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MCD vs SHAK
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
MCD vs SHAK — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $202.32B | $3.89B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $26.26B | $1.45B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $8.41B | $46M |
| Gross Margin | 57.4% | 18.0% |
| Operating Margin | 46.1% | 4.8% |
| Forward P/E | 21.5x | 70.0x |
| Total Debt | $51.95B | $902M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.08B | $360M |
MCD vs SHAK — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporat… (MCD) | 100 | 152.5 | +52.5% |
| Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) | 100 | 173.8 | +73.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MCD vs SHAK
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MCD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 26 yrs, beta 0.11, yield 2.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.11, current ratio 1.19x
- Beta 0.11, yield 2.4%, current ratio 1.19x
SHAK is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 15.4%, EPS growth 354.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.1%
- 181.2% 10Y total return vs MCD's 158.5%
- 15.4% revenue growth vs MCD's 1.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.4% revenue growth vs MCD's 1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (21.5x vs 70.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 32.0% margin vs SHAK's 3.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.11 vs SHAK's 1.75 | |
| Dividends | 2.4% yield; 26-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -2.2% vs MCD's -8.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.9% ROA vs SHAK's 2.5%, ROIC 19.3% vs 6.0% |
MCD vs SHAK — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MCD vs SHAK — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.3B annually — 18.2x SHAK's $1.4B. MCD is the more profitable business, keeping 32.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SHAK's 3.2%. On growth, SHAK holds the edge at +21.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $26.3B | $1.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $14.3B | $176M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $8.4B | $46M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $7.4B | $57M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +57.4% | +18.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +46.1% | +4.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +32.0% | +3.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +28.1% | +3.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.0% | +21.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.6% | +33.3% |
Valuation Metrics
MCD leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 24.9x trailing earnings, MCD trades at a 72% valuation discount to SHAK's 88.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, MCD's 18.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than SHAK's 23.0x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $202.3B | $3.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $253.2B | $4.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 24.94x | 88.55x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.54x | 69.99x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 3.26x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 18.33x | 23.02x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 7.81x | 2.69x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 7.29x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 30.32x | 68.77x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — MCD and SHAK each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +8.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +13.9% | +2.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +19.3% | +6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +23.3% | +5.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 1.63x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $50.9B | $542M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.1B | $360M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $51.9B | $902M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.88x | 14.47x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SHAK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MCD five years ago would be worth $13,445 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,138 for SHAK. Over the past 12 months, SHAK leads with a -2.2% total return vs MCD's -8.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SHAK at 13.0% vs MCD's 0.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -5.7% | +15.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -8.0% | -2.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2.7% | +44.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +34.4% | -8.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +158.5% | +181.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +0.9% | +13.0% |
Risk & Volatility
MCD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MCD is the less volatile stock with a 0.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SHAK's 1.75 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MCD currently trades 83.1% from its 52-week high vs SHAK's 66.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.11x | 1.75x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $341.75 | $144.65 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $282.40 | $76.51 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +83.1% | +66.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 31.7 | 48.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.9M | 1.3M |
Analyst Outlook
MCD leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MCD as "Buy" and SHAK as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 25.2% upside for SHAK (target: $121) vs 24.0% for MCD (target: $352). MCD is the only dividend payer here at 2.37% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $352.25 | $120.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 62 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.4% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 26 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $6.75 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.4% | 0.0% |
MCD leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). SHAK leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
MCD vs SHAK: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MCD or SHAK a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the stronger pick with 15. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 7% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). McDonald's Corporation (MCD) offers the better valuation at 24. 9x trailing P/E (21. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate McDonald's Corporation (MCD) a "Buy" — based on 62 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MCD or SHAK?
On trailing P/E, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the cheapest at 24.
9x versus Shake Shack Inc. at 88. 6x. On forward P/E, McDonald's Corporation is actually cheaper at 21. 5x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MCD or SHAK?
Over the past 5 years, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) delivered a total return of +34.
4%, compared to -8. 6% for Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SHAK returned +181. 2% versus MCD's +158. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MCD or SHAK?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
11β versus Shake Shack Inc. 's 1. 75β — meaning SHAK is approximately 1472% more volatile than MCD relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — MCD or SHAK?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is pulling ahead at 15. 4% versus 1. 7% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Shake Shack Inc. grew EPS 354. 2% year-over-year, compared to -1. 5% for McDonald's Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, SHAK leads at 17. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MCD or SHAK?
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the more profitable company, earning 31.
7% net margin versus 3. 2% for Shake Shack Inc. — meaning it keeps 31. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MCD leads at 45. 2% versus 5. 9% for SHAK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MCD leads at 56. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MCD or SHAK more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) trades at 21.
5x forward P/E versus 70. 0x for Shake Shack Inc. — 48. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SHAK: 25. 2% to $120. 89.
08Which pays a better dividend — MCD or SHAK?
In this comparison, MCD (2.
4% yield) pays a dividend. SHAK does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is MCD or SHAK better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
11), 2. 4% yield, +158. 5% 10Y return). Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) carries a higher beta of 1. 75 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MCD: +158. 5%, SHAK: +181. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MCD and SHAK?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MCD is a large-cap quality compounder stock; SHAK is a small-cap high-growth stock. MCD pays a dividend while SHAK does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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