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LAD vs PAG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Auto - Dealerships
LAD vs PAG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Dealerships | Auto - Dealerships |
| Market Cap | $6.60B | $11.16B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $37.73B | $32.07B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $711M | $926M |
| Gross Margin | 15.2% | 16.4% |
| Operating Margin | 3.7% | 3.9% |
| Forward P/E | 8.4x | 12.8x |
| Total Debt | $14.69B | $8.82B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $342M | $65M |
LAD vs PAG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) | 100 | 240.0 | +140.0% |
| Penske Automotive G… (PAG) | 100 | 474.6 | +374.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LAD vs PAG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LAD is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 4.0%, EPS growth 9.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 10.1%
- PEG 0.79 vs PAG's 0.80
- 4.0% revenue growth vs PAG's -0.2%
PAG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.66, yield 3.1%
- 422.4% 10Y total return vs LAD's 265.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.66, current ratio 0.99x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.0% revenue growth vs PAG's -0.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.4x vs 12.8x), PEG 0.79 vs 0.80 | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.9% margin vs LAD's 1.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.66 vs LAD's 1.09, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.1% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs LAD's 0.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +12.5% vs LAD's -1.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.2% ROA vs LAD's 2.9%, ROIC 6.9% vs 5.2% |
LAD vs PAG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
LAD vs PAG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PAG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LAD and PAG operate at a comparable scale, with $37.7B and $32.1B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 2.9% (PAG) to 1.9% (LAD).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $37.7B | $32.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.8B | $1.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $711M | $926M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.9B | $465M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +15.2% | +16.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.7% | +3.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.9% | +2.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.0% | +1.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.0% | +3.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -46.1% | -2.7% |
Valuation Metrics
LAD leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.0x trailing earnings, LAD trades at a 25% valuation discount to PAG's 12.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), PAG offers better value at 0.75x vs LAD's 0.84x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.6B | $11.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $20.9B | $19.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 8.95x | 12.01x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.44x | 12.82x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.84x | 0.75x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.36x | 13.71x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.18x | 0.35x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.11x | 2.01x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 34.39x | 15.08x |
Profitability & Efficiency
PAG leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PAG delivers a 16.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $11 for LAD. PAG carries lower financial leverage with a 1.58x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LAD's 2.22x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), PAG scores 7/9 vs LAD's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.6% | +16.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.9% | +5.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.2% | +6.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.2% | +11.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.22x | 1.58x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $14.3B | $8.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $342M | $65M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $14.7B | $8.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.34x | 6.37x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
PAG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PAG five years ago would be worth $20,201 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,857 for LAD. Over the past 12 months, PAG leads with a +12.5% total return vs LAD's -1.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LAD at 10.5% vs PAG's 9.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -12.7% | +8.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -1.8% | +12.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +35.1% | +30.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -21.4% | +102.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +265.4% | +422.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.5% | +9.3% |
Risk & Volatility
PAG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PAG is the less volatile stock with a 0.66 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LAD's 1.09 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PAG currently trades 89.6% from its 52-week high vs LAD's 80.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.09x | 0.66x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $360.56 | $189.51 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $239.78 | $140.12 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +80.3% | +89.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.6 | 64.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 317K | 276K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — LAD and PAG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LAD as "Buy" and PAG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 42.2% upside for LAD (target: $412) vs 11.9% for PAG (target: $190). For income investors, PAG offers the higher dividend yield at 3.06% vs LAD's 0.75%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $411.67 | $190.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 26 | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.8% | +3.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.18 | $5.19 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +14.6% | +1.4% |
PAG leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). LAD leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
LAD vs PAG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LAD or PAG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Lithia Motors, Inc.
(LAD) is the stronger pick with 4. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 2% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG). Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) offers the better valuation at 9. 0x trailing P/E (8. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) a "Buy" — based on 26 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — LAD or PAG?
On trailing P/E, Lithia Motors, Inc.
(LAD) is the cheapest at 9. 0x versus Penske Automotive Group, Inc. at 12. 0x. On forward P/E, Lithia Motors, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Lithia Motors, Inc. wins at 0. 79x versus Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 's 0. 80x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — LAD or PAG?
Over the past 5 years, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) delivered a total return of +102. 0%, compared to -21. 4% for Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PAG returned +422. 4% versus LAD's +265. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — LAD or PAG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 66β versus Lithia Motors, Inc. 's 1. 09β — meaning LAD is approximately 64% more volatile than PAG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 158% versus 2% for Lithia Motors, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — LAD or PAG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Lithia Motors, Inc.
(LAD) is pulling ahead at 4. 0% versus -0. 2% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Lithia Motors, Inc. grew EPS 9. 0% year-over-year, compared to -2. 5% for Penske Automotive Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, LAD leads at 10. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — LAD or PAG?
Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) is the more profitable company, earning 2. 9% net margin versus 2. 2% for Lithia Motors, Inc. — meaning it keeps 2. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PAG leads at 4. 0% versus 3. 8% for LAD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PAG leads at 16. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is LAD or PAG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 79x versus Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 's 0. 80x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) trades at 8. 4x forward P/E versus 12. 8x for Penske Automotive Group, Inc. — 4. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LAD: 42. 2% to $411. 67.
08Which pays a better dividend — LAD or PAG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) offers the highest yield at 3. 1%, versus 0. 8% for Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD).
09Is LAD or PAG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
(PAG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 66), 3. 1% yield, +422. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PAG: +422. 4%, LAD: +265. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between LAD and PAG?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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