Packaged Foods
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
HRL vs LW vs TSN vs CAG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Agricultural Farm Products
Packaged Foods
HRL vs LW vs TSN vs CAG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Agricultural Farm Products | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $11.24B | $5.83B | $24.34B | $6.76B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.14B | $6.53B | $55.71B | $11.18B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $489M | $450M | $453M | $13M |
| Gross Margin | 15.5% | 22.2% | 6.6% | 24.6% |
| Operating Margin | 6.0% | 11.9% | 2.3% | 13.1% |
| Forward P/E | 13.9x | 15.2x | 17.0x | 8.3x |
| Total Debt | $2.86B | $4.16B | $8.83B | $8.31B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $671M | $71M | $1.23B | $68M |
HRL vs LW vs TSN vs CAG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hormel Foods Corpor… (HRL) | 100 | 41.8 | -58.2% |
| Lamb Weston Holding… (LW) | 100 | 69.9 | -30.1% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) | 100 | 111.3 | +11.3% |
| Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) | 100 | 40.6 | -59.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HRL vs LW vs TSN vs CAG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HRL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 34 yrs, beta 0.15, yield 5.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.15, Low D/E 36.1%, current ratio 2.47x
- Beta 0.15, yield 5.6%, current ratio 2.47x
LW is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding is your priority.
- 52.8% 10Y total return vs TSN's 23.8%
- 6.9% margin vs CAG's 0.1%
- 6.2% ROA vs CAG's 0.1%, ROIC 8.6% vs 6.0%
TSN is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 2.1%, EPS growth -39.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 0.7%
- 2.1% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8%
- +25.0% vs CAG's -33.1%
CAG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for value and stability.
- Lower P/E (8.3x vs 17.0x)
- Beta 0.07 vs LW's 0.69, lower leverage
- 9.9% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs HRL's 5.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 2.1% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.3x vs 17.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.9% margin vs CAG's 0.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.07 vs LW's 0.69, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 9.9% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs HRL's 5.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +25.0% vs CAG's -33.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.2% ROA vs CAG's 0.1%, ROIC 8.6% vs 6.0% |
HRL vs LW vs TSN vs CAG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HRL vs LW vs TSN vs CAG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
CAG leads in 1 of 6 categories
TSN leads 1 • HRL leads 0 • LW leads 0 • 4 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — LW and TSN and CAG each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TSN is the larger business by revenue, generating $55.7B annually — 8.5x LW's $6.5B. LW is the more profitable business, keeping 6.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CAG's 0.1%. On growth, TSN holds the edge at +4.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.1B | $6.5B | $55.7B | $11.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $932M | $1.2B | $2.7B | $1.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $489M | $450M | $453M | $13M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $578M | $845M | $1.2B | $634M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +15.5% | +22.2% | +6.6% | +24.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.0% | +11.9% | +2.3% | +13.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.0% | +6.9% | +0.8% | +0.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.8% | +12.9% | +2.2% | +5.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.3% | +0.3% | +4.4% | -6.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.5% | -47.7% | +36.1% | -3.4% |
Valuation Metrics
CAG leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.9x trailing earnings, CAG trades at a 88% valuation discount to TSN's 50.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CAG offers better value at 0.84x vs LW's 189.58x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $11.2B | $5.8B | $24.3B | $6.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $13.4B | $9.9B | $31.9B | $15.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 23.48x | 16.80x | 50.28x | 5.86x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.92x | 15.20x | 16.96x | 8.31x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 189.58x | — | 0.84x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.66x | 9.25x | 11.40x | 8.55x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.93x | 0.90x | 0.45x | 0.58x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.42x | 3.45x | 1.31x | 0.76x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 21.03x | 25.36x | 20.68x | 5.19x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — HRL and LW each lead in 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LW delivers a 25.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $0 for CAG. HRL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.36x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LW's 2.39x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TSN scores 6/9 vs LW's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +4.3% | +25.1% | +2.5% | +0.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.7% | +6.2% | +1.3% | +0.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.3% | +8.6% | +4.1% | +6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.0% | +11.2% | +4.6% | +8.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.36x | 2.39x | 0.48x | 0.93x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.2B | $4.1B | $7.6B | $8.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $671M | $71M | $1.2B | $68M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.9B | $4.2B | $8.8B | $8.