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Stock Comparison

MDGL vs GPCR vs ARWR vs TERN

Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.

Live fundamentals10-year financials5-year price chart
MDGL
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Biotechnology

HealthcareNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$12.27B
5Y Perf.+97.4%
GPCR
Structure Therapeutics Inc.

Biotechnology

HealthcareNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$2.25B
5Y Perf.+53.2%
ARWR
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Biotechnology

HealthcareNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$10.92B
5Y Perf.+141.3%
TERN
Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Biotechnology

HealthcareNASDAQ • US
Market Cap$4.63B
5Y Perf.+422.5%

MDGL vs GPCR vs ARWR vs TERN — Key Financials

Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.

Company Snapshot
MDGL logoMDGL
GPCR logoGPCR
ARWR logoARWR
TERN logoTERN
IndustryBiotechnologyBiotechnologyBiotechnologyBiotechnology
Market Cap$12.27B$2.25B$10.92B$4.63B
Revenue (TTM)$1.13B$0.00$622M$0.00
Net Income (TTM)$-309M$-170M$-301M$-94M
Gross Margin93.1%85.1%
Operating Margin-27.7%-35.7%
Total Debt$354M$6M$366M$1M
Cash & Equiv.$199M$800M$227M$161M

MDGL vs GPCR vs ARWR vs TERNLong-Term Stock Performance

Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.

MDGL
GPCR
ARWR
TERN
StockFeb 23May 26Return
Madrigal Pharmaceut… (MDGL)100197.4+97.4%
Structure Therapeut… (GPCR)100153.2+53.2%
Arrowhead Pharmaceu… (ARWR)100241.3+141.3%
Terns Pharmaceutica… (TERN)100522.5+422.5%

Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.

Quick Verdict: MDGL vs GPCR vs ARWR vs TERN

Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.

Bottom line: TERN leads in 3 of 6 categories, making it the strongest pick for profitability and margin quality and capital preservation and lower volatility. Structure Therapeutics Inc. is the stronger pick specifically for operational efficiency and capital deployment. ARWR also leads in specific categories worth noting. As sector peers, any of these can serve as alternatives in the same allocation.
MDGL
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
The Long-Run Compounder

MDGL is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.

  • 39.2% 10Y total return vs TERN's 187.9%
Best for: long-term compounding
GPCR
Structure Therapeutics Inc.
The Niche Pick

GPCR is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if efficiency is your priority.

  • -14.4% ROA vs TERN's -28.5%, ROIC -30.3% vs -42.2%
Best for: efficiency
ARWR
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
The Growth Play

ARWR is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.

  • Rev growth 232.6%, EPS growth 99.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 50.5%
  • 232.6% revenue growth vs GPCR's -18.6%
Best for: growth exposure
TERN
Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
The Income Pick

TERN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.

  • beta 0.39
  • Lower volatility, beta 0.39, Low D/E 0.4%, current ratio 23.14x
  • Beta 0.39, current ratio 23.14x
  • 3.7% margin vs ARWR's -48.4%
Best for: income & stability and sleep-well-at-night
See the full category breakdown
CategoryWinnerWhy
GrowthARWR logoARWR232.6% revenue growth vs GPCR's -18.6%
Quality / MarginsTERN logoTERN3.7% margin vs ARWR's -48.4%
Stability / SafetyTERN logoTERNBeta 0.39 vs ARWR's 1.81, lower leverage
DividendsTieNone of these 4 stocks pay a meaningful dividend
Momentum (1Y)TERN logoTERN+16.5% vs GPCR's +47.2%
Efficiency (ROA)GPCR logoGPCR-14.4% ROA vs TERN's -28.5%, ROIC -30.3% vs -42.2%

MDGL vs GPCR vs ARWR vs TERN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment

How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units

MDGLMadrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
FY 2025
Reportable Segment
100.0%$958M
GPCRStructure Therapeutics Inc.

Segment breakdown not available.

ARWRArrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Segment breakdown not available.

TERNTerns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Segment breakdown not available.

MDGL vs GPCR vs ARWR vs TERN — Financial Metrics

Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.

BEST OVERALLTERNLAGGINGGPCR

Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)

MDGL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

MDGL and TERN operate at a comparable scale, with $1.1B and $0 in trailing revenue. MDGL is the more profitable business, keeping -27.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ARWR's -48.4%. On growth, MDGL holds the edge at +126.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.

MetricMDGL logoMDGLMadrigal Pharmace…GPCR logoGPCRStructure Therape…ARWR logoARWRArrowhead Pharmac…TERN logoTERNTerns Pharmaceuti…
RevenueTrailing 12 months$1.1B$0$622M$0
EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax-$312M-$209M-$203M-$108M
Net IncomeAfter-tax profit-$309M-$170M-$301M-$94M
Free Cash FlowCash after capex-$272M-$159M-$51M-$78M
Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue+93.1%+85.1%
Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue-27.7%-35.7%
Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue-27.3%-48.4%
FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue-24.1%-8.2%
Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year+126.8%-86.4%
EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year+2.1%-29.6%-133.8%+3.6%
MDGL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

Valuation Metrics

Evenly matched — MDGL and GPCR and ARWR each lead in 1 of 3 comparable metrics.
MetricMDGL logoMDGLMadrigal Pharmace…GPCR logoGPCRStructure Therape…ARWR logoARWRArrowhead Pharmac…TERN logoTERNTerns Pharmaceuti…
Market CapShares × price$12.3B$2.3B$10.9B$4.6B
Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash$12.4B$1.5B$11.1B$4.5B
Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS-41.62x-16.31x-6389.34x-47.28x
Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est.
PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate
EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple90.41x
Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue12.80x13.16x
Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share19.91x1.53x20.71x12.17x
Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF69.58x
Evenly matched — MDGL and GPCR and ARWR each lead in 1 of 3 comparable metrics.

