Packaged Foods
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
POST vs CPB vs K vs GIS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Food Confectioners
Packaged Foods
POST vs CPB vs K vs GIS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Food Confectioners | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $4.94B | $6.34B | $29.03B | $19.05B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.45B | $10.04B | $12.64B | $18.37B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $338M | $550M | $1.33B | $2.21B |
| Gross Margin | 27.4% | 29.3% | 36.1% | 33.0% |
| Operating Margin | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 19.1% |
| Forward P/E | 13.9x | 9.7x | 22.1x | 10.4x |
| Total Debt | $7.70B | $7.21B | $6.34B | $15.30B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $177M | $132M | $694M | $364M |
POST vs CPB vs K vs GIS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) | 100 | 177.5 | +77.5% |
| Campbell Soup Compa… (CPB) | 100 | 41.7 | -58.3% |
| Kellanova (K) | 100 | 136.5 | +36.5% |
| General Mills, Inc. (GIS) | 100 | 56.6 | -43.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: POST vs CPB vs K vs GIS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
POST is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 105.4% 10Y total return vs K's 47.6%
- PEG 0.06 vs GIS's 3.64
- Lower P/E (13.9x vs 22.1x), PEG 0.06 vs 3.27
CPB is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and growth exposure is your priority.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta -0.02, yield 7.2%
- Rev growth 6.4%, EPS growth 6.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.2%
- 6.4% revenue growth vs K's -2.8%
- 7.2% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs GIS's 6.7%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
K carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.05, current ratio 0.81x
- Beta 0.05, yield 2.7%, current ratio 0.81x
- Beta 0.05 vs POST's 0.23, lower leverage
- +3.2% vs CPB's -35.4%
GIS is the clearest fit if your priority is quality.
- 12.1% margin vs POST's 4.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.4% revenue growth vs K's -2.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.9x vs 22.1x), PEG 0.06 vs 3.27 | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.1% margin vs POST's 4.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.05 vs POST's 0.23, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 7.2% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs GIS's 6.7%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +3.2% vs CPB's -35.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.4% ROA vs POST's 2.6%, ROIC 14.7% vs 5.9% |
POST vs CPB vs K vs GIS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
POST vs CPB vs K vs GIS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
K leads in 2 of 6 categories
CPB leads 1 • POST leads 0 • GIS leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — POST and GIS each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GIS is the larger business by revenue, generating $18.4B annually — 2.2x POST's $8.4B. GIS is the more profitable business, keeping 12.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to POST's 4.0%. On growth, POST holds the edge at +4.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.4B | $10.0B | $12.6B | $18.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.3B | $1.6B | $2.2B | $3.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $338M | $550M | $1.3B | $2.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $247M | $919M | $650M | $1.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +27.4% | +29.3% | +36.1% | +33.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.5% | +12.1% | +14.7% | +19.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.0% | +5.5% | +10.6% | +12.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.9% | +9.2% | +5.1% | +9.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.7% | -4.5% | +0.3% | -8.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +51.5% | -17.2% | -15.0% | -50.0% |
Valuation Metrics
CPB leads this category, winning 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.7x trailing earnings, GIS trades at a 59% valuation discount to K's 21.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), POST offers better value at 0.08x vs K's 3.19x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.9B | $6.3B | $29.0B | $19.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $12.5B | $13.4B | $34.7B | $34.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.70x | 10.57x | 21.51x | 8.71x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.92x | 9.74x | 22.06x | 10.43x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.08x | — | 3.19x | 3.04x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.06x | 7.51x | 15.48x | 8.84x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.61x | 0.62x | 2.28x | 0.98x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.72x | 1.63x | 7.44x | 2.16x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 10.12x | 8.99x | 25.65x | 8.31x |
Profitability & Efficiency
K leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
K delivers a 31.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $32 in annual profit, vs $9 for POST. K carries lower financial leverage with a 1.63x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to POST's 2.05x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CPB scores 7/9 vs POST's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.4% | +14.0% | +31.7% | +23.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.6% | +3.7% | +8.4% | +6.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.9% | +9.1% | +14.7% | +10.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.0% | +11.4% | +17.4% | +13.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.05x | 1.85x | 1.63x | 1.66x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.5B | $7.1B | $5.6B | $14.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $177M | $132M | $694M | $364M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.7B | $7.2B | $6.3B | $15.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.61x | 3.14x | 6.41x | 5.01x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
K leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in K five years ago would be worth $14,973 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,806 for CPB. Over the past 12 months, K leads with a +3.2% total return vs CPB's -35.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors K at 10.3% vs CPB's -22.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +3.4% | -20.5% | — | -19.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -7.3% | -35.4% | +3.2% | -29.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +14.7% | -52.6% | +34.4% | -52.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +32.8% | -41.9% | +49.7% | -25.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +105.4% | -44.9% | +47.6% | -9.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +4.7% | -22.0% | +10.3% | -21.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — K and GIS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GIS is the less volatile stock with a -0.04 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than POST's 0.23 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. K currently trades 99.7% from its 52-week high vs CPB's 58.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.23x | -0.02x | 0.05x | -0.04x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $117.28 | $36.16 | $83.65 | $55.35 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $94.14 | $19.76 | $76.48 | $33.58 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +87.8% | +58.8% | +99.7% | +64.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.4 | 46.7 | 60.6 | 42.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 688K | 9.1M | 42.7M | 8.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CPB and GIS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: POST as "Buy", CPB as "Hold", K as "Hold", GIS as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 30.4% upside for GIS (target: $47) vs -11.3% for K (target: $74). For income investors, CPB offers the higher dividend yield at 7.20% vs K's 2.69%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $119.50 | $25.83 | $74.03 | $46.58 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 19 | 29 | 34 | 34 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +7.2% | +2.7% | +6.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.53 | $2.24 | $2.40 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +14.3% | +1.0% | 0.0% | +6.3% |
K leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). CPB leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 3 tied.
POST vs CPB vs K vs GIS: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is POST or CPB or K or GIS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is the stronger pick with 6.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 8% for Kellanova (K). General Mills, Inc. (GIS) offers the better valuation at 8. 7x trailing P/E (10. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — POST or CPB or K or GIS?
On trailing P/E, General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the cheapest at 8. 7x versus Kellanova at 21. 5x. On forward P/E, Campbell Soup Company is actually cheaper at 9. 7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Post Holdings, Inc. wins at 0. 06x versus General Mills, Inc. 's 3. 64x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — POST or CPB or K or GIS?
Over the past 5 years, Kellanova (K) delivered a total return of +49.
7%, compared to -41. 9% for Campbell Soup Company (CPB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: POST returned +105. 4% versus CPB's -44. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — POST or CPB or K or GIS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 04β versus Post Holdings, Inc. 's 0. 23β — meaning POST is approximately -737% more volatile than GIS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Kellanova (K) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 163% versus 2% for Post Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — POST or CPB or K or GIS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is pulling ahead at 6.
4% versus -2. 8% for Kellanova (K). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Kellanova grew EPS 40. 6% year-over-year, compared to -4. 9% for General Mills, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, POST leads at 11. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — POST or CPB or K or GIS?
General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the more profitable company, earning 11. 8% net margin versus 4. 1% for Post Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 11. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GIS leads at 17. 0% versus 10. 4% for POST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — K leads at 36. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is POST or CPB or K or GIS more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 06x versus General Mills, Inc. 's 3. 64x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) trades at 9. 7x forward P/E versus 22. 1x for Kellanova — 12. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GIS: 30. 4% to $46. 58.
08Which pays a better dividend — POST or CPB or K or GIS?
In this comparison, CPB (7.
2% yield), GIS (6. 7% yield), K (2. 7% yield) pay a dividend. POST does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is POST or CPB or K or GIS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 04), 6. 7% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GIS: -9. 2%, POST: +105. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between POST and CPB and K and GIS?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: POST is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CPB is a small-cap deep-value stock; K is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; GIS is a mid-cap deep-value stock. CPB, K, GIS pay a dividend while POST does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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