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LUCK vs EAT vs CAKE vs YUM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
Restaurants
Restaurants
LUCK vs EAT vs CAKE vs YUM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Leisure | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $1.04B | $6.27B | $3.03B | $43.48B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.24B | $5.73B | $3.75B | $8.48B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-88M | $463M | $148M | $1.74B |
| Gross Margin | 21.4% | 46.0% | 78.3% | 45.7% |
| Operating Margin | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 31.5% |
| Forward P/E | 1496.0x | 13.7x | 15.0x | 23.3x |
| Total Debt | $2.63B | $1.69B | $3.46B | $11.91B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $60M | $19M | $216M | $709M |
LUCK vs EAT vs CAKE vs YUM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucky Strike Entert… (LUCK) | 100 | 76.7 | -23.3% |
| Brinker Internation… (EAT) | 100 | 217.9 | +117.9% |
| The Cheesecake Fact… (CAKE) | 100 | 97.1 | -2.9% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) | 100 | 131.6 | +31.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LUCK vs EAT vs CAKE vs YUM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LUCK is the clearest fit if your priority is dividends.
- 3.2% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs YUM's 1.8%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
EAT is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Rev growth 21.9%, EPS growth 144.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 12.3%
- 229.9% 10Y total return vs YUM's 200.9%
- PEG 0.20 vs YUM's 1.71
- 21.9% revenue growth vs LUCK's 4.0%
CAKE is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +23.5% vs LUCK's -19.4%
YUM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 0.19, yield 1.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.19, current ratio 1.35x
- Beta 0.19, yield 1.8%, current ratio 1.35x
- 20.5% margin vs LUCK's -7.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.9% revenue growth vs LUCK's 4.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.7x vs 23.3x), PEG 0.20 vs 1.71 | |
| Quality / Margins | 20.5% margin vs LUCK's -7.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.19 vs LUCK's 1.33 | |
| Dividends | 3.2% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs YUM's 1.8%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +23.5% vs LUCK's -19.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 22.8% ROA vs LUCK's -2.7%, ROIC 48.1% vs 4.4% |
LUCK vs EAT vs CAKE vs YUM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
LUCK vs EAT vs CAKE vs YUM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
EAT leads in 3 of 6 categories
YUM leads 2 • LUCK leads 0 • CAKE leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
YUM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
YUM is the larger business by revenue, generating $8.5B annually — 6.8x LUCK's $1.2B. YUM is the more profitable business, keeping 20.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to LUCK's -7.1%. On growth, YUM holds the edge at +15.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.2B | $5.7B | $3.8B | $8.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $281M | $819M | $296M | $2.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$88M | $463M | $148M | $1.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $25M | $504M | $155M | $1.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +21.4% | +46.0% | +78.3% | +45.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.7% | +10.4% | +5.0% | +31.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.1% | +8.1% | +4.0% | +20.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.0% | +8.8% | +4.1% | +19.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.7% | +3.2% | +4.4% | +15.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +43.7% | +12.1% | -28.6% | +72.2% |
Valuation Metrics
EAT leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 17.6x trailing earnings, EAT trades at a 38% valuation discount to YUM's 28.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), EAT offers better value at 0.26x vs YUM's 2.08x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.0B | $6.3B | $3.0B | $43.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.6B | $7.9B | $6.3B | $54.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -57.54x | 17.58x | 19.80x | 28.29x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 1496.00x | 13.66x | 15.04x | 23.30x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.26x | — | 2.08x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.29x | 11.06x | 21.19x | 19.98x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.87x | 1.17x | 0.81x | 5.29x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 18.18x | 6.74x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 28.75x | 15.17x | 19.55x | 26.53x |
Profitability & Efficiency
EAT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
EAT delivers a 123.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $123 in annual profit, vs $37 for CAKE. EAT carries lower financial leverage with a 4.57x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAKE's 7.93x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), EAT scores 7/9 vs YUM's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +123.4% | +37.1% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -2.7% | +17.0% | +4.7% | +22.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.4% | +19.1% | +4.7% | +48.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.7% | +25.8% | +7.8% | +41.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 4.57x | 7.93x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.6B | $1.7B | $3.2B | $11.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $60M | $19M | $216M | $709M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.6B | $1.7B | $3.5B | $11.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.54x | 18.61x | 16.15x | 5.26x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
