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NATL vs FISV
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Information Technology Services
NATL vs FISV — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Information Technology Services |
| Market Cap | $3.26B | $30.38B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.38B | $21.09B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $174M | $3.20B |
| Gross Margin | 24.1% | 60.8% |
| Operating Margin | 5.7% | 24.4% |
| Forward P/E | 9.1x | 7.0x |
| Total Debt | $225M | $29.12B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $456M | $798M |
NATL vs FISV — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCR Atleos Corporat… (NATL) | 100 | 182.2 | +82.2% |
| Fiserv, Inc. (FISV) | 100 | 42.8 | -57.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NATL vs FISV
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NATL is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 99.0% 10Y total return vs FISV's 9.7%
- +50.3% vs FISV's -68.8%
FISV carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 0.94
- Rev growth 3.6%, EPS growth 17.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.94, current ratio 1.03x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.6% revenue growth vs NATL's 0.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.0x vs 9.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 15.2% margin vs NATL's 4.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.94 vs NATL's 1.16 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +50.3% vs FISV's -68.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.0% ROA vs NATL's 3.1%, ROIC 8.1% vs 23.4% |
NATL vs FISV — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NATL vs FISV — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FISV leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FISV is the larger business by revenue, generating $21.1B annually — 4.8x NATL's $4.4B. FISV is the more profitable business, keeping 15.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NATL's 4.0%. On growth, NATL holds the edge at +6.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.4B | $21.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $357M | $7.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $174M | $3.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $82M | $4.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +24.1% | +60.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | +24.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.0% | +15.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.9% | +19.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.4% | -2.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.1% | -29.1% |
Valuation Metrics
FISV leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.0x trailing earnings, FISV trades at a 57% valuation discount to NATL's 20.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NATL's 4.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than FISV's 6.6x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.3B | $30.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.0B | $58.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.68x | 8.96x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.14x | 7.01x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.25x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 4.02x | 6.63x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.75x | 1.43x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.32x | 1.21x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 13.66x | 7.00x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NATL leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NATL delivers a 47.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $47 in annual profit, vs $12 for FISV. NATL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.56x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FISV's 1.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NATL scores 6/9 vs FISV's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +47.0% | +12.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.1% | +4.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +23.4% | +8.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.5% | +10.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.56x | 1.13x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$231M | $28.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $456M | $798M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $225M | $29.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.62x | 6.39x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NATL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NATL five years ago would be worth $19,777 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,829 for FISV. Over the past 12 months, NATL leads with a +50.3% total return vs FISV's -68.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NATL at 25.5% vs FISV's -22.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +18.9% | -13.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +50.3% | -68.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.8% | -52.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.8% | -51.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +99.0% | +9.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +25.5% | -22.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NATL and FISV each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
FISV is the less volatile stock with a 0.94 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NATL's 1.16 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NATL currently trades 91.3% from its 52-week high vs FISV's 29.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.16x | 0.94x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $48.50 | $191.91 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $23.56 | $52.91 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +91.3% | +29.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.3 | 36.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.2M | 5.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NATL as "Hold" and FISV as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 31.4% upside for FISV (target: $75) vs 13.9% for NATL (target: $50).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $50.40 | $74.64 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 60 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | +19.4% |
FISV leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). NATL leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
NATL vs FISV: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NATL or FISV a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Fiserv, Inc.
(FISV) is the stronger pick with 3. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 9% for NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL). Fiserv, Inc. (FISV) offers the better valuation at 9. 0x trailing P/E (7. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Fiserv, Inc. (FISV) a "Buy" — based on 60 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NATL or FISV?
On trailing P/E, Fiserv, Inc.
(FISV) is the cheapest at 9. 0x versus NCR Atleos Corporation at 20. 7x. On forward P/E, Fiserv, Inc. is actually cheaper at 7. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NATL or FISV?
Over the past 5 years, NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) delivered a total return of +97.
8%, compared to -51. 7% for Fiserv, Inc. (FISV). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NATL returned +99. 0% versus FISV's +9. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NATL or FISV?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Fiserv, Inc.
(FISV) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 94β versus NCR Atleos Corporation's 1. 16β — meaning NATL is approximately 23% more volatile than FISV relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 56% versus 113% for Fiserv, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NATL or FISV?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Fiserv, Inc.
(FISV) is pulling ahead at 3. 6% versus 0. 9% for NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: NCR Atleos Corporation grew EPS 74. 0% year-over-year, compared to 17. 8% for Fiserv, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FISV leads at 6. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NATL or FISV?
Fiserv, Inc.
(FISV) is the more profitable company, earning 16. 4% net margin versus 3. 7% for NCR Atleos Corporation — meaning it keeps 16. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FISV leads at 26. 9% versus 11. 0% for NATL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FISV leads at 59. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NATL or FISV more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Fiserv, Inc.
(FISV) trades at 7. 0x forward P/E versus 9. 1x for NCR Atleos Corporation — 2. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FISV: 31. 4% to $74. 64.
08Which pays a better dividend — NATL or FISV?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is NATL or FISV better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Fiserv, Inc.
(FISV) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 94)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (FISV: +9. 7%, NATL: +99. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NATL and FISV?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NATL is a small-cap quality compounder stock; FISV is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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