Aerospace & Defense
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
MRCY vs HAYW vs KTOS vs POOL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Electrical Equipment & Parts
Aerospace & Defense
Industrial - Distribution
MRCY vs HAYW vs KTOS vs POOL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Electrical Equipment & Parts | Aerospace & Defense | Industrial - Distribution |
| Market Cap | $5.28B | $3.20B | $10.68B | $6.99B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $967M | $1.15B | $1.42B | $5.36B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-14M | $161M | $29M | $406M |
| Gross Margin | 28.7% | 45.0% | 18.3% | 29.7% |
| Operating Margin | 1.0% | 21.3% | 1.8% | 10.9% |
| Forward P/E | 91.8x | 17.2x | 73.5x | 17.2x |
| Total Debt | $644M | $13M | $180M | $349M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $309M | $330M | $561M | $105M |
MRCY vs HAYW vs KTOS vs POOL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercury Systems, In… (MRCY) | 100 | 124.6 | +24.6% |
| Hayward Holdings, I… (HAYW) | 100 | 87.5 | -12.5% |
| Kratos Defense & Se… (KTOS) | 100 | 208.9 | +108.9% |
| Pool Corporation (POOL) | 100 | 55.2 | -44.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MRCY vs HAYW vs KTOS vs POOL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MRCY is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +83.6% vs POOL's -33.9%
HAYW is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if sleep-well-at-night and valuation efficiency is your priority.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.14, Low D/E 0.8%, current ratio 2.94x
- PEG 0.12 vs POOL's 4.44
- Lower P/E (17.2x vs 17.2x), PEG 0.12 vs 4.44
- 14.0% margin vs MRCY's -1.5%
KTOS is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 18.5%, EPS growth 18.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.5%
- 12.3% 10Y total return vs MRCY's 335.7%
- 18.5% revenue growth vs POOL's -0.4%
POOL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 1.00, yield 2.6%
- Beta 1.00, yield 2.6%, current ratio 2.24x
- Beta 1.00 vs KTOS's 1.84
- 2.6% yield; 15-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 18.5% revenue growth vs POOL's -0.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (17.2x vs 17.2x), PEG 0.12 vs 4.44 | |
| Quality / Margins | 14.0% margin vs MRCY's -1.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.00 vs KTOS's 1.84 | |
| Dividends | 2.6% yield; 15-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +83.6% vs POOL's -33.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 11.3% ROA vs MRCY's -0.6%, ROIC 22.3% vs -0.8% |
MRCY vs HAYW vs KTOS vs POOL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MRCY vs HAYW vs KTOS vs POOL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
HAYW leads in 2 of 6 categories
POOL leads 2 • KTOS leads 1 • MRCY leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HAYW leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
POOL is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.4B annually — 5.5x MRCY's $967M. HAYW is the more profitable business, keeping 14.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MRCY's -1.5%. On growth, KTOS holds the edge at +22.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $967M | $1.1B | $1.4B | $5.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $29M | $301M | $72M | $636M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$14M | $161M | $29M | $406M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $73M | $80M | -$133M | $605M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +28.7% | +45.0% | +18.3% | +29.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.0% | +21.3% | +1.8% | +10.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -1.5% | +14.0% | +2.1% | +7.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +7.6% | +7.0% | -9.4% | +11.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.5% | +11.5% | +22.6% | +6.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +87.9% | +70.3% | +133.3% | +2.1% |
Valuation Metrics
HAYW leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 17.6x trailing earnings, POOL trades at a 96% valuation discount to KTOS's 438.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), HAYW offers better value at 0.16x vs POOL's 4.53x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.3B | $3.2B | $10.7B | $7.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.6B | $2.9B | $10.3B | $7.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -135.48x | 21.71x | 438.46x | 17.55x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 91.82x | 17.19x | 73.49x | 17.21x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.16x | — | 4.53x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 90.06x | 9.81x | 118.42x | 11.45x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.79x | 2.85x | 7.93x | 1.32x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.51x | 2.06x | 4.94x | 5.99x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 44.39x | 14.19x | — | 22.58x |
Profitability & Efficiency
POOL leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
POOL delivers a 32.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $32 in annual profit, vs $-1 for MRCY. HAYW carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MRCY's 0.44x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HAYW scores 7/9 vs KTOS's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -1.0% | +10.3% | +1.3% | +32.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -0.6% | +5.2% | +1.0% | +11.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -0.8% | +10.2% | +1.4% | +22.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.9% | +8.6% | +1.5% | +22.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.44x | 0.01x | 0.09x | 0.29x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $335M | -$316M | -$381M | $244M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $309M | $330M | $561M | $105M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $644M | $13M | $180M | $349M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.57x | 4.07x | 6.16x | 12.20x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