Profitability & Efficiency

ARWR leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.

GPCR delivers a -15.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-15 in annual profit, vs $-55 for ARWR. TERN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ARWR's 0.73x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ARWR scores 6/9 vs TERN's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.

MetricMDGL logoMDGLMadrigal Pharmace…GPCR logoGPCRStructure Therape…ARWR logoARWRArrowhead Pharmac…TERN logoTERNTerns Pharmaceuti…
ROE (TTM)Return on equity-50.2%-15.1%-55.5%-30.0%
ROA (TTM)Return on assets-25.4%-14.4%-18.1%-28.5%
ROICReturn on invested capital-29.4%-30.3%+9.3%-42.2%
ROCEReturn on capital employed-32.9%-24.1%+8.8%-33.7%
Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–93363
Debt / EquityFinancial leverage0.59x0.00x0.73x0.00x
Net DebtTotal debt minus cash$156M-$793M$140M-$160M
Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets$199M$800M$227M$161M
Total DebtShort + long-term debt$354M$6M$366M$1M
Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense-17.51x-1.03x
ARWR leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.

Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)

TERN leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

A $10,000 investment in MDGL five years ago would be worth $41,011 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,743 for ARWR. Over the past 12 months, TERN leads with a +1647.5% total return vs GPCR's +47.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TERN at 59.1% vs GPCR's 17.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.

MetricMDGL logoMDGLMadrigal Pharmace…GPCR logoGPCRStructure Therape…ARWR logoARWRArrowhead Pharmac…TERN logoTERNTerns Pharmaceuti…
YTD ReturnYear-to-date-9.9%-42.5%+15.0%+32.0%
1-Year ReturnPast 12 months+79.0%+47.2%+496.9%+1647.5%
3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends+73.2%+63.1%+92.7%+302.7%
5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends+310.1%+50.6%+17.4%+218.6%
10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends+3921.5%+50.6%+1253.3%+187.9%
CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return+20.1%+17.7%+24.4%+59.1%
TERN leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

Risk & Volatility

TERN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.

TERN is the less volatile stock with a 0.39 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ARWR's 1.81 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TERN currently trades 99.6% from its 52-week high vs GPCR's 41.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.

MetricMDGL logoMDGLMadrigal Pharmace…GPCR logoGPCRStructure Therape…ARWR logoARWRArrowhead Pharmac…TERN logoTERNTerns Pharmaceuti…
Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 5000.57x0.96x1.81x0.39x
52-Week HighHighest price in past year$615.00$94.90$79.48$53.18
52-Week LowLowest price in past year$265.00$15.80$12.44$2.66
% of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak+87.0%+41.3%+98.1%+99.6%
RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–10061.230.269.774.2
Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded310K953K1.9M6.7M
TERN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.

Analyst Outlook

Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.

Analyst consensus: MDGL as "Buy", GPCR as "Buy", ARWR as "Buy", TERN as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 193.1% upside for GPCR (target: $115) vs 4.2% for ARWR (target: $81).

MetricMDGL logoMDGLMadrigal Pharmace…GPCR logoGPCRStructure Therape…ARWR logoARWRArrowhead Pharmac…TERN logoTERNTerns Pharmaceuti…
Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sellBuyBuyBuyBuy
Price TargetConsensus 12-month target$705.67$114.75$81.22$55.56
# AnalystsCovering analysts23142016
Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price
Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises1
Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS
Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Key Takeaway

TERN leads in 2 of 6 categories (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility). MDGL leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 1 tied.

Best OverallTerns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TERN)Leads 2 of 6 categories
Loading custom metrics...

MDGL vs GPCR vs ARWR vs TERN: Key Questions Answered

8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily

01

Is MDGL or GPCR or ARWR or TERN a better buy right now?

For growth investors, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

(ARWR) is the stronger pick with 232. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 432. 1% for Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL). Analysts rate Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

02

Which is the better long-term investment — MDGL or GPCR or ARWR or TERN?

Over the past 5 years, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

(MDGL) delivered a total return of +310. 1%, compared to +17. 4% for Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ARWR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MDGL returned +39. 2% versus GPCR's +50. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

03

Which is safer — MDGL or GPCR or ARWR or TERN?

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

(TERN) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 39β versus Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 's 1. 81β — meaning ARWR is approximately 359% more volatile than TERN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TERN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 73% for Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

04

Which is growing faster — MDGL or GPCR or ARWR or TERN?

By revenue growth (latest reported year), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

(ARWR) is pulling ahead at 232. 6% versus 432. 1% for Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. grew EPS 99. 8% year-over-year, compared to -2. 6% for Structure Therapeutics Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

05

Which has better profit margins — MDGL or GPCR or ARWR or TERN?

Structure Therapeutics Inc.

(GPCR) is the more profitable company, earning 0. 0% net margin versus -30. 1% for Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — meaning it keeps 0. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ARWR leads at 11. 9% versus -31. 3% for MDGL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ARWR leads at 97. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

06

Which pays a better dividend — MDGL or GPCR or ARWR or TERN?

None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.

All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.

07

Is MDGL or GPCR or ARWR or TERN better for a retirement portfolio?

For long-horizon retirement investors, Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

(TERN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 39), +187. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TERN: +187. 9%, GPCR: +50. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

08

What are the main differences between MDGL and GPCR and ARWR and TERN?

Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

In terms of investment character: MDGL is a mid-cap high-growth stock; GPCR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; ARWR is a mid-cap high-growth stock; TERN is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.

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