Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
MESA vs JBLU vs ALGT vs ULCC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
MESA vs JBLU vs ALGT vs ULCC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $879M | $1.91B | $1.52B | $1.25B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $381M | $9.16B | $2.61B | $3.80B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-166M | $-713M | $-45M | $-366M |
| Gross Margin | 10.8% | 39.7% | 29.5% | 31.2% |
| Operating Margin | -44.6% | -4.6% | 2.1% | -11.4% |
| Forward P/E | 30.9x | — | 19.5x | — |
| Total Debt | $103M | $10.26B | $1.86B | $5.46B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $42M | $2.05B | $173M | $671M |
MESA vs JBLU vs ALGT vs ULCC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | Jan 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA) | 100 | 186.5 | +86.5% |
| JetBlue Airways Cor… (JBLU) | 100 | 22.3 | -77.7% |
| Allegiant Travel Co… (ALGT) | 100 | 36.2 | -63.8% |
| Frontier Group Hold… (ULCC) | 100 | 22.4 | -77.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MESA vs JBLU vs ALGT vs ULCC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MESA is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding and defensive is your priority.
- 78.7% 10Y total return vs ALGT's -37.1%
- Beta 0.82, current ratio 0.67x
- Beta 0.82 vs ULCC's 2.84
- +20.3% vs JBLU's +15.0%
JBLU plays a supporting role in this comparison — it may shine differently against other peers.
ALGT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 2.47
- Rev growth 3.7%, EPS growth 81.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.47, current ratio 0.95x
- 3.7% revenue growth vs MESA's -19.9%
ULCC lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.7% revenue growth vs MESA's -19.9% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | -1.7% margin vs MESA's -43.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.82 vs ULCC's 2.84 | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 4 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +20.3% vs JBLU's +15.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -1.0% ROA vs MESA's -71.1%, ROIC 4.6% vs -62.9% |
MESA vs JBLU vs ALGT vs ULCC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MESA vs JBLU vs ALGT vs ULCC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
ALGT leads in 3 of 6 categories
MESA leads 2 • JBLU leads 0 • ULCC leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ALGT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JBLU is the larger business by revenue, generating $9.2B annually — 24.0x MESA's $381M. ALGT is the more profitable business, keeping -1.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MESA's -43.6%. On growth, ULCC holds the edge at +8.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $381M | $9.2B | $2.6B | $3.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$150M | $281M | $314M | -$300M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$166M | -$713M | -$45M | -$366M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$53M | -$950M | $75M | -$481M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +10.8% | +39.7% | +29.5% | +31.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -44.6% | -4.6% | +2.1% | -11.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -43.6% | -7.8% | -1.7% | -9.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -14.0% | -10.4% | +2.9% | -12.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -21.3% | +4.7% | +4.5% | +8.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +43.3% | -47.5% | +114.4% | -5.2% |
Valuation Metrics
ALGT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, ALGT's 7.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than JBLU's 31.6x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $879M | $1.9B | $1.5B | $1.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.2B | $10.1B | $3.2B | $6.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.04x | -3.09x | -33.14x | -9.05x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 30.88x | — | 19.48x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 31.62x | 7.57x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.85x | 0.21x | 0.58x | 0.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.03x | 0.89x | 1.41x | 2.54x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 63.13x | — | 20.19x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ALGT leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ALGT delivers a -4.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-4 in annual profit, vs $-5 for MESA. ALGT carries lower financial leverage with a 1.77x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ULCC's 11.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ALGT scores 6/9 vs ULCC's 0/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -5.3% | -33.1% | -4.2% | -88.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -71.1% | -4.1% | -1.0% | -5.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -62.9% | -2.7% | +4.6% | -2.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -86.2% | -2.7% | +5.4% | -3.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 4.84x | 1.77x | 11.13x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $61M | $8.2B | $1.7B | $4.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $42M | $2.0B | $173M | $671M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $103M | $10.3B | $1.9B | $5.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -8.18x | -0.45x | 0.51x | -29.29x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MESA leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MESA five years ago would be worth $18,834 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,623 for JBLU. Over the past 12 months, MESA leads with a +2034.1% total return vs JBLU's +15.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MESA at 118.6% vs ULCC's -12.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | 0.0% | +11.8% | -6.6% | +18.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +2034.1% | +15.0% | +60.4% | +55.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +944.8% | -27.4% | -19.1% | -33.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +88.3% | -73.8% | -62.4% | -73.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +78.7% | -73.6% | -37.1% | -71.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +118.6% | -10.1% | -6.8% | -12.5% |
Risk & Volatility
MESA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MESA is the less volatile stock with a 0.82 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ULCC's 2.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MESA currently trades 100.0% from its 52-week high vs ALGT's 69.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.82x | 2.11x | 2.47x | 2.84x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $21.00 | $6.50 | $118.00 | $6.66 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.90 | $3.84 | $42.56 | $3.02 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +100.0% | +78.9% | +69.6% | +81.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 98.1 | 51.5 | 48.8 | 65.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 0 | 27.4M | 481K | 5.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MESA as "Hold", JBLU as "Hold", ALGT as "Hold", ULCC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 32.8% upside for ALGT (target: $109) vs 20.3% for JBLU (target: $6).
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $6.17 | $109.13 | $6.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 36 | 30 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.4% | +0.9% | 0.0% |
ALGT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). MESA leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility).
MESA vs JBLU vs ALGT vs ULCC: Key Questions Answered
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MESA or JBLU or ALGT or ULCC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) is the stronger pick with 3.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -19. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA). Analysts rate Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA) a "Hold" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — MESA or JBLU or ALGT or ULCC?
Over the past 5 years, Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) delivered a total return of +88. 3%, compared to -73. 8% for JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MESA returned +78. 7% versus JBLU's -73. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — MESA or JBLU or ALGT or ULCC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 82β versus Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 84β — meaning ULCC is approximately 249% more volatile than MESA relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 177% versus 11% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — MESA or JBLU or ALGT or ULCC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) is pulling ahead at 3.
7% versus -19. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Allegiant Travel Company grew EPS 81. 6% year-over-year, compared to -257. 9% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ALGT leads at 4. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — MESA or JBLU or ALGT or ULCC?
Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) is the more profitable company, earning -1.
7% net margin versus -39. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps -1. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ALGT leads at 6. 7% versus -46. 5% for MESA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MESA leads at 99. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is MESA or JBLU or ALGT or ULCC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) trades at 19.
5x forward P/E versus 30. 9x for Mesa Air Group, Inc. — 11. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ALGT: 32. 8% to $109. 13.
07Which pays a better dividend — MESA or JBLU or ALGT or ULCC?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is MESA or JBLU or ALGT or ULCC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 82)). JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) carries a higher beta of 2. 11 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MESA: +78. 7%, JBLU: -73. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between MESA and JBLU and ALGT and ULCC?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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