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MORN vs MSCI vs SPGI vs ICE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
MORN vs MSCI vs SPGI vs ICE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges |
| Market Cap | $6.77B | $42.83B | $126.89B | $88.45B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.45B | $3.13B | $15.34B | $12.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $403M | $1.32B | $4.78B | $3.30B |
| Gross Margin | 61.0% | 82.4% | 70.2% | 61.9% |
| Operating Margin | 21.5% | 54.7% | 42.2% | 38.7% |
| Forward P/E | 15.0x | 30.0x | 21.8x | 19.5x |
| Total Debt | $1.41B | $6.31B | $14.20B | $20.28B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $475M | $515M | $1.75B | $837M |
MORN vs MSCI vs SPGI vs ICE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) | 100 | 116.0 | +16.0% |
| MSCI Inc. (MSCI) | 100 | 178.9 | +78.9% |
| S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) | 100 | 131.9 | +31.9% |
| Intercontinental Ex… (ICE) | 100 | 160.6 | +60.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MORN vs MSCI vs SPGI vs ICE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MORN is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 1.32 vs SPGI's 2.51
- Lower P/E (15.0x vs 21.8x), PEG 1.32 vs 2.51
MSCI is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Rev growth 9.7%, EPS growth 10.7%
- 7.2% 10Y total return vs ICE's 225.3%
- 9.7% NII/revenue growth vs ICE's 7.5%
- +7.8% vs MORN's -39.6%
SPGI lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
ICE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 14 yrs, beta 0.33, yield 1.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.33, Low D/E 69.9%, current ratio 1.02x
- Beta 0.33, yield 1.2%, current ratio 1.02x
- Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs MORN's 0.4% (lower = leaner)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.7% NII/revenue growth vs ICE's 7.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.0x vs 21.8x), PEG 1.32 vs 2.51 | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs MORN's 0.4% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.33 vs MSCI's 0.61 | |
| Dividends | 1.2% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs MSCI's 1.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +7.8% vs MORN's -39.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs MORN's 0.4% |
MORN vs MSCI vs SPGI vs ICE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MORN vs MSCI vs SPGI vs ICE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
MSCI leads in 1 of 6 categories
MORN leads 1 • ICE leads 1 • SPGI leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSCI leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SPGI is the larger business by revenue, generating $15.3B annually — 6.3x MORN's $2.4B. MSCI is the more profitable business, keeping 38.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MORN's 15.3%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.4B | $3.1B | $15.3B | $12.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $763M | $2.0B | $7.8B | $6.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $403M | $1.3B | $4.8B | $3.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $437M | $1.5B | $5.6B | $4.3B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +61.0% | +82.4% | +70.2% | +61.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +21.5% | +54.7% | +42.2% | +38.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +15.3% | +38.4% | +29.2% | +26.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +18.1% | +49.4% | +35.6% | +33.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +50.0% | +49.1% | +32.5% | +23.1% |
Valuation Metrics
MORN leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 20.1x trailing earnings, MORN trades at a 47% valuation discount to MSCI's 37.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MORN offers better value at 1.77x vs SPGI's 3.36x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.8B | $42.8B | $126.9B | $88.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.7B | $48.6B | $139.3B | $107.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.06x | 37.81x | 29.24x | 27.06x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.95x | 29.99x | 21.84x | 19.48x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.77x | 2.23x | 3.36x | 3.05x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.75x | 25.17x | 18.20x | 16.71x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.77x | 13.67x | 8.27x | 7.00x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.14x | — | 3.62x | 3.08x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 15.29x | 27.65x | 23.26x | 20.62x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — MORN and MSCI each lead in 3 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MORN delivers a 30.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $12 for ICE. SPGI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.39x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MORN's 1.15x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ICE scores 9/9 vs MORN's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +30.0% | — | +12.9% | +11.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.9% | +24.0% | +7.9% | +2.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +15.3% | +34.9% | +9.7% | +7.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +20.6% | +44.3% | +12.1% | +9.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.15x | — | 0.39x | 0.70x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $933M | $5.8B | $12.5B | $19.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $475M | $515M | $1.7B | $837M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.4B | $6.3B | $14.2B | $20.