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MATMattel, Inc.
$15.04$4.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
MAT logo

Mattel, Inc.

MAT
NASDAQ · Leisure
$15.04
At close - Oct 1, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$4.37B
P/E12.1x
52W High$22.48
Volume35.6M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Margin Resilience Amidst Stagnant Top-Line Growth

Mattel's investment case hinges on its ability to sustain margin expansion through cost discipline and owned IP pricing power, as evidenced by a 48.2% gross margin in Q2 2026 despite negative revenue growth. However, persistent top-line stagnation (-0.6% YoY) ...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MAT price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-55% Peers

P/E is 55% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 26 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 74% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 4

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/2/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MAT-24.95%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+11.83%
1-Year Return
MAT-12.96%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+14.29%
3-Year Return
MAT-30.95%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+101.49%
5-Year Return
MAT-19.62%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+101.62%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
12.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
11.5x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
7.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
9.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
12.3x
16.0x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
7.5x
9.8x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
10.8x
15.4x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$19.15+27.3%
Base (Fair)$34.95+163.0%
Bull$69.74+363.7%
$19.15 Bear$34.95 Base$69.74 Bull
Current Market Price: $15.04
Trades at a 57.0% discount to Base DCF ($34.95)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$5.35B-0.6% YoY
Net income
$398M-26.6% YoY
Free cash flow
$411M-31.2% YoY
Operating margin
11.6%-1.3 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)12.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)17.7%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 4, 2026
$0.01-74.8%
vs $0.04
$1.1B+2.2%
vs $1.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 29, 2026
-$0.20+16.7%
vs -$0.24
$862M+6.7%
vs $808M
Q1 2026
Feb 10, 2026
$0.39-26.4%
vs $0.53
$1.8B-4.2%
vs $1.8B
Q4 2025
Oct 21, 2025
$0.89-15.2%
vs $1.05
$1.7B-5.9%
vs $1.8B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
CNBC·1d ago
Mattel shares rise after reports of takeover interest from Authentic Brands Group

Mattel shares rose Thursday after the Wall Street Journal reported that Authentic Brands Group had expressed takeover interest. The news came the day after the toymaker announced that Condé Nast CEO Roger Lynch would take over as CEO.

Reuters·1d ago
Mattel attracts takeover interest from Authentic Brands Group, WSJ reports

Mattel has been ​privately discussing a takeover offer ‌from Authentic Brands Group that could value the Barbie maker at ​around $6 billion or more, ​the Wall Street Journal reported ⁠on Thursday, citing people ​familiar with the matter.

WSJ·1d ago
Barbie-Maker Mattel Draws Takeover Interest from Authentic Brands Group

Shares in the toy maker dropped 4% Wednesday after it named a new CEO.

Business Wire·1d ago
Mattel Unveils First Mattel Wonder Indoor Waterpark, Opening in Bellevue, Nebraska

EL SEGUNDO, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ: MAT), a leading global play and family entertainment company and owner of one of the world's most iconic brand portfolios in the world, announces a milestone in the expansion of its worldwide experiences business, confirming Bellevue, Nebraska, is now the first Mattel Wonder Indoor Waterpark planned to open at the end of 2027. Designed as a year-round, multi-brand destination, the approximately 100,000-square-foot waterpark will bring B.

Filtered for Mattel, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MAT against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Mattel, Inc. (MAT)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MAT logoMATMattel, Inc.Current
$15.04$4.37B12.13-0.59%7.44%17.68%—
HAS logoHASHasbro, Inc.
$89.98$12.73B-39.1213.68%15.99%132.32%—
JAKK logoJAKKJAKKS Pacific, Inc.
$25.50$291.83M29.65-17.42%2.77%6.5%—
SPWH logoSPWHSportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc.
$1.11$43.31M-0.850.96%-3.94%-26.33%—
PLBY logoPLBYPlayboy, Inc.
$1.01$117.13M-7.774.13%0.23%1.44%—
FNKO logoFNKOFunko, Inc.
$5.60$312.7M-4.52-13.49%-0.21%-1.09%—

Compare MAT vs Peers

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs HAS

Most directly comparable listed peer for MAT.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare MAT against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs HAS, JAKK, SPWH, PLBY

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MAT SEC Filings & Documents

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 31, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 2, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 26, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Mar 15, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 1, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 29, 2025·SEC

Get notified when MAT posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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MAT Frequently Asked Questions

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Mattel, Inc.'s revenue?

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) reported $5.49B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 21% increase from $4.54B in 1996.

How fast is Mattel, Inc. growing?

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) saw revenue decline by 0.6% over the past year.

Is MAT profitable?

Yes, Mattel, Inc. (MAT) is profitable, generating $427.4M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (7.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is MAT's return on equity?

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) has a return on equity (ROE) of 17.7%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Mattel, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) generated $626.5M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in MAT back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →