Packaged Foods
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LW vs CAG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
LW vs CAG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $5.83B | $6.76B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.53B | $11.18B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $450M | $13M |
| Gross Margin | 22.2% | 24.6% |
| Operating Margin | 11.9% | 13.1% |
| Forward P/E | 15.2x | 8.3x |
| Total Debt | $4.16B | $8.31B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $71M | $68M |
LW vs CAG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamb Weston Holding… (LW) | 100 | 69.9 | -30.1% |
| Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) | 100 | 40.6 | -59.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LW vs CAG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LW carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 0.8%, EPS growth 0.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 16.3%
- 52.8% 10Y total return vs CAG's -28.5%
- 0.8% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8%
CAG is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.07, yield 9.9%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.07, Low D/E 93.0%, current ratio 0.71x
- Beta 0.07, yield 9.9%, current ratio 0.71x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.8% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.3x vs 15.2x), PEG 1.19 vs 189.58 | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.9% margin vs CAG's 0.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.07 vs LW's 0.69, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.5% yield, 7-year raise streak, vs CAG's 9.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -15.4% vs CAG's -33.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.2% ROA vs CAG's 0.1%, ROIC 8.6% vs 6.0% |
LW vs CAG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
LW vs CAG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LW leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAG is the larger business by revenue, generating $11.2B annually — 1.7x LW's $6.5B. LW is the more profitable business, keeping 6.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CAG's 0.1%. On growth, LW holds the edge at +0.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.5B | $11.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.2B | $1.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $450M | $13M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $845M | $634M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.2% | +24.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.9% | +13.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.9% | +0.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.9% | +5.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.3% | -6.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -47.7% | -3.4% |
Valuation Metrics
CAG leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.9x trailing earnings, CAG trades at a 65% valuation discount to LW's 16.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CAG offers better value at 0.84x vs LW's 189.58x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.8B | $6.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.9B | $15.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 16.80x | 5.86x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.20x | 8.31x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 189.58x | 0.84x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.25x | 8.55x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.90x | 0.58x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.45x | 0.76x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.36x | 5.19x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LW leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LW delivers a 25.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $0 for CAG. CAG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.93x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LW's 2.39x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CAG scores 6/9 vs LW's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +25.1% | +0.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +6.2% | +0.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.6% | +6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.2% | +8.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.39x | 0.93x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.1B | $8.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $71M | $68M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.2B | $8.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.33x | 1.56x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LW leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LW five years ago would be worth $6,117 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,463 for CAG. Over the past 12 months, LW leads with a -15.4% total return vs CAG's -33.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAG at -21.4% vs LW's -25.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.1% | -14.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -15.4% | -33.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -58.8% | -51.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -38.8% | -45.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +52.8% | -28.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -25.6% | -21.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — LW and CAG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAG is the less volatile stock with a 0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LW's 0.69 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.69x | 0.07x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $67.07 | $23.47 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $37.64 | $13.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +62.6% | +60.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.2 | 42.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.2M | 14.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — LW and CAG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LW as "Hold" and CAG as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 24.2% upside for CAG (target: $18) vs 18.1% for LW (target: $50). For income investors, CAG offers the higher dividend yield at 9.91% vs LW's 3.45%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $49.60 | $17.55 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 17 | 25 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.5% | +9.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 7 | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.45 | $1.40 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.0% | +0.9% |
LW leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CAG leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
LW vs CAG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LW or CAG a better buy right now?
Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) offers the better valuation at 5. 9x trailing P/E (8. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) a "Hold" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — LW or CAG?
On trailing P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the cheapest at 5. 9x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. at 16. 8x. On forward P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Conagra Brands, Inc. wins at 1. 19x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 189. 58x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — LW or CAG?
Over the past 5 years, Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
(LW) delivered a total return of -38. 8%, compared to -45. 4% for Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LW returned +52. 8% versus CAG's -28. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — LW or CAG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 07β versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 0. 69β — meaning LW is approximately 965% more volatile than CAG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 93% versus 2% for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — LW or CAG?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
grew EPS 0. 0% year-over-year, compared to 0. 0% for Conagra Brands, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, LW leads at 16. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — LW or CAG?
Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 9% net margin versus 5. 5% for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAG leads at 11. 8% versus 10. 3% for LW. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAG leads at 25. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is LW or CAG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 19x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 189. 58x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) trades at 8. 3x forward P/E versus 15. 2x for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. — 6. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CAG: 24. 2% to $17. 55.
08Which pays a better dividend — LW or CAG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the highest yield at 9. 9%, versus 3. 5% for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW).
09Is LW or CAG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 07), 9. 9% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAG: -28. 5%, LW: +52. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between LW and CAG?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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