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JAKK vs MAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
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JAKK vs MAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Leisure | Leisure |
| Market Cap | $266M | $4.53B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $571M | $5.38B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $10M | $499M |
| Gross Margin | 32.4% | 47.9% |
| Operating Margin | 2.5% | 10.0% |
| Forward P/E | 7.4x | 11.5x |
| Total Debt | $93M | $2.87B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $54M | $1.24B |
JAKK vs MAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK) | 100 | 388.0 | +288.0% |
| Mattel, Inc. (MAT) | 100 | 162.9 | +62.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: JAKK vs MAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
JAKK is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.79, yield 4.2%
- Lower P/E (7.4x vs 11.5x)
- 4.2% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend
MAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -0.6%, EPS growth -21.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -0.5%
- -45.0% 10Y total return vs JAKK's -66.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.24, current ratio 2.15x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -0.6% revenue growth vs JAKK's -17.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.4x vs 11.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.3% margin vs JAKK's 1.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.24 vs JAKK's 1.79 | |
| Dividends | 4.2% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +30.0% vs MAT's -13.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.7% ROA vs JAKK's 2.2%, ROIC 12.5% vs 4.1% |
JAKK vs MAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
JAKK vs MAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.4B annually — 9.4x JAKK's $571M. MAT is the more profitable business, keeping 9.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to JAKK's 1.7%. On growth, MAT holds the edge at +4.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $571M | $5.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $24M | $726M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $10M | $499M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$1M | $400M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +32.4% | +47.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.5% | +10.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.7% | +9.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.2% | +7.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.8% | +4.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +43.4% | +2.7% |
Valuation Metrics
JAKK leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.1x trailing earnings, MAT trades at a 55% valuation discount to JAKK's 27.1x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, MAT's 7.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than JAKK's 12.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $266M | $4.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $305M | $6.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 27.07x | 12.10x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 7.41x | 11.45x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.42x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.49x | 7.82x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.47x | 0.85x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.07x | 2.14x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 11.02x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — JAKK and MAT each lead in 4 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MAT delivers a 22.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $23 in annual profit, vs $4 for JAKK. JAKK carries lower financial leverage with a 0.37x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MAT's 1.28x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +4.0% | +22.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.2% | +7.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.1% | +12.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.8% | +11.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.37x | 1.28x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $39M | $1.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $54M | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $93M | $2.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 32.35x | 4.65x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
JAKK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in JAKK five years ago would be worth $26,151 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,865 for MAT. Over the past 12 months, JAKK leads with a +30.0% total return vs MAT's -13.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors JAKK at 1.3% vs MAT's -5.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +36.6% | -25.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +30.0% | -13.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +4.1% | -16.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +161.5% | -31.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -66.6% | -45.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +1.3% | -5.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — JAKK and MAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MAT is the less volatile stock with a 1.24 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than JAKK's 1.79 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. JAKK currently trades 94.7% from its 52-week high vs MAT's 66.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.79x | 1.24x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $24.57 | $22.48 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $14.87 | $14.10 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +94.7% | +66.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.2 | 52.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 76K | 4.4M |
Analyst Outlook
JAKK leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates JAKK as "Hold" and MAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 79.0% upside for JAKK (target: $42) vs 28.6% for MAT (target: $19). JAKK is the only dividend payer here at 4.21% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $41.67 | $19.29 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 16 | 34 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.2% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.98 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.1% | 0.0% |
JAKK leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). MAT leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
JAKK vs MAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is JAKK or MAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Mattel, Inc.
(MAT) is the stronger pick with -0. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -17. 4% for JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK). Mattel, Inc. (MAT) offers the better valuation at 12. 1x trailing P/E (11. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Mattel, Inc. (MAT) a "Buy" — based on 34 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — JAKK or MAT?
On trailing P/E, Mattel, Inc.
(MAT) is the cheapest at 12. 1x versus JAKKS Pacific, Inc. at 27. 1x. On forward P/E, JAKKS Pacific, Inc. is actually cheaper at 7. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — JAKK or MAT?
Over the past 5 years, JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
(JAKK) delivered a total return of +161. 5%, compared to -31. 4% for Mattel, Inc. (MAT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MAT returned -45. 0% versus JAKK's -66. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — JAKK or MAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Mattel, Inc.
(MAT) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 24β versus JAKKS Pacific, Inc. 's 1. 79β — meaning JAKK is approximately 44% more volatile than MAT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 37% versus 128% for Mattel, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — JAKK or MAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Mattel, Inc.
(MAT) is pulling ahead at -0. 6% versus -17. 4% for JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Mattel, Inc. grew EPS -21. 5% year-over-year, compared to -72. 6% for JAKKS Pacific, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MAT leads at -0. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — JAKK or MAT?
Mattel, Inc.
(MAT) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 4% net margin versus 1. 7% for JAKKS Pacific, Inc. — meaning it keeps 7. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MAT leads at 11. 6% versus 2. 5% for JAKK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MAT leads at 48. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is JAKK or MAT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
(JAKK) trades at 7. 4x forward P/E versus 11. 5x for Mattel, Inc. — 4. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for JAKK: 79. 0% to $41. 67.
08Which pays a better dividend — JAKK or MAT?
In this comparison, JAKK (4.
2% yield) pays a dividend. MAT does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is JAKK or MAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Mattel, Inc.
(MAT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 24)). JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK) carries a higher beta of 1. 79 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MAT: -45. 0%, JAKK: -66. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between JAKK and MAT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: JAKK is a small-cap income-oriented stock; MAT is a small-cap deep-value stock. JAKK pays a dividend while MAT does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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