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KGC vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
KGC vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gold | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $36.86B | $431.16B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $7.94B | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.86B | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 52.8% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | 48.2% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 9.8x | 40.1x |
| Total Debt | $777M | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.75B | $9.98B |
KGC vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kinross Gold Corpor… (KGC) | 100 | 469.9 | +369.9% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 771.4 | +671.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KGC vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KGC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 39.3%, EPS growth 158.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 27.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.69, Low D/E 9.0%, current ratio 2.35x
- PEG 0.79 vs CAT's 1.43
CAT is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 1.54, yield 0.6%
- 12.2% 10Y total return vs KGC's 463.8%
- 0.6% yield, 8-year raise streak, vs KGC's 0.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 39.3% revenue growth vs CAT's 4.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.8x vs 40.1x), PEG 0.79 vs 1.43 | |
| Quality / Margins | 36.0% margin vs CAT's 13.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.69 vs CAT's 1.54, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.6% yield, 8-year raise streak, vs KGC's 0.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +190.7% vs KGC's +103.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 23.4% ROA vs CAT's 10.0%, ROIC 29.9% vs 15.9% |
KGC vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
KGC vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KGC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 8.9x KGC's $7.9B. KGC is the more profitable business, keeping 36.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CAT's 13.3%. On growth, KGC holds the edge at +58.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $7.9B | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $5.0B | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.9B | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $3.0B | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +52.8% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +48.2% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +36.0% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +38.0% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +58.6% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +130.0% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
KGC leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.5x trailing earnings, KGC trades at a 69% valuation discount to CAT's 49.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), KGC offers better value at 1.25x vs CAT's 1.75x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $36.9B | $431.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $35.9B | $464.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 15.47x | 49.21x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.83x | 40.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.25x | 1.75x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.40x | 34.48x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.14x | 6.38x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.34x | 20.39x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 14.35x | 41.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
KGC leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $34 for KGC. KGC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.09x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KGC scores 9/9 vs CAT's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +33.9% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +23.4% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +29.9% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +29.8% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 9 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.09x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$975M | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.8B | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $777M | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 58.61x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — KGC and CAT each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in KGC five years ago would be worth $41,403 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $40,189 for CAT. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +190.7% total return vs KGC's +103.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KGC at 80.4% vs CAT's 63.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +8.9% | +55.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +103.4% | +190.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +487.3% | +339.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +314.0% | +301.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +463.8% | +1223.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +80.4% | +63.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — KGC and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
KGC is the less volatile stock with a 0.69 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAT's 1.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAT currently trades 99.6% from its 52-week high vs KGC's 78.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.69x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $39.11 | $930.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $13.28 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.7% | +99.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 36.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 8.9M | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
CAT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates KGC as "Buy" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 37.3% upside for KGC (target: $42) vs -11.0% for CAT (target: $825). For income investors, CAT offers the higher dividend yield at 0.63% vs KGC's 0.41%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $42.25 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 28 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.4% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.13 | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.7% | +1.2% |
KGC leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). CAT leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook). 2 tied.
KGC vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KGC or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is the stronger pick with 39.
3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 3% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) offers the better valuation at 15. 5x trailing P/E (9. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — KGC or CAT?
On trailing P/E, Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is the cheapest at 15.
5x versus Caterpillar Inc. at 49. 2x. On forward P/E, Kinross Gold Corporation is actually cheaper at 9. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Kinross Gold Corporation wins at 0. 79x versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 43x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — KGC or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) delivered a total return of +314.
0%, compared to +301. 9% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1223% versus KGC's +463. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — KGC or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
69β versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 54β — meaning CAT is approximately 124% more volatile than KGC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 9% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — KGC or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is pulling ahead at 39.
3% versus 4. 3% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Kinross Gold Corporation grew EPS 158. 4% year-over-year, compared to -14. 6% for Caterpillar Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, KGC leads at 27. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — KGC or CAT?
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is the more profitable company, earning 33.
9% net margin versus 13. 1% for Caterpillar Inc. — meaning it keeps 33. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: KGC leads at 43. 2% versus 16. 6% for CAT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KGC leads at 47. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is KGC or CAT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 79x versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 43x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) trades at 9. 8x forward P/E versus 40. 1x for Caterpillar Inc. — 30. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for KGC: 37. 3% to $42. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — KGC or CAT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) offers the highest yield at 0. 6%, versus 0. 4% for Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC).
09Is KGC or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +1223% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAT: +1223%, KGC: +463. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between KGC and CAT?
These companies operate in different sectors (KGC (Basic Materials) and CAT (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: KGC is a mid-cap high-growth stock; CAT is a large-cap quality compounder stock. CAT pays a dividend while KGC does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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