Food Confectioners
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
HSY vs GIS vs MDLZ vs K
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Food Confectioners
Food Confectioners
HSY vs GIS vs MDLZ vs K — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Food Confectioners | Packaged Foods | Food Confectioners | Food Confectioners |
| Market Cap | $37.89B | $19.05B | $78.70B | $29.03B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $11.99B | $18.37B | $39.30B | $12.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.09B | $2.21B | $2.61B | $1.33B |
| Gross Margin | 34.8% | 33.0% | 28.8% | 36.1% |
| Operating Margin | 14.1% | 19.1% | 9.4% | 14.7% |
| Forward P/E | 22.2x | 10.4x | 20.1x | 22.1x |
| Total Debt | $5.40B | $15.30B | $22.40B | $6.34B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $926M | $364M | $2.13B | $694M |
HSY vs GIS vs MDLZ vs K — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Hershey Company (HSY) | 100 | 137.8 | +37.8% |
| General Mills, Inc. (GIS) | 100 | 56.6 | -43.4% |
| Mondelez Internatio… (MDLZ) | 100 | 117.6 | +17.6% |
| Kellanova (K) | 100 | 136.5 | +36.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HSY vs GIS vs MDLZ vs K
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HSY has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in long-term compounding.
- 142.6% 10Y total return vs K's 47.6%
- 2.9% yield, 34-year raise streak, vs GIS's 6.7%
- +14.1% vs GIS's -29.9%
GIS is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value and quality is your priority.
- Lower P/E (10.4x vs 20.1x)
- 12.1% margin vs MDLZ's 6.6%
MDLZ is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 0.06, yield 3.1%
- Rev growth 5.8%, EPS growth -44.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 7.0%
- 5.8% revenue growth vs K's -2.8%
K is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and valuation efficiency.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.05, current ratio 0.81x
- PEG 3.27 vs GIS's 3.64
- Beta 0.05, yield 2.7%, current ratio 0.81x
- Beta 0.05 vs MDLZ's 0.06
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 5.8% revenue growth vs K's -2.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.4x vs 20.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.1% margin vs MDLZ's 6.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.05 vs MDLZ's 0.06 | |
| Dividends | 2.9% yield, 34-year raise streak, vs GIS's 6.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +14.1% vs GIS's -29.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.4% ROA vs MDLZ's 3.7%, ROIC 14.7% vs 6.0% |
HSY vs GIS vs MDLZ vs K — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HSY vs GIS vs MDLZ vs K — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
K leads in 2 of 6 categories
HSY leads 1 • GIS leads 1 • MDLZ leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HSY leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MDLZ is the larger business by revenue, generating $39.3B annually — 3.3x HSY's $12.0B. GIS is the more profitable business, keeping 12.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MDLZ's 6.6%. On growth, HSY holds the edge at +10.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.0B | $18.4B | $39.3B | $12.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.0B | $3.9B | $4.9B | $2.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.1B | $2.2B | $2.6B | $1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.2B | $1.7B | $2.6B | $650M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +34.8% | +33.0% | +28.8% | +36.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +14.1% | +19.1% | +9.4% | +14.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.1% | +12.1% | +6.6% | +10.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +18.1% | +9.0% | +6.6% | +5.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.6% | -8.4% | +8.2% | +0.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +93.6% | -50.0% | +38.7% | -15.0% |
Valuation Metrics
GIS leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.7x trailing earnings, GIS trades at a 80% valuation discount to HSY's 43.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GIS offers better value at 3.04x vs K's 3.19x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $37.9B | $19.1B | $78.7B | $29.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $42.4B | $34.0B | $99.0B | $34.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 43.07x | 8.71x | 32.44x | 21.51x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.23x | 10.43x | 20.06x | 22.06x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.04x | — | 3.19x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 29.24x | 8.84x | 19.88x | 15.48x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.24x | 0.98x | 2.04x | 2.28x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.19x | 2.16x | 3.07x | 7.44x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 21.66x | 8.31x | 24.33x | 25.65x |
Profitability & Efficiency
K leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
K delivers a 31.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $32 in annual profit, vs $10 for MDLZ. MDLZ carries lower financial leverage with a 0.87x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GIS's 1.66x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), K scores 7/9 vs MDLZ's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +23.7% | +23.7% | +10.0% | +31.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.0% | +6.8% | +3.7% | +8.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.5% | +10.6% | +6.0% | +14.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +14.4% | +13.3% | +7.3% | +17.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.17x | 1.66x | 0.87x | 1.63x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.5B | $14.9B | $20.3B | $5.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $926M | $364M | $2.1B | $694M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.4B | $15.3B | $22.4B | $6.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.99x | 5.01x | 10.01x | 6.41x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
K leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in K five years ago would be worth $14,973 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,472 for GIS. Over the past 12 months, HSY leads with a +14.1% total return vs GIS's -29.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors K at 10.3% vs GIS's -21.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +3.3% | -19.2% | +15.2% | — |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +14.1% | -29.9% | -5.8% | +3.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -26.2% | -52.3% | -14.5% | +34.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +24.8% | -25.3% | +12.6% | +49.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +142.6% | -9.2% | +68.4% | +47.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -9.6% | -21.8% | -5.1% | +10.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — GIS and K each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GIS is the less volatile stock with a -0.04 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MDLZ's 0.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. K currently trades 99.7% from its 52-week high vs GIS's 64.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.03x | -0.04x | 0.06x | 0.05x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $239.48 | $55.35 | $71.15 | $83.65 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $150.04 | $33.58 | $51.20 | $76.48 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.1% | +64.5% | +86.2% | +99.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 37.3 | 42.2 | 68.7 | 60.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.7M | 8.7M | 9.0M | 42.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — HSY and GIS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: HSY as "Hold", GIS as "Hold", MDLZ as "Buy", K as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 30.4% upside for GIS (target: $47) vs -11.3% for K (target: $74). For income investors, GIS offers the higher dividend yield at 6.72% vs K's 2.69%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $226.29 | $46.58 | $67.00 | $74.03 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 34 | 41 | 34 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.9% | +6.7% | +3.1% | +2.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 34 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $5.34 | $2.40 | $1.92 | $2.24 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +6.3% | +3.0% | 0.0% |
K leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). HSY leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
HSY vs GIS vs MDLZ vs K: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HSY or GIS or MDLZ or K a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Mondelez International, Inc.
(MDLZ) is the stronger pick with 5. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 8% for Kellanova (K). General Mills, Inc. (GIS) offers the better valuation at 8. 7x trailing P/E (10. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) a "Buy" — based on 41 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HSY or GIS or MDLZ or K?
On trailing P/E, General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the cheapest at 8. 7x versus The Hershey Company at 43. 1x. On forward P/E, General Mills, Inc. is actually cheaper at 10. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Kellanova wins at 3. 27x versus General Mills, Inc. 's 3. 64x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HSY or GIS or MDLZ or K?
Over the past 5 years, Kellanova (K) delivered a total return of +49.
7%, compared to -25. 3% for General Mills, Inc. (GIS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HSY returned +142. 6% versus GIS's -9. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HSY or GIS or MDLZ or K?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 04β versus Mondelez International, Inc. 's 0. 06β — meaning MDLZ is approximately -267% more volatile than GIS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 87% versus 166% for General Mills, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HSY or GIS or MDLZ or K?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Mondelez International, Inc.
(MDLZ) is pulling ahead at 5. 8% versus -2. 8% for Kellanova (K). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Kellanova grew EPS 40. 6% year-over-year, compared to -60. 3% for The Hershey Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, MDLZ leads at 7. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HSY or GIS or MDLZ or K?
General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the more profitable company, earning 11. 8% net margin versus 6. 4% for Mondelez International, Inc. — meaning it keeps 11. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GIS leads at 17. 0% versus 9. 4% for MDLZ. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — K leads at 36. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HSY or GIS or MDLZ or K more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Kellanova (K) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 3. 27x versus General Mills, Inc. 's 3. 64x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, General Mills, Inc. (GIS) trades at 10. 4x forward P/E versus 22. 2x for The Hershey Company — 11. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GIS: 30. 4% to $46. 58.
08Which pays a better dividend — HSY or GIS or MDLZ or K?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
General Mills, Inc. (GIS) offers the highest yield at 6. 7%, versus 2. 7% for Kellanova (K).
09Is HSY or GIS or MDLZ or K better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Hershey Company (HSY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
03), 2. 9% yield, +142. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (HSY: +142. 6%, K: +47. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HSY and GIS and MDLZ and K?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HSY is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; GIS is a mid-cap deep-value stock; MDLZ is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; K is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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