Food Confectioners
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
HSY vs MKC vs MDLZ vs SJM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Food Confectioners
Packaged Foods
HSY vs MKC vs MDLZ vs SJM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Food Confectioners | Packaged Foods | Food Confectioners | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $37.89B | $12.14B | $78.70B | $10.58B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $11.99B | $6.84B | $39.30B | $8.93B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.09B | $789M | $2.61B | $-1.26B |
| Gross Margin | 34.8% | 37.9% | 28.8% | 33.6% |
| Operating Margin | 14.1% | 15.7% | 9.4% | -8.0% |
| Forward P/E | 22.2x | 15.5x | 20.1x | 11.0x |
| Total Debt | $5.40B | $4.00B | $22.40B | $7.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $926M | $96M | $2.13B | $70M |
HSY vs MKC vs MDLZ vs SJM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Hershey Company (HSY) | 100 | 137.8 | +37.8% |
| McCormick & Company… (MKC) | 100 | 54.7 | -45.3% |
| Mondelez Internatio… (MDLZ) | 100 | 117.6 | +17.6% |
| The J. M. Smucker C… (SJM) | 100 | 87.3 | -12.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HSY vs MKC vs MDLZ vs SJM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HSY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 142.6% 10Y total return vs MDLZ's 68.4%
- 2.9% yield, 34-year raise streak, vs SJM's 4.3%
- +14.1% vs MKC's -33.6%
- 8.0% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 11.5% vs -3.4%
MKC is the clearest fit if your priority is quality.
- 11.5% margin vs SJM's -14.1%
MDLZ is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 5.8%, EPS growth -44.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 7.0%
SJM is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 0.04, yield 4.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.04, current ratio 0.81x
- Beta 0.04, yield 4.3%, current ratio 0.81x
- 6.7% revenue growth vs MKC's 1.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.7% revenue growth vs MKC's 1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.0x vs 20.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 11.5% margin vs SJM's -14.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.04 vs MDLZ's 0.06 | |
| Dividends | 2.9% yield, 34-year raise streak, vs SJM's 4.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +14.1% vs MKC's -33.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.0% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 11.5% vs -3.4% |
HSY vs MKC vs MDLZ vs SJM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HSY vs MKC vs MDLZ vs SJM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SJM leads in 1 of 6 categories
HSY leads 1 • MKC leads 0 • MDLZ leads 0 • 4 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — HSY and MKC each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MDLZ is the larger business by revenue, generating $39.3B annually — 5.7x MKC's $6.8B. MKC is the more profitable business, keeping 11.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SJM's -14.1%. On growth, HSY holds the edge at +10.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.0B | $6.8B | $39.3B | $8.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.0B | $1.3B | $4.9B | -$595M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.1B | $789M | $2.6B | -$1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.2B | $879M | $2.6B | $971M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +34.8% | +37.9% | +28.8% | +33.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +14.1% | +15.7% | +9.4% | -8.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.1% | +11.5% | +6.6% | -14.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +18.1% | +12.8% | +6.6% | +10.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.6% | +2.9% | +8.2% | +7.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +93.6% | +5.0% | +38.7% | -9.3% |
Valuation Metrics
SJM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.3x trailing earnings, MKC trades at a 62% valuation discount to HSY's 43.1x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, MKC's 12.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than HSY's 29.2x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $37.9B | $12.1B | $78.7B | $10.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $42.4B | $16.0B | $99.0B | $18.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 43.07x | 16.35x | 32.44x | -8.59x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.23x | 15.46x | 20.06x | 11.01x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 15.47x | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 29.24x | 12.12x | 19.88x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.24x | 1.78x | 2.04x | 1.21x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.19x | 2.24x | 3.07x | 1.74x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 21.66x | 16.40x | 24.33x | 12.96x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HSY leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HSY delivers a 23.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $24 in annual profit, vs $-24 for SJM. MKC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.69x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SJM's 1.28x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HSY scores 6/9 vs SJM's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +23.7% | +13.7% | +10.0% | -24.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.0% | +6.0% | +3.7% | -7.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.5% | +8.5% | +6.0% | -3.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +14.4% | +10.7% | +7.3% | -4.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.17x | 0.69x | 0.87x | 1.28x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.5B | $3.9B | $20.3B | $7.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $926M | $96M | $2.1B | $70M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.4B | $4.0B | $22.4B | $7.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.99x | 5.65x | 10.01x | -1.