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NXDR vs MTCH
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Internet Content & Information
NXDR vs MTCH — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Internet Content & Information | Internet Content & Information |
| Market Cap | $744M | $8.34B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $265M | $3.52B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-44M | $663M |
| Gross Margin | 83.9% | 73.8% |
| Operating Margin | -22.7% | 26.6% |
| Forward P/E | — | 13.5x |
| Total Debt | $56M | $3.97B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $63M | $1.03B |
NXDR vs MTCH — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nextdoor Holdings, … (NXDR) | 100 | 19.0 | -81.0% |
| Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) | 100 | 26.1 | -73.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NXDR vs MTCH
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NXDR is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 4.2%, EPS growth 44.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.6%
- 4.2% revenue growth vs MTCH's 0.2%
- +27.2% vs MTCH's +20.5%
MTCH carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.04, yield 2.0%
- 195.5% 10Y total return vs NXDR's -80.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.04, current ratio 1.42x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.2% revenue growth vs MTCH's 0.2% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 18.8% margin vs NXDR's -16.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.04 vs NXDR's 1.48 | |
| Dividends | 2.0% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +27.2% vs MTCH's +20.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 15.3% ROA vs NXDR's -9.1%, ROIC 23.7% vs -12.4% |
NXDR vs MTCH — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
NXDR vs MTCH — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — NXDR and MTCH each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MTCH is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.5B annually — 13.3x NXDR's $265M. MTCH is the more profitable business, keeping 18.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NXDR's -16.5%. On growth, NXDR holds the edge at +13.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $265M | $3.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$61M | $1.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$44M | $663M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $7M | $1.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +83.9% | +73.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -22.7% | +26.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -16.5% | +18.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.5% | +29.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +13.8% | +3.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +47.5% | +45.5% |
Valuation Metrics
MTCH leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $744M | $8.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $737M | $11.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -13.71x | 15.05x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 13.49x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.51x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 11.53x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.89x | 2.39x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.72x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 126.36x | 8.14x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MTCH leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MTCH scores 7/9 vs NXDR's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -10.3% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -9.1% | +15.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -12.4% | +23.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -15.3% | +23.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$8M | $2.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $63M | $1.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $56M | $4.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 6.17x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MTCH leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MTCH five years ago would be worth $2,530 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,893 for NXDR. Over the past 12 months, NXDR leads with a +27.2% total return vs MTCH's +20.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MTCH at 4.4% vs NXDR's -2.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -7.7% | +14.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +27.2% | +20.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -6.3% | +13.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -81.1% | -74.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.8% | +195.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -2.2% | +4.4% |
Risk & Volatility
MTCH leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MTCH is the less volatile stock with a 1.04 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NXDR's 1.48 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MTCH currently trades 91.4% from its 52-week high vs NXDR's 51.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.48x | 1.04x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.72 | $39.20 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.32 | $26.80 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +51.6% | +91.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.6M | 4.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NXDR as "Hold" and MTCH as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 69.3% upside for NXDR (target: $3) vs 0.5% for MTCH (target: $36). MTCH is the only dividend payer here at 1.98% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $3.25 | $36.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 32 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.71 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.5% | +9.5% |
MTCH leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Valuation Metrics and Profitability & Efficiency. 1 category is tied.
NXDR vs MTCH: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NXDR or MTCH a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.
(NXDR) is the stronger pick with 4. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 2% for Match Group, Inc. (MTCH). Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) offers the better valuation at 15. 1x trailing P/E (13. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) a "Buy" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — NXDR or MTCH?
Over the past 5 years, Match Group, Inc.
(MTCH) delivered a total return of -74. 7%, compared to -81. 1% for Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. (NXDR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MTCH returned +195. 5% versus NXDR's -80. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — NXDR or MTCH?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Match Group, Inc.
(MTCH) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 04β versus Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. 's 1. 48β — meaning NXDR is approximately 41% more volatile than MTCH relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — NXDR or MTCH?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.
(NXDR) is pulling ahead at 4. 2% versus 0. 2% for Match Group, Inc. (MTCH). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 44. 0% year-over-year, compared to 17. 8% for Match Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NXDR leads at 6. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — NXDR or MTCH?
Match Group, Inc.
(MTCH) is the more profitable company, earning 17. 6% net margin versus -21. 0% for Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 17. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MTCH leads at 25. 0% versus -27. 9% for NXDR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NXDR leads at 84. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is NXDR or MTCH more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NXDR: 69.
3% to $3. 25.
07Which pays a better dividend — NXDR or MTCH?
In this comparison, MTCH (2.
0% yield) pays a dividend. NXDR does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is NXDR or MTCH better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Match Group, Inc.
(MTCH) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 04), 2. 0% yield, +195. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MTCH: +195. 5%, NXDR: -80. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between NXDR and MTCH?
Both stocks operate in the Communication Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NXDR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; MTCH is a small-cap deep-value stock. MTCH pays a dividend while NXDR does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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- Sector: Communication Services
- Market Cap > $100B
- Revenue Growth > 6%
- Gross Margin > 50%
- Sector: Communication Services
- Market Cap > $100B
- Net Margin > 11%
- Dividend Yield > 0.7%
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