NVS vs LLY

For growth investors, Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) is the stronger pick with 44.

7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 6. 0% for Novartis AG (NVS). Novartis AG (NVS) offers the better valuation at 20. 2x trailing P/E (16. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) a "Buy" — based on 45 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

On trailing P/E, Novartis AG (NVS) is the cheapest at 20.

2x versus Eli Lilly and Company at 43. 1x. On forward P/E, Novartis AG is actually cheaper at 16. 6x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Eli Lilly and Company wins at 0. 99x versus Novartis AG's 1. 08x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.

Over the past 5 years, Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) delivered a total return of +424.

9%, compared to +97. 8% for Novartis AG (NVS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LLY returned +1261% versus NVS's +180. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Novartis AG (NVS) is the lower-risk stock at 0.

42β versus Eli Lilly and Company's 0. 71β — meaning LLY is approximately 67% more volatile than NVS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Novartis AG (NVS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 80% versus 160% for Eli Lilly and Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

By revenue growth (latest reported year), Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) is pulling ahead at 44.

7% versus 6. 0% for Novartis AG (NVS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Eli Lilly and Company grew EPS 96. 0% year-over-year, compared to 22. 5% for Novartis AG. Over a 3-year CAGR, LLY leads at 31. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) is the more profitable company, earning 31.

7% net margin versus 25. 6% for Novartis AG — meaning it keeps 31. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LLY leads at 45. 6% versus 31. 2% for NVS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LLY leads at 83. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.

By this metric, Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 99x versus Novartis AG's 1. 08x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Novartis AG (NVS) trades at 16. 6x forward P/E versus 28. 6x for Eli Lilly and Company — 12. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LLY: 27. 4% to $1258. 47.

All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.

Novartis AG (NVS) offers the highest yield at 2. 8%, versus 0. 6% for Eli Lilly and Company (LLY).

For long-horizon retirement investors, Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.

71), 0. 6% yield, +1261% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (LLY: +1261%, NVS: +180. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

In terms of investment character: NVS is a large-cap quality compounder stock; LLY is a large-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.