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — HSY and MDLZ each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HSY five years ago would be worth $12,480 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,276 for MKC. Over the past 12 months, HSY leads with a +14.1% total return vs MKC's -33.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MDLZ at -5.1% vs MKC's -15.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +3.3% | -28.1% | +15.2% | +4.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +14.1% | -33.6% | -5.8% | -7.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -26.2% | -39.8% | -14.5% | -28.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +24.8% | -37.2% | +12.6% | -12.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +142.6% | +26.9% | +68.4% | +5.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -9.6% | -15.6% | -5.1% | -10.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MKC and MDLZ each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MKC is the less volatile stock with a -0.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MDLZ's 0.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MDLZ currently trades 86.2% from its 52-week high vs MKC's 61.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.03x | -0.03x | 0.06x | 0.04x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $239.48 | $78.16 | $71.15 | $119.39 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $150.04 | $47.31 | $51.20 | $88.25 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.1% | +61.3% | +86.2% | +83.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 37.3 | 33.8 | 68.7 | 50.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.7M | 4.0M | 9.0M | 2.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — HSY and SJM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: HSY as "Hold", MKC as "Hold", MDLZ as "Buy", SJM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 52.8% upside for MKC (target: $73) vs 9.3% for MDLZ (target: $67). For income investors, SJM offers the higher dividend yield at 4.30% vs HSY's 2.86%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $226.29 | $73.20 | $67.00 | $113.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 30 | 41 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.9% | +3.7% | +3.1% | +4.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 34 | 27 | 12 | 15 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $5.34 | $1.79 | $1.92 | $4.28 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.3% | +3.0% | +0.0% |
SJM leads in 1 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics). HSY leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 4 tied.
HSY vs MKC vs MDLZ vs SJM: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HSY or MKC or MDLZ or SJM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the stronger pick with 6. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 7% for McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC). McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) offers the better valuation at 16. 3x trailing P/E (15. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) a "Buy" — based on 41 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HSY or MKC or MDLZ or SJM?
On trailing P/E, McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is the cheapest at 16.
3x versus The Hershey Company at 43. 1x. On forward P/E, The J. M. Smucker Company is actually cheaper at 11. 0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HSY or MKC or MDLZ or SJM?
Over the past 5 years, The Hershey Company (HSY) delivered a total return of +24.
8%, compared to -37. 2% for McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HSY returned +142. 6% versus SJM's +5. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HSY or MKC or MDLZ or SJM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
03β versus Mondelez International, Inc. 's 0. 06β — meaning MDLZ is approximately -310% more volatile than MKC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 69% versus 128% for The J. M. Smucker Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HSY or MKC or MDLZ or SJM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is pulling ahead at 6. 7% versus 1. 7% for McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: McCormick & Company, Incorporated grew EPS 0. 3% year-over-year, compared to -262. 3% for The J. M. Smucker Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, MDLZ leads at 7. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HSY or MKC or MDLZ or SJM?
McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is the more profitable company, earning 11.
5% net margin versus -14. 1% for The J. M. Smucker Company — meaning it keeps 11. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MKC leads at 16. 0% versus -7. 7% for SJM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SJM leads at 38. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HSY or MKC or MDLZ or SJM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) trades at 11. 0x forward P/E versus 22. 2x for The Hershey Company — 11. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MKC: 52. 8% to $73. 20.
08Which pays a better dividend — HSY or MKC or MDLZ or SJM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) offers the highest yield at 4. 3%, versus 2. 9% for The Hershey Company (HSY).
09Is HSY or MKC or MDLZ or SJM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Hershey Company (HSY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
03), 2. 9% yield, +142. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (HSY: +142. 6%, SJM: +5. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HSY and MKC and MDLZ and SJM?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HSY is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; MKC is a mid-cap deep-value stock; MDLZ is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; SJM is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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