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ORGN vs LOOP vs GEVO vs BCYC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Chemicals - Specialty
Chemicals - Specialty
Biotechnology
ORGN vs LOOP vs GEVO vs BCYC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Chemicals | Chemicals - Specialty | Chemicals - Specialty | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $211M | $68M | $493M | $339M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $25M | $11M | $174M | $63M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-69M | $-3M | $-11M | $-219M |
| Gross Margin | 1.8% | 96.3% | 23.4% | -13.3% |
| Operating Margin | -321.3% | -3.2% | -4.6% | -381.6% |
| Total Debt | $10M | $3M | $168M | $18M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $56M | $13M | $1M | $628M |
ORGN vs LOOP vs GEVO vs BCYC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Origin Materials, I… (ORGN) | 100 | 0.5 | -99.5% |
| Loop Industries, In… (LOOP) | 100 | 10.3 | -89.7% |
| Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) | 100 | 203.0 | +103.0% |
| Bicycle Therapeutic… (BCYC) | 100 | 25.7 | -74.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ORGN vs LOOP vs GEVO vs BCYC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ORGN plays a supporting role in this comparison — it may shine differently against other peers.
LOOP is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- beta 0.89
- Lower volatility, beta 0.89, current ratio 3.50x
- Beta 0.89, current ratio 3.50x
- 70.2% revenue growth vs ORGN's 8.6%
GEVO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 8.5%, EPS growth 58.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 415.1%
- -6.6% margin vs BCYC's -345.0%
- +88.0% vs ORGN's -92.8%
- -1.7% ROA vs BCYC's -29.5%
BCYC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- -59.3% 10Y total return vs LOOP's -90.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 70.2% revenue growth vs ORGN's 8.6% | |
| Quality / Margins | -6.6% margin vs BCYC's -345.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.89 vs ORGN's 1.68 | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 4 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +88.0% vs ORGN's -92.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -1.7% ROA vs BCYC's -29.5% |
ORGN vs LOOP vs GEVO vs BCYC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
ORGN vs LOOP vs GEVO vs BCYC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
GEVO leads in 3 of 6 categories
LOOP leads 1 • ORGN leads 0 • BCYC leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LOOP leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GEVO is the larger business by revenue, generating $174M annually — 15.6x LOOP's $11M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -6.6% (GEVO) to -3.4% (BCYC). On growth, LOOP holds the edge at +65.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $25M | $11M | $174M | $63M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$70M | $63,000 | $18M | -$238M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$69M | -$3M | -$11M | -$219M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$55M | -$404,000 | -$35M | -$229M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +1.8% | +96.3% | +23.4% | -13.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -3.2% | -3.2% | -4.6% | -3.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -2.8% | -24.3% | -6.6% | -3.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -2.2% | -3.6% | -19.9% | -3.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -43.2% | +65.4% | +47.5% | -91.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +57.7% | +76.0% | +3.8% | +1.1% |
Valuation Metrics
GEVO leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $211M | $68M | $493M | $339M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $164M | $58M | $659M | -$272M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.45x | -4.46x | -14.50x | -1.55x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — | 102.12x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 6.74x | 6.26x | 3.07x | 4.67x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.60x | 182.83x | 1.01x | 0.56x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
GEVO leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GEVO delivers a -2.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-2 in annual profit, vs $-2 for LOOP. ORGN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LOOP's 8.41x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), LOOP scores 4/9 vs BCYC's 2/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -21.9% | -2.1% | -2.4% | -35.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -19.7% | -24.0% | -1.7% | -29.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -19.6% | -8.7% | -2.8% | — |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -20.8% | -35.0% | -3.1% | -32.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.03x | 8.41x | 0.36x | 0.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$47M | -$10M | $166M | -$611M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $56M | $13M | $1M | $628M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $10M | $3M | $168M | $18M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -417.10x | -0.69x | -0.04x | -1465.53x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GEVO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GEVO five years ago would be worth $3,476 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $48 for ORGN. Over the past 12 months, GEVO leads with a +88.0% total return vs ORGN's -92.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GEVO at 18.2% vs ORGN's -77.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -79.9% | +38.9% | -1.5% | -26.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -92.8% | +42.4% | +88.0% | -37.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -98.9% | -55.2% | +65.0% | -77.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -99.5% | -83.5% | -65.2% | -84.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -99.5% | -90.8% | -98.6% | -59.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -77.7% | -23.5% | +18.2% | -39.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — LOOP and GEVO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LOOP is the less volatile stock with a 0.89 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ORGN's 1.68 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GEVO currently trades 68.4% from its 52-week high vs ORGN's 5.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.68x | 0.89x | 1.64x | 1.65x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $28.49 | $2.29 | $2.97 | $9.36 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.20 | $0.85 | $1.01 | $4.24 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +5.0% | +61.6% | +68.4% | +52.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 30.7 | 55.6 | 53.5 | 57.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 161K | 74K | 4.5M | 464K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: ORGN as "Buy", GEVO as "Buy", BCYC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 6238.0% upside for ORGN (target: $90) vs 72.4% for GEVO (target: $4).
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | — | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $90.00 | — | $3.50 | $10.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | — | 14 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
GEVO leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). LOOP leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 1 tied.
ORGN vs LOOP vs GEVO vs BCYC: Key Questions Answered
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ORGN or LOOP or GEVO or BCYC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Loop Industries, Inc.
(LOOP) is the stronger pick with 70. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 8. 6% for Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN). Analysts rate Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ORGN or LOOP or GEVO or BCYC?
Over the past 5 years, Gevo, Inc.
(GEVO) delivered a total return of -65. 2%, compared to -99. 5% for Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BCYC returned -59. 3% versus ORGN's -99. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ORGN or LOOP or GEVO or BCYC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Loop Industries, Inc.
(LOOP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 89β versus Origin Materials, Inc. 's 1. 68β — meaning ORGN is approximately 89% more volatile than LOOP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 8% for Loop Industries, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ORGN or LOOP or GEVO or BCYC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Loop Industries, Inc.
(LOOP) is pulling ahead at 70. 2% versus 8. 6% for Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Gevo, Inc. grew EPS 58. 8% year-over-year, compared to -441. 2% for Origin Materials, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GEVO leads at 415. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ORGN or LOOP or GEVO or BCYC?
Gevo, Inc.
(GEVO) is the more profitable company, earning -21. 1% net margin versus -301. 7% for Bicycle Therapeutics plc — meaning it keeps -21. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GEVO leads at -11. 7% versus -341. 3% for BCYC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BCYC leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ORGN or LOOP or GEVO or BCYC?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is ORGN or LOOP or GEVO or BCYC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Loop Industries, Inc.
(LOOP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 89)). Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) carries a higher beta of 1. 68 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (LOOP: -90. 8%, ORGN: -99. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ORGN and LOOP and GEVO and BCYC?
These companies operate in different sectors (ORGN (Basic Materials) and LOOP (Basic Materials) and GEVO (Basic Materials) and BCYC (Healthcare)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: ORGN is a small-cap quality compounder stock; LOOP is a small-cap high-growth stock; GEVO is a small-cap high-growth stock; BCYC is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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