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MTB vs KEY
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Banks - Regional
MTB vs KEY — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Banks - Regional | Banks - Regional |
| Market Cap | $33.42B | $24.51B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $13.40B | $11.19B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.77B | $1.83B |
| Gross Margin | 64.3% | 62.3% |
| Operating Margin | 24.7% | 20.6% |
| Forward P/E | 11.7x | 12.2x |
| Total Debt | $13.66B | $11.00B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $20.78B | $1.29B |
MTB vs KEY — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) | 100 | 205.8 | +105.8% |
| KeyCorp (KEY) | 100 | 187.6 | +87.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MTB vs KEY
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MTB carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 9 yrs, beta 0.93, yield 2.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.93, Low D/E 47.1%, current ratio 0.22x
- Beta 0.93, yield 2.5%, current ratio 0.22x
KEY is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 23.6%, EPS growth 5.8%
- 144.8% 10Y total return vs MTB's 128.1%
- PEG 3.35 vs MTB's 9.24
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 23.6% NII/revenue growth vs MTB's 7.2% | |
| Value | PEG 3.35 vs 9.24 | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.4% vs KEY's 0.4% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.93 vs KEY's 1.12, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.5% yield; 9-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +50.7% vs MTB's +29.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.4% vs KEY's 0.4% |
MTB vs KEY — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MTB vs KEY — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MTB leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MTB and KEY operate at a comparable scale, with $13.4B and $11.2B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 19.3% (MTB) to 16.3% (KEY).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $13.4B | $11.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4.0B | $2.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.8B | $1.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4.1B | $1.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +64.3% | +62.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +24.7% | +20.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +19.3% | +16.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +25.3% | — |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +19.9% | +2.5% |
Valuation Metrics
KEY leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.6x trailing earnings, KEY trades at a 2% valuation discount to MTB's 14.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), KEY offers better value at 4.00x vs MTB's 11.77x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $33.4B | $24.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $26.3B | $34.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 14.85x | 14.63x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.66x | 12.24x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 11.77x | 4.00x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.89x | 14.74x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.49x | 2.19x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.25x | 1.19x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 9.85x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
MTB leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MTB delivers a 9.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $10 in annual profit, vs $9 for KEY. MTB carries lower financial leverage with a 0.47x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to KEY's 0.54x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KEY scores 6/9 vs MTB's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.7% | +9.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.3% | +1.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.0% | +5.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.2% | +7.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.47x | 0.54x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$7.1B | $9.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $20.8B | $1.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $13.7B | $11.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.98x | 0.61x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
KEY leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MTB five years ago would be worth $14,973 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,468 for KEY. Over the past 12 months, KEY leads with a +50.7% total return vs MTB's +29.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KEY at 36.6% vs MTB's 26.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +7.3% | +6.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +29.4% | +50.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +101.2% | +155.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +49.7% | +14.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +128.1% | +144.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +26.2% | +36.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MTB and KEY each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MTB is the less volatile stock with a 0.93 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KEY's 1.12 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KEY currently trades 95.2% from its 52-week high vs MTB's 91.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.93x | 1.12x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $239.00 | $23.35 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $172.33 | $15.16 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +91.0% | +95.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.2 | 57.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.0M | 13.9M |
Analyst Outlook
MTB leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MTB as "Hold" and KEY as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 9.3% upside for MTB (target: $238) vs 4.0% for KEY (target: $23). MTB is the only dividend payer here at 2.46% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $237.71 | $23.11 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 48 | 51 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.5% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 9 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $5.35 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.2% | 0.0% |
MTB leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). KEY leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
MTB vs KEY: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MTB or KEY a better buy right now?
For growth investors, KeyCorp (KEY) is the stronger pick with 23.
6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 2% for M&T Bank Corporation (MTB). KeyCorp (KEY) offers the better valuation at 14. 6x trailing P/E (12. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate KeyCorp (KEY) a "Buy" — based on 51 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MTB or KEY?
On trailing P/E, KeyCorp (KEY) is the cheapest at 14.
6x versus M&T Bank Corporation at 14. 9x. On forward P/E, M&T Bank Corporation is actually cheaper at 11. 7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: KeyCorp wins at 3. 35x versus M&T Bank Corporation's 9. 24x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MTB or KEY?
Over the past 5 years, M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) delivered a total return of +49.
7%, compared to +14. 7% for KeyCorp (KEY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: KEY returned +144. 8% versus MTB's +128. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MTB or KEY?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
93β versus KeyCorp's 1. 12β — meaning KEY is approximately 21% more volatile than MTB relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 47% versus 54% for KeyCorp — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MTB or KEY?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), KeyCorp (KEY) is pulling ahead at 23.
6% versus 7. 2% for M&T Bank Corporation (MTB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: KeyCorp grew EPS 575. 0% year-over-year, compared to -7. 3% for M&T Bank Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MTB or KEY?
M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) is the more profitable company, earning 19.
3% net margin versus 16. 3% for KeyCorp — meaning it keeps 19. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MTB leads at 24. 7% versus 20. 6% for KEY. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MTB leads at 64. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MTB or KEY more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, KeyCorp (KEY) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 3. 35x versus M&T Bank Corporation's 9. 24x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) trades at 11. 7x forward P/E versus 12. 2x for KeyCorp — 0. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MTB: 9. 3% to $237. 71.
08Which pays a better dividend — MTB or KEY?
In this comparison, MTB (2.
5% yield) pays a dividend. KEY does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is MTB or KEY better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
93), 2. 5% yield, +128. 1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MTB: +128. 1%, KEY: +144. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MTB and KEY?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MTB is a mid-cap deep-value stock; KEY is a mid-cap high-growth stock. MTB pays a dividend while KEY does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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