PHM vs TOL

For growth investors, Toll Brothers, Inc.

(TOL) is the stronger pick with 1. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 5% for PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM). Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) offers the better valuation at 10. 5x trailing P/E (11. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) a "Hold" — based on 44 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

On trailing P/E, Toll Brothers, Inc.

(TOL) is the cheapest at 10. 5x versus PulteGroup, Inc. at 10. 8x. On forward P/E, Toll Brothers, Inc. is actually cheaper at 11. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Toll Brothers, Inc. wins at 0. 35x versus PulteGroup, Inc. 's 0. 73x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.

Over the past 5 years, Toll Brothers, Inc.

(TOL) delivered a total return of +122. 2%, compared to +104. 3% for PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PHM returned +590. 7% versus TOL's +458. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), PulteGroup, Inc.

(PHM) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 01β versus Toll Brothers, Inc. 's 1. 21β — meaning TOL is approximately 19% more volatile than PHM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 19% versus 35% for Toll Brothers, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

By revenue growth (latest reported year), Toll Brothers, Inc.

(TOL) is pulling ahead at 1. 1% versus -3. 5% for PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Toll Brothers, Inc. grew EPS -10. 1% year-over-year, compared to -24. 3% for PulteGroup, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, PHM leads at 2. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

PulteGroup, Inc.

(PHM) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 8% net margin versus 12. 3% for Toll Brothers, Inc. — meaning it keeps 12. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PHM leads at 17. 3% versus 15. 7% for TOL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PHM leads at 26. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.

By this metric, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 35x versus PulteGroup, Inc. 's 0. 73x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) trades at 11. 1x forward P/E versus 12. 0x for PulteGroup, Inc. — 0. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TOL: 17. 8% to $166. 75.

All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) offers the highest yield at 0. 7%, versus 0. 7% for Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL).

For long-horizon retirement investors, PulteGroup, Inc.

(PHM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 01), 0. 7% yield, +590. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PHM: +590. 7%, TOL: +458. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.