Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
OTLY vs LWAY vs BYND vs SMPL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
OTLY vs LWAY vs BYND vs SMPL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $336M | $391M | $414M | $1.24B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $893M | $212M | $265M | $1.45B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-152M | $14M | $244M | $91M |
| Gross Margin | 32.6% | 27.4% | 3.5% | 34.0% |
| Operating Margin | -6.8% | 7.6% | -82.4% | 14.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 20.7x | — | 7.5x |
| Total Debt | $514M | $360K | $508M | $304M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $64M | $6M | $208M | $98M |
OTLY vs LWAY vs BYND vs SMPL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oatly Group AB (OTLY) | 100 | 2.3 | -97.7% |
| Lifeway Foods, Inc. (LWAY) | 100 | 449.0 | +349.0% |
| Beyond Meat, Inc. (BYND) | 100 | 0.6 | -99.4% |
| The Simply Good Foo… (SMPL) | 100 | 36.0 | -64.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: OTLY vs LWAY vs BYND vs SMPL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
OTLY lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
LWAY has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 13.7%, EPS growth 50.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.5%
- 167.1% 10Y total return vs SMPL's 3.7%
- 13.7% revenue growth vs BYND's -15.6%
- +6.1% vs BYND's -64.9%
BYND is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if quality and efficiency is your priority.
- 92.2% margin vs OTLY's -17.1%
- 39.3% ROA vs OTLY's -19.5%, ROIC -44.4% vs -10.5%
SMPL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 0.38
- Lower volatility, beta 0.38, Low D/E 16.8%, current ratio 3.64x
- PEG 0.31 vs LWAY's 0.62
- Beta 0.38, current ratio 3.64x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.7% revenue growth vs BYND's -15.6% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 92.2% margin vs OTLY's -17.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.38 vs BYND's 1.67 | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 4 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +6.1% vs BYND's -64.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 39.3% ROA vs OTLY's -19.5%, ROIC -44.4% vs -10.5% |
OTLY vs LWAY vs BYND vs SMPL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
OTLY vs LWAY vs BYND vs SMPL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SMPL leads in 2 of 6 categories
LWAY leads 2 • OTLY leads 0 • BYND leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SMPL leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SMPL is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.4B annually — 6.8x LWAY's $212M. BYND is the more profitable business, keeping 92.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to OTLY's -17.1%. On growth, LWAY holds the edge at +18.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $893M | $212M | $265M | $1.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$21M | $20M | -$187M | $231M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$152M | $14M | $244M | $91M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$28M | $0 | -$134M | $174M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +32.6% | +27.4% | +3.5% | +34.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -6.8% | +7.6% | -82.4% | +14.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -17.1% | +6.5% | +92.2% | +6.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -3.2% | -7.8% | -50.6% | +12.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +15.6% | +18.0% | -15.3% | -0.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.8% | +15.8% | +90.9% | -31.6% |
Valuation Metrics
SMPL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.2x trailing earnings, SMPL trades at a 58% valuation discount to LWAY's 28.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), SMPL offers better value at 0.51x vs LWAY's 0.86x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $336M | $391M | $414M | $1.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $786M | $385M | $714M | $1.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.14x | 28.81x | -0.49x | 12.20x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 20.68x | — | 7.45x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.86x | — | 0.51x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 19.12x | — | 5.97x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.39x | 1.84x | 1.50x | 0.86x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 16.63x | 4.64x | — | 0.70x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | 7.86x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LWAY leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LWAY delivers a 17.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $17 in annual profit, vs $-4 for OTLY. LWAY carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to OTLY's 26.12x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SMPL scores 5/9 vs BYND's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -4.3% | +17.2% | — | +5.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -19.5% | +13.6% | +39.3% | +3.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -10.5% | +17.8% | -44.4% | +8.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -27.2% | +19.7% | -40.3% | +9.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 26.12x | 0.00x | — | 0.17x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $449M | -$5M | $300M | $206M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $64M | $6M | $208M | $98M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $514M | $360,000 | $508M | $304M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1.41x | 256.99x | -11.47x | 6.77x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LWAY leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LWAY five years ago would be worth $52,703 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $81 for BYND. Over the past 12 months, LWAY leads with a +6.1% total return vs BYND's -64.