Aerospace & Defense
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LUNR vs RDW
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
LUNR vs RDW — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $1.45B | $10.37B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $210M | $335M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-97M | $-227M |
| Gross Margin | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| Operating Margin | -41.5% | -68.5% |
| Total Debt | $372M | $44M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $583M | $95M |
LUNR vs RDW — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Nov 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intuitive Machines,… (LUNR) | 100 | 271.2 | +171.2% |
| Redwire Corporation (RDW) | 100 | 108.7 | +8.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LUNR vs RDW
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LUNR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -7.9%, EPS growth 84.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 34.7%
- 157.0% 10Y total return vs RDW's -16.7%
- -46.1% margin vs RDW's -67.6%
RDW is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 3.20
- Lower volatility, beta 3.20, Low D/E 4.1%, current ratio 1.62x
- Beta 3.20, current ratio 1.62x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 10.3% revenue growth vs LUNR's -7.9% | |
| Quality / Margins | -46.1% margin vs RDW's -67.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 3.20 vs LUNR's 3.26, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +174.0% vs RDW's -24.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -15.6% ROA vs RDW's -15.6% |
LUNR vs RDW — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
LUNR vs RDW — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LUNR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RDW is the larger business by revenue, generating $335M annually — 1.6x LUNR's $210M. LUNR is the more profitable business, keeping -46.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to RDW's -67.6%. On growth, RDW holds the edge at +56.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $210M | $335M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$84M | -$209M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$97M | -$227M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$56M | -$165M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.4% | +5.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -41.5% | -68.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -46.1% | -67.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -26.6% | -49.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -18.6% | +56.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -115.3% | +64.5% |
Valuation Metrics
LUNR leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.5B | $10.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.2B | $10.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -35.43x | -3.80x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 6.92x | 30.92x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 14.53x | 9.78x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
RDW leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
RDW delivers a -21.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-21 in annual profit, vs $-36 for LUNR. RDW carries lower financial leverage with a 0.04x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LUNR's 1.83x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), RDW scores 4/9 vs LUNR's 3/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -36.3% | -21.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -15.6% | -15.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | -32.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -19.6% | -32.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.83x | 0.04x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$210M | -$51M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $583M | $95M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $372M | $44M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -19.72x | -2.87x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LUNR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LUNR five years ago would be worth $25,700 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,640 for RDW. Over the past 12 months, LUNR leads with a +174.0% total return vs RDW's -24.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LUNR at 52.3% vs RDW's 43.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +38.7% | -3.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +174.0% | -24.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +253.3% | +197.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +157.0% | -13.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +157.0% | -16.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +52.3% | +43.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — LUNR and RDW each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
RDW is the less volatile stock with a 3.20 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LUNR's 3.26 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LUNR currently trades 79.6% from its 52-week high vs RDW's 39.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 3.26x | 3.20x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.15 | $22.25 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $7.78 | $4.87 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +79.6% | +39.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.2 | 43.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 13.6M | 19.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LUNR as "Buy" and RDW as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 63.7% upside for RDW (target: $14) vs -2.8% for LUNR (target: $24).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $24.10 | $14.20 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 11 | 10 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.4% | 0.0% |
LUNR leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). RDW leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
LUNR vs RDW: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LUNR or RDW a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Redwire Corporation (RDW) is the stronger pick with 10.
3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -7. 9% for Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR). Analysts rate Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) a "Buy" — based on 11 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — LUNR or RDW?
Over the past 5 years, Intuitive Machines, Inc.
(LUNR) delivered a total return of +157. 0%, compared to -13. 6% for Redwire Corporation (RDW). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LUNR returned +157. 0% versus RDW's -16. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — LUNR or RDW?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Redwire Corporation (RDW) is the lower-risk stock at 3.
20β versus Intuitive Machines, Inc. 's 3. 26β — meaning LUNR is approximately 2% more volatile than RDW relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Redwire Corporation (RDW) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 4% versus 183% for Intuitive Machines, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — LUNR or RDW?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Redwire Corporation (RDW) is pulling ahead at 10.
3% versus -7. 9% for Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Intuitive Machines, Inc. grew EPS 84. 9% year-over-year, compared to 3. 0% for Redwire Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, LUNR leads at 34. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — LUNR or RDW?
Intuitive Machines, Inc.
(LUNR) is the more profitable company, earning -39. 7% net margin versus -67. 6% for Redwire Corporation — meaning it keeps -39. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LUNR leads at -41. 5% versus -68. 5% for RDW. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LUNR leads at 15. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — LUNR or RDW?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is LUNR or RDW better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Intuitive Machines, Inc.
(LUNR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+157. 0% 10Y return). Redwire Corporation (RDW) carries a higher beta of 3. 20 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (LUNR: +157. 0%, RDW: -16. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between LUNR and RDW?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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