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 12.40x | 7.67x | 22.69x | 6.53x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — MSCI and ICE each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ICE five years ago would be worth $14,335 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,093 for MORN. Over the past 12 months, MSCI leads with a +7.8% total return vs MORN's -39.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ICE at 14.7% vs MORN's -0.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -15.0% | +4.5% | -16.2% | -2.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -39.6% | +7.8% | -14.5% | -10.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -2.2% | +28.6% | +23.8% | +50.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -29.1% | +27.9% | +14.2% | +43.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +131.7% | +720.9% | +337.1% | +225.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -0.7% | +8.7% | +7.4% | +14.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MSCI and ICE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ICE is the less volatile stock with a 0.33 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MSCI's 0.61 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSCI currently trades 93.9% from its 52-week high vs MORN's 56.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.52x | 0.61x | 0.58x | 0.33x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $316.71 | $626.28 | $579.05 | $189.35 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $149.08 | $501.08 | $381.61 | $143.17 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +56.2% | +93.9% | +74.0% | +82.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.1 | 54.6 | 42.4 | 38.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 509K | 520K | 1.8M | 3.0M |
Analyst Outlook
ICE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MORN as "Hold", MSCI as "Buy", SPGI as "Buy", ICE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 32.9% upside for MORN (target: $237) vs 14.6% for MSCI (target: $674). For income investors, ICE offers the higher dividend yield at 1.24% vs SPGI's 0.89%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $236.50 | $674.33 | $548.11 | $195.71 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 27 | 28 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.0% | +1.2% | +0.9% | +1.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.82 | $7.20 | $3.83 | $1.93 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +11.6% | +5.8% | +3.9% | +1.6% |
MSCI leads in 1 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow). MORN leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 3 tied.
MORN vs MSCI vs SPGI vs ICE: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MORN or MSCI or SPGI or ICE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the stronger pick with 9. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 5% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE). Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) offers the better valuation at 20. 1x trailing P/E (15. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate MSCI Inc. (MSCI) a "Buy" — based on 27 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MORN or MSCI or SPGI or ICE?
On trailing P/E, Morningstar, Inc.
(MORN) is the cheapest at 20. 1x versus MSCI Inc. at 37. 8x. On forward P/E, Morningstar, Inc. is actually cheaper at 15. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Morningstar, Inc. wins at 1. 32x versus S&P Global Inc. 's 2. 51x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MORN or MSCI or SPGI or ICE?
Over the past 5 years, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) delivered a total return of +43. 4%, compared to -29. 1% for Morningstar, Inc. (MORN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MSCI returned +720. 9% versus MORN's +131. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MORN or MSCI or SPGI or ICE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 33β versus MSCI Inc. 's 0. 61β — meaning MSCI is approximately 86% more volatile than ICE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 39% versus 115% for Morningstar, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MORN or MSCI or SPGI or ICE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is pulling ahead at 9. 7% versus 7. 5% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. grew EPS 20. 7% year-over-year, compared to 3. 4% for Morningstar, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MORN or MSCI or SPGI or ICE?
MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the more profitable company, earning 38. 4% net margin versus 15. 3% for Morningstar, Inc. — meaning it keeps 38. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MSCI leads at 54. 7% versus 21. 5% for MORN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MSCI leads at 82. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MORN or MSCI or SPGI or ICE more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 32x versus S&P Global Inc. 's 2. 51x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) trades at 15. 0x forward P/E versus 30. 0x for MSCI Inc. — 15. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MORN: 32. 9% to $236. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — MORN or MSCI or SPGI or ICE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) offers the highest yield at 1. 2%, versus 0. 9% for S&P Global Inc. (SPGI).
09Is MORN or MSCI or SPGI or ICE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 61), 1. 2% yield, +720. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MSCI: +720. 9%, MORN: +131. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MORN and MSCI and SPGI and ICE?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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