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LWAY at 62.3% vs BYND's -59.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -3.8% | +12.5% | +1.3% | -36.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +0.2% | +6.1% | -64.9% | -64.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -75.0% | +327.3% | -93.1% | -67.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -97.3% | +427.0% | -99.2% | -64.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -97.3% | +167.1% | -98.6% | +3.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -37.0% | +62.3% | -59.1% | -31.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — LWAY and SMPL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SMPL is the less volatile stock with a 0.38 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BYND's 1.67 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LWAY currently trades 75.0% from its 52-week high vs BYND's 11.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.52x | 0.72x | 1.67x | 0.38x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $18.84 | $34.20 | $7.69 | $36.92 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $9.26 | $17.31 | $0.50 | $10.21 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +57.2% | +75.0% | +11.6% | +33.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 40.7 | 64.8 | 60.7 | 42.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 64K | 63K | 59.5M | 2.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: OTLY as "Hold", LWAY as "Buy", BYND as "Sell", SMPL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 4889.9% upside for BYND (target: $45) vs 35.9% for OTLY (target: $15).
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Sell | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.64 | $35.00 | $44.55 | $20.17 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 6 | 21 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 2 | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +4.1% |
SMPL leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). LWAY leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
OTLY vs LWAY vs BYND vs SMPL: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is OTLY or LWAY or BYND or SMPL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Lifeway Foods, Inc.
(LWAY) is the stronger pick with 13. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -15. 6% for Beyond Meat, Inc. (BYND). The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) offers the better valuation at 12. 2x trailing P/E (7. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Lifeway Foods, Inc. (LWAY) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — OTLY or LWAY or BYND or SMPL?
On trailing P/E, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the cheapest at 12.
2x versus Lifeway Foods, Inc. at 28. 8x. On forward P/E, The Simply Good Foods Company is actually cheaper at 7. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The Simply Good Foods Company wins at 0. 31x versus Lifeway Foods, Inc. 's 0. 62x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — OTLY or LWAY or BYND or SMPL?
Over the past 5 years, Lifeway Foods, Inc.
(LWAY) delivered a total return of +427. 0%, compared to -99. 2% for Beyond Meat, Inc. (BYND). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LWAY returned +167. 1% versus BYND's -98. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — OTLY or LWAY or BYND or SMPL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
38β versus Beyond Meat, Inc. 's 1. 67β — meaning BYND is approximately 342% more volatile than SMPL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Lifeway Foods, Inc. (LWAY) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 26% for Oatly Group AB — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — OTLY or LWAY or BYND or SMPL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Lifeway Foods, Inc.
(LWAY) is pulling ahead at 13. 7% versus -15. 6% for Beyond Meat, Inc. (BYND). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Lifeway Foods, Inc. grew EPS 50. 8% year-over-year, compared to -26. 1% for The Simply Good Foods Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, LWAY leads at 14. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — OTLY or LWAY or BYND or SMPL?
Beyond Meat, Inc.
(BYND) is the more profitable company, earning 79. 8% net margin versus -17. 7% for Oatly Group AB — meaning it keeps 79. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SMPL leads at 15. 1% versus -84. 7% for BYND. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SMPL leads at 35. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is OTLY or LWAY or BYND or SMPL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 31x versus Lifeway Foods, Inc. 's 0. 62x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) trades at 7. 5x forward P/E versus 20. 7x for Lifeway Foods, Inc. — 13. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BYND: 4889. 9% to $44. 55.
08Which pays a better dividend — OTLY or LWAY or BYND or SMPL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is OTLY or LWAY or BYND or SMPL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
38)). Beyond Meat, Inc. (BYND) carries a higher beta of 1. 67 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SMPL: +3. 7%, BYND: -98. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between OTLY and LWAY and BYND and SMPL?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: OTLY is a small-cap quality compounder stock; LWAY is a small-cap quality compounder stock; BYND is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SMPL is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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