) to 0.8% (GTIM). On growth, FWRG holds the edge at +17.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $138M | $1.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $5M | $109M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1M | $18M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2M | -$9M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +9.9% | +35.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.8% | +1.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.2% | -0.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -10.0% | +17.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.8% | -2.2% |
Valuation Metrics
GTIM leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 13.4x trailing earnings, GTIM trades at a 65% valuation discount to FWRG's 38.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, GTIM's 12.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than FWRG's 13.4x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $14M | $737M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $53M | $1.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 13.38x | 38.55x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 60.72x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.04x | 13.38x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.10x | 0.60x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.41x | 1.20x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
GTIM leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GTIM delivers a 3.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $3 in annual profit, vs $3 for FWRG. FWRG carries lower financial leverage with a 1.18x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GTIM's 1.24x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GTIM scores 6/9 vs FWRG's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +3.1% | +2.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.2% | +1.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +0.3% | +1.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +0.5% | +2.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.24x | 1.18x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $39M | $718M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3M | $21M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $42M | $740M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.75x | 1.64x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FWRG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FWRG five years ago would be worth $5,400 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,645 for GTIM. Over the past 12 months, FWRG leads with a -25.3% total return vs GTIM's -34.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FWRG at -10.7% vs GTIM's -20.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.7% | -22.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -34.7% | -25.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -50.2% | -28.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -73.6% | -46.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -63.7% | -46.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -20.7% | -10.7% |
Risk & Volatility
GTIM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GTIM is the less volatile stock with a 0.50 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FWRG's 1.59 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.50x | 1.59x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $2.09 | $19.53 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.10 | $10.10 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.2% | +61.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.5 | 46.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 26K | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $19.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 15 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.9% | 0.0% |
GTIM leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). FWRG leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns).
GTIM vs FWRG: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GTIM or FWRG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
(FWRG) is the stronger pick with 20. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 5% for Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM). Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) offers the better valuation at 13. 4x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) a "Buy" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GTIM or FWRG?
On trailing P/E, Good Times Restaurants Inc.
(GTIM) is the cheapest at 13. 4x versus First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. at 38. 5x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GTIM or FWRG?
Over the past 5 years, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
(FWRG) delivered a total return of -46. 0%, compared to -73. 6% for Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FWRG returned -46. 0% versus GTIM's -63. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GTIM or FWRG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Good Times Restaurants Inc.
(GTIM) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 50β versus First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. 's 1. 59β — meaning FWRG is approximately 218% more volatile than GTIM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 118% versus 124% for Good Times Restaurants Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GTIM or FWRG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
(FWRG) is pulling ahead at 20. 3% versus -0. 5% for Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. grew EPS 3. 3% year-over-year, compared to -31. 6% for Good Times Restaurants Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRG leads at 18. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GTIM or FWRG?
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
(FWRG) is the more profitable company, earning 1. 6% net margin versus 0. 7% for Good Times Restaurants Inc. — meaning it keeps 1. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FWRG leads at 2. 8% versus 0. 2% for GTIM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FWRG leads at 13. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Which pays a better dividend — GTIM or FWRG?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is GTIM or FWRG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Good Times Restaurants Inc.
(GTIM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 50)). First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) carries a higher beta of 1. 59 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (GTIM: -63. 7%, FWRG: -46. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between GTIM and FWRG?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GTIM is a small-cap deep-value stock; FWRG is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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