Packaged Foods
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5 / 10Stock Comparison
POST vs K vs GIS vs CPB vs SJM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Food Confectioners
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
POST vs K vs GIS vs CPB vs SJM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Food Confectioners | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $4.98B | $29.03B | $18.71B | $6.25B | $10.31B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.36B | $12.64B | $18.37B | $10.04B | $8.93B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $319M | $1.33B | $2.21B | $550M | $-1.26B |
| Gross Margin | 26.3% | 36.1% | 33.0% | 29.3% | 33.6% |
| Operating Margin | 10.4% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 12.1% | -8.0% |
| Forward P/E | 14.0x | 22.1x | 10.2x | 9.6x | 10.7x |
| Total Debt | $7.70B | $6.34B | $15.30B | $7.21B | $7.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $177M | $694M | $364M | $132M | $70M |
POST vs K vs GIS vs CPB vs SJM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) | 100 | 178.7 | +78.7% |
| Kellanova (K) | 100 | 136.5 | +36.5% |
| General Mills, Inc. (GIS) | 100 | 55.6 | -44.4% |
| Campbell Soup Compa… (CPB) | 100 | 41.1 | -58.9% |
| The J. M. Smucker C… (SJM) | 100 | 85.0 | -15.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: POST vs K vs GIS vs CPB vs SJM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
POST ranks third and is worth considering specifically for long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 108.9% 10Y total return vs K's 48.3%
- PEG 0.06 vs GIS's 3.57
- Better valuation composite
K has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in momentum and efficiency.
- +3.2% vs CPB's -36.6%
- 8.4% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 14.7% vs -3.4%
GIS is the clearest fit if your priority is quality.
- 12.1% margin vs SJM's -14.1%
CPB is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 6.4%, EPS growth 6.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.2%
- 7.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs SJM's 4.4%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
SJM is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 0.04, yield 4.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.04, current ratio 0.81x
- Beta 0.04, yield 4.4%, current ratio 0.81x
- 6.7% revenue growth vs K's -2.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.7% revenue growth vs K's -2.8% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.1% margin vs SJM's -14.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.04 vs POST's 0.23, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 7.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs SJM's 4.4%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +3.2% vs CPB's -36.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.4% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 14.7% vs -3.4% |
POST vs K vs GIS vs CPB vs SJM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
POST vs K vs GIS vs CPB vs SJM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
K leads in 2 of 6 categories
CPB leads 1 • POST leads 0 • GIS leads 0 • SJM leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — POST and GIS each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GIS is the larger business by revenue, generating $18.4B annually — 2.2x POST's $8.4B. GIS is the more profitable business, keeping 12.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SJM's -14.1%. On growth, POST holds the edge at +10.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.4B | $12.6B | $18.4B | $10.0B | $8.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.4B | $2.2B | $3.9B | $1.6B | -$595M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $319M | $1.3B | $2.2B | $550M | -$1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $436M | $650M | $1.7B | $919M | $971M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +26.3% | +36.1% | +33.0% | +29.3% | +33.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.4% | +14.7% | +19.1% | +12.1% | -8.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.8% | +10.6% | +12.1% | +5.5% | -14.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.2% | +5.1% | +9.0% | +9.2% | +10.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.1% | +0.3% | -8.4% | -4.5% | +7.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.9% | -15.0% | -50.0% | -17.2% | -9.3% |
Valuation Metrics
CPB leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.6x trailing earnings, GIS trades at a 60% valuation discount to K's 21.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), POST offers better value at 0.08x vs K's 3.19x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.0B | $29.0B | $18.7B | $6.2B | $10.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $12.5B | $34.7B | $33.6B | $13.3B | $18.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.83x | 21.51x | 8.55x | 10.43x | -8.37x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.01x | 22.06x | 10.24x | 9.60x | 10.72x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.08x | 3.19x | 2.99x | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.08x | 15.48x | 8.75x | 7.46x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.61x | 2.28x | 0.96x | 0.61x | 1.18x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.73x | 7.44x | 2.12x | 1.61x | 1.69x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 10.19x | 25.65x | 8.16x | 8.86x | 12.62x |
Profitability & Efficiency
K leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
K delivers a 31.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $32 in annual profit, vs $-24 for SJM. SJM carries lower financial leverage with a 1.28x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to POST's 2.05x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), K scores 7/9 vs POST's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.5% | +31.7% | +23.7% | +14.0% | -24.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | +8.4% | +6.8% | +3.7% | -7.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.9% | +14.7% | +10.6% | +9.1% | -3.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.0% | +17.4% | +13.3% | +11.4% | -4.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.05x | 1.63x | 1.66x | 1.85x | 1.28x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.5B | $5.6B | $14.9B | $7.1B | $7.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $177M | $694M | $364M | $132M | $70M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.7B | $6.3B | $15.3B | $7.2B | $7.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.13x | 6.41x | 5.01x | 3.14x | -1.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
K leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in K five years ago would be worth $14,843 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,717 for CPB. Over the past 12 months, K leads with a +3.2% total return vs CPB's -36.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors K at 10.3% vs CPB's -22.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.1% | — | -20.6% | -21.5% | +1.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -7.9% | +3.2% | -31.3% | -36.6% | -10.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +15.5% | +34.4% | -53.0% | -53.1% | -30.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +33.9% | +48.4% | -27.0% | -42.8% | -14.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +108.9% | +48.3% | -9.4% | -44.5% | +3.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +4.9% | +10.3% | -22.2% | -22.3% | -11.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — K and GIS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GIS is the less volatile stock with a -0.04 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than POST's 0.23 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. K currently trades 99.7% from its 52-week high vs CPB's 58.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.23x | 0.05x | -0.04x | -0.02x | 0.04x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $117.28 | $83.65 | $55.35 | $36.16 | $119.39 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $94.14 | $76.48 | $33.58 | $19.76 | $88.25 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +88.5% | +99.7% | +63.4% | +58.0% | +81.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.3 | 60.6 | 36.4 | 45.9 | 49.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 683K | 42.7M | 8.6M | 9.2M | 2.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CPB and SJM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: POST as "Buy", K as "Hold", GIS as "Hold", CPB as "Hold", SJM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 32.8% upside for GIS (target: $47) vs -11.3% for K (target: $74). For income investors, CPB offers the higher dividend yield at 7.30% vs K's 2.69%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $119.50 | $74.03 | $46.58 | $25.83 | $113.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 19 | 34 | 34 | 29 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.7% | +6.8% | +7.3% | +4.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 15 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.24 | $2.40 | $1.53 | $4.28 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +14.3% | 0.0% | +6.4% | +1.0% | +0.0% |
K leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). CPB leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 3 tied.
POST vs K vs GIS vs CPB vs SJM: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is POST or K or GIS or CPB or SJM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the stronger pick with 6. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 8% for Kellanova (K). General Mills, Inc. (GIS) offers the better valuation at 8. 6x trailing P/E (10. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — POST or K or GIS or CPB or SJM?
On trailing P/E, General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the cheapest at 8. 6x versus Kellanova at 21. 5x. On forward P/E, Campbell Soup Company is actually cheaper at 9. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Post Holdings, Inc. wins at 0. 06x versus General Mills, Inc. 's 3. 57x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — POST or K or GIS or CPB or SJM?
Over the past 5 years, Kellanova (K) delivered a total return of +48.
4%, compared to -42. 8% for Campbell Soup Company (CPB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: POST returned +108. 9% versus CPB's -44. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — POST or K or GIS or CPB or SJM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 04β versus Post Holdings, Inc. 's 0. 23β — meaning POST is approximately -737% more volatile than GIS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 128% versus 2% for Post Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — POST or K or GIS or CPB or SJM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is pulling ahead at 6. 7% versus -2. 8% for Kellanova (K). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Kellanova grew EPS 40. 6% year-over-year, compared to -262. 3% for The J. M. Smucker Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, POST leads at 11. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — POST or K or GIS or CPB or SJM?
General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the more profitable company, earning 11. 8% net margin versus -14. 1% for The J. M. Smucker Company — meaning it keeps 11. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GIS leads at 17. 0% versus -7. 7% for SJM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SJM leads at 38. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is POST or K or GIS or CPB or SJM more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 06x versus General Mills, Inc. 's 3. 57x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) trades at 9. 6x forward P/E versus 22. 1x for Kellanova — 12. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GIS: 32. 8% to $46. 58.
08Which pays a better dividend — POST or K or GIS or CPB or SJM?
In this comparison, CPB (7.
3% yield), GIS (6. 8% yield), SJM (4. 4% yield), K (2. 7% yield) pay a dividend. POST does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is POST or K or GIS or CPB or SJM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 04), 6. 8% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GIS: -9. 4%, POST: +108. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between POST and K and GIS and CPB and SJM?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: POST is a small-cap quality compounder stock; K is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; GIS is a mid-cap deep-value stock; CPB is a small-cap deep-value stock; SJM is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. K, GIS, CPB, SJM pay a dividend while POST does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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