EAT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in EAT five years ago would be worth $22,577 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,148 for LUCK. Over the past 12 months, CAKE leads with a +23.5% total return vs LUCK's -19.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors EAT at 58.2% vs LUCK's -17.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -11.2% | -3.4% | +15.7% | +5.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -19.4% | +5.3% | +23.5% | +7.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -43.7% | +295.8% | +92.1% | +21.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -18.5% | +125.8% | +2.1% | +40.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -17.7% | +229.9% | +35.6% | +200.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -17.4% | +58.2% | +24.3% | +6.6% |
Risk & Volatility
YUM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
YUM is the less volatile stock with a 0.19 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LUCK's 1.33 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. YUM currently trades 92.9% from its 52-week high vs LUCK's 64.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.33x | 1.12x | 1.11x | 0.19x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $11.61 | $187.12 | $69.70 | $169.39 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.71 | $100.30 | $43.07 | $137.33 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +64.4% | +78.2% | +87.2% | +92.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.1 | 50.6 | 50.5 | 44.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 78K | 1.2M | 1.2M | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — LUCK and YUM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: LUCK as "Buy", EAT as "Buy", CAKE as "Hold", YUM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 71.5% upside for LUCK (target: $13) vs 7.7% for CAKE (target: $66). For income investors, LUCK offers the higher dividend yield at 3.20% vs CAKE's 1.78%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.83 | $184.46 | $65.50 | $174.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 47 | 48 | 51 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.2% | — | +1.8% | +1.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.24 | — | $1.08 | $2.84 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.9% | +1.4% | +5.1% | +1.3% |
EAT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). YUM leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
LUCK vs EAT vs CAKE vs YUM: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LUCK or EAT or CAKE or YUM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) is the stronger pick with 21. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 0% for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK). Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) offers the better valuation at 17. 6x trailing P/E (13. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — LUCK or EAT or CAKE or YUM?
On trailing P/E, Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) is the cheapest at 17. 6x versus Yum! Brands, Inc. at 28. 3x. On forward P/E, Brinker International, Inc. is actually cheaper at 13. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Brinker International, Inc. wins at 0. 20x versus Yum! Brands, Inc. 's 1. 71x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — LUCK or EAT or CAKE or YUM?
Over the past 5 years, Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) delivered a total return of +125. 8%, compared to -18. 5% for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: EAT returned +229. 9% versus LUCK's -17. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — LUCK or EAT or CAKE or YUM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Yum!
Brands, Inc. (YUM) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 19β versus Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation's 1. 33β — meaning LUCK is approximately 603% more volatile than YUM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 8% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — LUCK or EAT or CAKE or YUM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Brinker International, Inc.
(EAT) is pulling ahead at 21. 9% versus 4. 0% for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Brinker International, Inc. grew EPS 144. 7% year-over-year, compared to -4. 1% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, EAT leads at 12. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — LUCK or EAT or CAKE or YUM?
Yum!
Brands, Inc. (YUM) is the more profitable company, earning 19. 0% net margin versus -0. 8% for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation — meaning it keeps 19. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: YUM leads at 30. 8% versus 5. 0% for CAKE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAKE leads at 78. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is LUCK or EAT or CAKE or YUM more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 20x versus Yum! Brands, Inc. 's 1. 71x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) trades at 13. 7x forward P/E versus 1496. 0x for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation — 1482. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LUCK: 71. 5% to $12. 83.
08Which pays a better dividend — LUCK or EAT or CAKE or YUM?
In this comparison, LUCK (3.
2% yield), YUM (1. 8% yield), CAKE (1. 8% yield) pay a dividend. EAT does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is LUCK or EAT or CAKE or YUM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Yum!
Brands, Inc. (YUM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 19), 1. 8% yield, +200. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (YUM: +200. 9%, EAT: +229. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between LUCK and EAT and CAKE and YUM?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: LUCK is a small-cap income-oriented stock; EAT is a small-cap high-growth stock; CAKE is a small-cap quality compounder stock; YUM is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. LUCK, CAKE, YUM pay a dividend while EAT does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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