KTOS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in KTOS five years ago would be worth $21,025 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,771 for POOL. Over the past 12 months, MRCY leads with a +83.6% total return vs POOL's -33.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KTOS at 62.8% vs POOL's -16.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +15.8% | -6.4% | -28.1% | -16.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +83.6% | +7.3% | +58.1% | -33.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +122.9% | +27.3% | +331.5% | -42.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +37.2% | -37.0% | +110.3% | -52.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +335.7% | -13.1% | +1231.8% | +145.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +30.6% | +8.4% | +62.8% | -16.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MRCY and POOL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
POOL is the less volatile stock with a 1.00 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KTOS's 1.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MRCY currently trades 84.8% from its 52-week high vs KTOS's 42.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.76x | 1.14x | 1.84x | 1.00x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $103.84 | $17.73 | $134.00 | $345.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $44.01 | $13.04 | $32.85 | $186.95 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.8% | +83.3% | +42.5% | +55.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 68.6 | 51.5 | 38.8 | 29.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 557K | 2.2M | 4.3M | 764K |
Analyst Outlook
POOL leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MRCY as "Buy", HAYW as "Hold", KTOS as "Buy", POOL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 94.0% upside for KTOS (target: $111) vs 5.2% for MRCY (target: $93). POOL is the only dividend payer here at 2.60% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $92.67 | $15.75 | $110.58 | $279.29 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 19 | 10 | 22 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | +2.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 | — | 15 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | $4.96 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.2% | 0.0% | +5.0% |
HAYW leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). POOL leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
MRCY vs HAYW vs KTOS vs POOL: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MRCY or HAYW or KTOS or POOL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
(KTOS) is the stronger pick with 18. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 4% for Pool Corporation (POOL). Pool Corporation (POOL) offers the better valuation at 17. 6x trailing P/E (17. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MRCY or HAYW or KTOS or POOL?
On trailing P/E, Pool Corporation (POOL) is the cheapest at 17.
6x versus Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. at 438. 5x. On forward P/E, Hayward Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 17. 2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Hayward Holdings, Inc. wins at 0. 12x versus Pool Corporation's 4. 44x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MRCY or HAYW or KTOS or POOL?
Over the past 5 years, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
(KTOS) delivered a total return of +110. 3%, compared to -52. 3% for Pool Corporation (POOL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: KTOS returned +1232% versus HAYW's -13. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MRCY or HAYW or KTOS or POOL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Pool Corporation (POOL) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
00β versus Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. 's 1. 84β — meaning KTOS is approximately 83% more volatile than POOL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 44% for Mercury Systems, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MRCY or HAYW or KTOS or POOL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
(KTOS) is pulling ahead at 18. 5% versus -0. 4% for Pool Corporation (POOL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Mercury Systems, Inc. grew EPS 72. 7% year-over-year, compared to -4. 0% for Pool Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, KTOS leads at 14. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MRCY or HAYW or KTOS or POOL?
Hayward Holdings, Inc.
(HAYW) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 5% net margin versus -4. 2% for Mercury Systems, Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HAYW leads at 21. 1% versus -2. 2% for MRCY. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HAYW leads at 45. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MRCY or HAYW or KTOS or POOL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 12x versus Pool Corporation's 4. 44x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) trades at 17. 2x forward P/E versus 91. 8x for Mercury Systems, Inc. — 74. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for KTOS: 94. 0% to $110. 58.
08Which pays a better dividend — MRCY or HAYW or KTOS or POOL?
In this comparison, POOL (2.
6% yield) pays a dividend. MRCY, HAYW, KTOS do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is MRCY or HAYW or KTOS or POOL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Pool Corporation (POOL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
00), 2. 6% yield, +145. 0% 10Y return). Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) carries a higher beta of 1. 76 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (POOL: +145. 0%, MRCY: +335. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MRCY and HAYW and KTOS and POOL?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MRCY is a small-cap quality compounder stock; HAYW is a small-cap quality compounder stock; KTOS is a mid-cap high-growth stock; POOL is a small-cap deep-value stock. POOL pays a dividend while MRCY, HAYW, KTOS do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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