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 6.44x | 4.33x | 2.73x | 1.56x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TSN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TSN five years ago would be worth $9,897 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,452 for HRL. Over the past 12 months, TSN leads with a +25.0% total return vs CAG's -33.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TSN at 13.6% vs LW's -25.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -10.2% | +1.1% | +18.7% | -14.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -26.5% | -15.4% | +25.0% | -33.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -41.3% | -58.8% | +46.5% | -51.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.5% | -38.8% | -1.0% | -45.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.7% | +52.8% | +23.8% | -28.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -16.3% | -25.6% | +13.6% | -21.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — TSN and CAG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAG is the less volatile stock with a 0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LW's 0.69 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TSN currently trades 98.4% from its 52-week high vs CAG's 60.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.15x | 0.69x | 0.26x | 0.07x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.86 | $67.07 | $69.48 | $23.47 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $20.32 | $37.64 | $50.56 | $13.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +64.1% | +62.6% | +98.4% | +60.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 40.2 | 49.2 | 63.7 | 42.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 4.1M | 2.2M | 2.7M | 14.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — HRL and CAG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: HRL as "Hold", LW as "Hold", TSN as "Buy", CAG as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 33.4% upside for HRL (target: $27) vs 9.7% for TSN (target: $75). For income investors, CAG offers the higher dividend yield at 9.91% vs TSN's 2.93%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $27.25 | $49.60 | $75.00 | $17.55 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 29 | 17 | 30 | 25 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +5.6% | +3.5% | +2.9% | +9.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 34 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.15 | $1.45 | $2.00 | $1.40 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +5.0% | +0.8% | +0.9% |
CAG leads in 1 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics). TSN leads in 1 (Total Returns). 4 tied.
HRL vs LW vs TSN vs CAG: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HRL or LW or TSN or CAG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Tyson Foods, Inc.
(TSN) is the stronger pick with 2. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 6% for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL). Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the better valuation at 5. 9x trailing P/E (8. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) a "Buy" — based on 30 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HRL or LW or TSN or CAG?
On trailing P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the cheapest at 5. 9x versus Tyson Foods, Inc. at 50. 3x. On forward P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Conagra Brands, Inc. wins at 1. 19x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 189. 58x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HRL or LW or TSN or CAG?
Over the past 5 years, Tyson Foods, Inc.
(TSN) delivered a total return of -1. 0%, compared to -45. 5% for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LW returned +52. 8% versus CAG's -28. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HRL or LW or TSN or CAG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 07β versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 0. 69β — meaning LW is approximately 965% more volatile than CAG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 36% versus 2% for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HRL or LW or TSN or CAG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Tyson Foods, Inc.
(TSN) is pulling ahead at 2. 1% versus 1. 6% for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 0. 0% year-over-year, compared to -40. 8% for Hormel Foods Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, LW leads at 16. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HRL or LW or TSN or CAG?
Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 9% net margin versus 0. 9% for Tyson Foods, Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAG leads at 11. 8% versus 2. 6% for TSN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAG leads at 25. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HRL or LW or TSN or CAG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 19x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 189. 58x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) trades at 8. 3x forward P/E versus 17. 0x for Tyson Foods, Inc. — 8. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HRL: 33. 4% to $27. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — HRL or LW or TSN or CAG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the highest yield at 9. 9%, versus 2. 9% for Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN).
09Is HRL or LW or TSN or CAG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 07), 9. 9% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAG: -28. 5%, LW: +52. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HRL and LW and TSN and CAG?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HRL is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; LW is a small-cap deep-value stock; TSN is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CAG is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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