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KEYKeyCorp
$20.48$22.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
KEY logo

KeyCorp

KEY
NYSE · Regional Banks
$20.48
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$22.11B
P/E13.5x
52W High$24.07
Volume16.13M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Fee Collapse Masks Margin Expansion Potential

KeyCorp's earnings trajectory is improving, with net income rising to $509M in 2026Q2 and EPS growing 25.7% year-over-year, driven by loan growth and a stable provision. However, the collapse of non-interest income to $0 in 2026Q2 and a stagnant net interest m...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

KEY price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
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Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-6% Peers

P/E is 6% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 45 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 55% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 21
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Net interest income grew 9.6% year-over-year to $1.2B in 2026Q2, but non-interest income collapsed to $0, dragging total revenue to $2.1B and spiking the efficiency ratio to 63.6% from 41.7% in the prior quarter.

Analyst Consensus+23.9% target
Buy(51 analysts)
31 Buy18 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Undervalued Assets and Real Estate Holdings

Kohl's is considered deeply undervalued due to its significant real estate holdings, estimated to be worth between $5 billion and $10 billion. This real estate is largely unrecognized by the market, leading some to view Kohl's as essentially a real estate company with a retail business.

Short Squeeze Potential

Kohl's has experienced extremely high short interest, with a significant percentage of its float sold short. This creates the potential for a short squeeze, where a rapid increase in the stock price forces short sellers to buy back shares, further driving up the price.

Financial Stability and Debt Management

Concerns about Kohl's debt are considered overblown by some analysts. The company has no major debt maturities until 2030, and recent financial maneuvers suggest efforts to unlock hidden asset value.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
KEY+0.55%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
KEY+13.78%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
KEY+116.21%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+78.43%
5-Year Return
KEY+20.83%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.01%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
13.5x
Forward P/EExpansion
11.2x
EV/EBITDA25th %ile
13.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
9.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
13.5x
13.6x
50th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
13.7x
17.7x
25th· Low
Price/FCF
10.5x
10.8x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$11.04-46.1%
Base (Fair)$19.63-5.7%
Bull$30.04+46.7%
$11.04 Bear$19.63 Base$30.04 Bull
Current Market Price: $20.48
Trades at a 4.3% premium to Base DCF ($19.63)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$7.44B+69.3% YoY
Net income
$1.83B+1236.0% YoY
Free cash flow
$2.1B+250.8% YoY
Operating margin
31%+37.9 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)5.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)9.5%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 21, 2026
$0.44+4.2%
vs $0.42
$2.0B-0.3%
vs $2.0B
Q2 2026
Apr 16, 2026
$0.44+6.4%
vs $0.41
$2.0B+0.8%
vs $1.9B
Q1 2026
Jan 20, 2026
$0.41+5.9%
vs $0.39
$2.0B+2.2%
vs $2.0B
Q4 2025
Oct 16, 2025
$0.41+7.9%
vs $0.38
$2.1B+10.1%
vs $1.9B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
MarketBeat·4d ago
KeyCorp Reaffirms 2026 Outlook as Loan Growth, Margins and Fees Gain Momentum

KeyCorp NYSE: KEY Chief Financial Officer Clark Khayat said the bank remains confident in its 2026 outlook as client activity, loan growth and credit quality have continued to perform constructively despite uncertainty around interest rates, tariffs and geopolitical developments.

Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
Huntington Shares Tumble 5.6% on 2026 NII and 2027 EPS Outlook Cut

HBAN cuts its 2026 NII and revenue outlook and lowers 2027 EPS targets as higher rates and pricing pressure weigh on margins.

Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
Fed Hikes Rates for the First Time in 3 Years: What it Means for Banks

JPM, BAC, C, WFC and KEY face mixed earnings effects as the Fed's first rate hike in three years raises NII potential but pressures deposits.

PRNewsWire·Sep 16, 2026
KEYCORP RAISES ITS PRIME LENDING RATE TO 7.00 PERCENT

CLEVELAND, Sept. 16, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) and its banking affiliates have raised their prime lending rate to 7.00 percent from 6.75 percent, effective tomorrow, Sept.

Filtered for KeyCorpMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark KEY against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for KeyCorp (KEY)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
KEY logoKEYKeyCorpCurrent
$20.48$22.11B13.4769.31%24.59%9.49%4.7%
RF logoRFRegions Financial Corporation
$27.91$23.82B12.196.25%23.13%11.75%—
CFG logoCFGCitizens Financial Group, Inc.
$65.49$27.69B16.97-5.85%17.51%7.63%—
HBAN logoHBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated
$15.69$31.7B11.2910.58%16.64%8.57%—
FITB logoFITBFifth Third Bancorp
$52.76$47.82B14.908.37%15.91%8.86%—
MTB logoMTBM&T Bank Corporation
$223.42$32.38B13.14-4.98%23.71%10.25%—

Compare KEY vs Peers

KeyCorp (KEY) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs RF

Most directly comparable listed peer for KEY.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare KEY against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs RF, CFG, HBAN, FITB

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

KEY SEC Filings & Documents

KeyCorp (KEY) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 14, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 21, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 10, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 21, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 4, 2025·SEC

Get notified when KEY posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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KEY Frequently Asked Questions

KeyCorp (KEY) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is KeyCorp growing?

KeyCorp (KEY) grew revenue by 69.3% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is KEY profitable?

Yes, KeyCorp (KEY) is profitable, generating $2.03B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (24.6% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does KEY pay dividends?

Yes, KeyCorp (KEY) pays a dividend with a yield of 4.70%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is KEY's return on equity?

KeyCorp (KEY) has a return on equity (ROE) of 9.5%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

Industry Metrics
What is KeyCorp's net interest margin?

KeyCorp (KEY) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 2.5%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is KeyCorp's efficiency ratio?

KeyCorp (KEY) has an efficiency ratio of 62.7%. This is reasonable for a bank.

What if you invested $1,000 in KEY back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →