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MSGE vs CHDN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
MSGE vs CHDN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Entertainment | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos |
| Market Cap | $2.71B | $6.43B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.01B | $2.95B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $52M | $388M |
| Gross Margin | 46.1% | 33.8% |
| Operating Margin | 13.5% | 23.6% |
| Forward P/E | 57.0x | 13.2x |
| Total Debt | $1.20B | $5.20B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $43M | $289M |
MSGE vs CHDN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Square Gard… (MSGE) | 100 | 84.5 | -15.5% |
| Churchill Downs Inc… (CHDN) | 100 | 139.1 | +39.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MSGE vs CHDN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MSGE is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +88.1% vs CHDN's +0.5%
CHDN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.70, yield 0.5%
- Rev growth 7.0%, EPS growth -6.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.4%
- 343.6% 10Y total return vs MSGE's -24.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.0% revenue growth vs MSGE's -1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.2x vs 57.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.2% margin vs MSGE's 5.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.70 vs MSGE's 0.94 | |
| Dividends | 0.5% yield; 6-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +88.1% vs CHDN's +0.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.2% ROA vs MSGE's 2.8%, ROIC 9.4% vs 8.5% |
MSGE vs CHDN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MSGE vs CHDN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — MSGE and CHDN each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CHDN is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.9B annually — 2.9x MSGE's $1.0B. CHDN is the more profitable business, keeping 13.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MSGE's 5.1%. On growth, MSGE holds the edge at +12.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.0B | $2.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $195M | $932M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $52M | $388M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $207M | $734M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +46.1% | +33.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +13.5% | +23.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.1% | +13.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +20.4% | +24.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +12.9% | +3.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +24.4% | +13.7% |
Valuation Metrics
CHDN leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 17.3x trailing earnings, CHDN trades at a 80% valuation discount to MSGE's 86.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CHDN's 11.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MSGE's 21.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.7B | $6.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.9B | $11.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 86.95x | 17.34x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 57.04x | 13.24x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.17x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.48x | 11.62x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.87x | 2.20x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 6.24x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 29.06x | 12.99x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CHDN leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MSGE delivers a 144.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $144 in annual profit, vs $36 for CHDN.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +144.2% | +35.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.8% | +5.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.5% | +9.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.0% | +11.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 4.92x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.2B | $4.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $43M | $289M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.2B | $5.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.08x | 5.25x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MSGE leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CHDN five years ago would be worth $9,424 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,718 for MSGE. Over the past 12 months, MSGE leads with a +88.1% total return vs CHDN's +0.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MSGE at 25.0% vs CHDN's -13.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +23.2% | -17.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +88.1% | +0.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +95.5% | -36.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -22.8% | -5.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.4% | +343.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +25.0% | -13.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MSGE and CHDN each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CHDN is the less volatile stock with a 0.70 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MSGE's 0.94 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSGE currently trades 97.7% from its 52-week high vs CHDN's 77.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.94x | 0.70x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $68.51 | $118.46 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $33.38 | $80.24 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +97.7% | +77.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 64.8 | 48.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 304K | 1.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MSGE as "Buy" and CHDN as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 57.0% upside for CHDN (target: $145) vs -1.0% for MSGE (target: $66). CHDN is the only dividend payer here at 0.47% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $66.29 | $144.84 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.43 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.5% | +6.7% |
CHDN leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). MSGE leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
MSGE vs CHDN: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MSGE or CHDN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the stronger pick with 7.
0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 7% for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE). Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) offers the better valuation at 17. 3x trailing P/E (13. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MSGE or CHDN?
On trailing P/E, Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the cheapest at 17.
3x versus Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. at 86. 9x. On forward P/E, Churchill Downs Incorporated is actually cheaper at 13. 2x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MSGE or CHDN?
Over the past 5 years, Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) delivered a total return of -5.
8%, compared to -22. 8% for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CHDN returned +343. 6% versus MSGE's -24. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MSGE or CHDN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
70β versus Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. 's 0. 94β — meaning MSGE is approximately 34% more volatile than CHDN relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — MSGE or CHDN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is pulling ahead at 7.
0% versus -1. 7% for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Churchill Downs Incorporated grew EPS -6. 3% year-over-year, compared to -74. 1% for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CHDN leads at 17. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MSGE or CHDN?
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
0% net margin versus 4. 0% for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. — meaning it keeps 13. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CHDN leads at 25. 2% versus 13. 0% for MSGE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MSGE leads at 43. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MSGE or CHDN more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) trades at 13.
2x forward P/E versus 57. 0x for Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. — 43. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CHDN: 57. 0% to $144. 84.
08Which pays a better dividend — MSGE or CHDN?
In this comparison, CHDN (0.
5% yield) pays a dividend. MSGE does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is MSGE or CHDN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
70), +343. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CHDN: +343. 6%, MSGE: -24. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MSGE and CHDN?
These companies operate in different sectors (MSGE (Communication Services) and CHDN (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: MSGE is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CHDN is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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