Integrated Freight & Logistics
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LSTR vs XPO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Integrated Freight & Logistics
LSTR vs XPO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $6.18B | $24.28B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.77B | $8.30B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $125M | $348M |
| Gross Margin | 17.2% | 12.2% |
| Operating Margin | 3.4% | 9.1% |
| Forward P/E | 32.2x | 43.9x |
| Total Debt | $133M | $4.70B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $397M | $310M |
LSTR vs XPO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Landstar System, In… (LSTR) | 100 | 156.5 | +56.5% |
| XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) | 100 | 758.7 | +658.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LSTR vs XPO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LSTR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 1.06, yield 2.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.06, Low D/E 16.8%, current ratio 1.75x
- Beta 1.06, yield 2.0%, current ratio 1.75x
XPO is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 1.1%, EPS growth -18.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.9%
- 21.5% 10Y total return vs LSTR's 208.2%
- 1.1% revenue growth vs LSTR's -1.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.1% revenue growth vs LSTR's -1.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (32.2x vs 43.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.2% margin vs LSTR's 2.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.06 vs XPO's 1.73, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.0% yield; 6-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +88.9% vs LSTR's +40.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.6% ROA vs XPO's 4.3%, ROIC 22.1% vs 9.3% |
LSTR vs XPO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
LSTR vs XPO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XPO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XPO is the larger business by revenue, generating $8.3B annually — 1.7x LSTR's $4.8B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 4.2% (XPO) to 2.6% (LSTR). On growth, XPO holds the edge at +7.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.8B | $8.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $209M | $1.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $125M | $348M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $239M | $457M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +17.2% | +12.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.4% | +9.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +2.6% | +4.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.0% | +5.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.3% | +7.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +36.5% | +49.1% |
Valuation Metrics
LSTR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 55.0x trailing earnings, LSTR trades at a 30% valuation discount to XPO's 78.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, XPO's 22.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than LSTR's 27.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.2B | $24.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.9B | $28.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 54.97x | 78.34x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 32.20x | 43.91x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.84x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 27.34x | 22.94x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.30x | 2.98x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 7.94x | 13.22x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 28.75x | 73.80x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LSTR leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
XPO delivers a 19.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $19 in annual profit, vs $15 for LSTR. LSTR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.17x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to XPO's 2.53x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), LSTR scores 6/9 vs XPO's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +14.6% | +19.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.6% | +4.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +22.1% | +9.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +16.4% | +11.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.17x | 2.53x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$263M | $4.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $397M | $310M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $133M | $4.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 79.62x | 3.21x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
XPO leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in XPO five years ago would be worth $40,679 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,113 for LSTR. Over the past 12 months, XPO leads with a +88.9% total return vs LSTR's +40.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors XPO at 62.2% vs LSTR's 2.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +25.6% | +49.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +40.2% | +88.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +7.0% | +326.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +11.1% | +306.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +208.2% | +2145.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +2.3% | +62.2% |
Risk & Volatility
LSTR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LSTR is the less volatile stock with a 1.06 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than XPO's 1.73 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LSTR currently trades 93.0% from its 52-week high vs XPO's 89.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.06x | 1.73x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $195.58 | $231.46 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $119.32 | $108.58 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.0% | +89.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 63.4 | 50.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 435K | 1.4M |
Analyst Outlook
LSTR leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LSTR as "Hold" and XPO as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 1.1% upside for XPO (target: $209) vs -6.2% for LSTR (target: $171). LSTR is the only dividend payer here at 1.98% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $170.75 | $209.07 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 33 | 32 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.0% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.59 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.9% | +0.5% |
LSTR leads in 4 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). XPO leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns).
LSTR vs XPO: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LSTR or XPO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) is the stronger pick with 1. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 9% for Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR). Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR) offers the better valuation at 55. 0x trailing P/E (32. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) a "Buy" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — LSTR or XPO?
On trailing P/E, Landstar System, Inc.
(LSTR) is the cheapest at 55. 0x versus XPO Logistics, Inc. at 78. 3x. On forward P/E, Landstar System, Inc. is actually cheaper at 32. 2x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — LSTR or XPO?
Over the past 5 years, XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) delivered a total return of +306. 8%, compared to +11. 1% for Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: XPO returned +21. 5% versus LSTR's +208. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — LSTR or XPO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Landstar System, Inc.
(LSTR) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 06β versus XPO Logistics, Inc. 's 1. 73β — meaning XPO is approximately 63% more volatile than LSTR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 17% versus 3% for XPO Logistics, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — LSTR or XPO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) is pulling ahead at 1. 1% versus -1. 9% for Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: XPO Logistics, Inc. grew EPS -18. 3% year-over-year, compared to -39. 9% for Landstar System, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, XPO leads at 1. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — LSTR or XPO?
XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 9% net margin versus 2. 4% for Landstar System, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: XPO leads at 8. 9% versus 3. 6% for LSTR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LSTR leads at 13. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is LSTR or XPO more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Landstar System, Inc.
(LSTR) trades at 32. 2x forward P/E versus 43. 9x for XPO Logistics, Inc. — 11. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for XPO: 1. 1% to $209. 07.
08Which pays a better dividend — LSTR or XPO?
In this comparison, LSTR (2.
0% yield) pays a dividend. XPO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is LSTR or XPO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Landstar System, Inc.
(LSTR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 06), 2. 0% yield, +208. 2% 10Y return). XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) carries a higher beta of 1. 73 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (LSTR: +208. 2%, XPO: +21. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between LSTR and XPO?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
LSTR pays a dividend while XPO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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