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SPIR vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
SPIR vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Specialty Business Services | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $541.04B | $420.89B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $72M | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-25.02B | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 40.8% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | -121.4% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 10.2x | 39.2x |
| Total Debt | $8.76B | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $24.81B | $9.98B |
SPIR vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Nov 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) | 100 | 20.9 | -79.1% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 521.1 | +421.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SPIR vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SPIR is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Lower P/E (10.2x vs 39.2x)
CAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 1.54, yield 0.6%
- Rev growth 4.3%, EPS growth -14.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.4%
- 12.0% 10Y total return vs SPIR's -78.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.3% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.2x vs 39.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.3% margin vs SPIR's -349.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.54 vs SPIR's 2.93 | |
| Dividends | 0.6% yield; 8-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +181.8% vs SPIR's +77.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs SPIR's -47.3%, ROIC 15.9% vs -0.1% |
SPIR vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
SPIR vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 988.8x SPIR's $72M. CAT is the more profitable business, keeping 13.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPIR's -349.6%. On growth, CAT holds the edge at +22.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $72M | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$74M | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$25.0B | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$16.2B | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.8% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -121.4% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -349.6% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -227.0% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -26.9% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +59.5% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
SPIR leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.2x trailing earnings, SPIR trades at a 79% valuation discount to CAT's 48.0x P/E.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $541.0B | $420.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $525.0B | $454.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.22x | 48.04x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 39.18x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.71x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 33.72x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 7561.39x | 6.23x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.66x | 19.90x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 40.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $-88 for SPIR. SPIR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -88.4% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -47.3% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -0.1% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.1% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.08x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$16.1B | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $24.8B | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $8.8B | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 9.20x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAT five years ago would be worth $39,125 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,078 for SPIR. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +181.8% total return vs SPIR's +77.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 62.4% vs SPIR's 49.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +110.8% | +51.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +77.8% | +181.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +231.1% | +328.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -79.2% | +291.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -78.3% | +1203.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +49.0% | +62.4% |
Risk & Volatility
CAT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAT is the less volatile stock with a 1.54 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SPIR's 2.93 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAT currently trades 99.5% from its 52-week high vs SPIR's 69.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.93x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $23.59 | $908.90 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $6.60 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +69.8% | +99.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.8 | 69.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.5M | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SPIR as "Buy" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 4.8% upside for SPIR (target: $17) vs -8.8% for CAT (target: $825). CAT is the only dividend payer here at 0.65% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $17.25 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.2% |
CAT leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SPIR leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
SPIR vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SPIR or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger pick with 4. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) offers the better valuation at 10. 2x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SPIR or CAT?
On trailing P/E, Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the cheapest at 10. 2x versus Caterpillar Inc. at 48. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SPIR or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) delivered a total return of +291. 3%, compared to -79. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1203% versus SPIR's -78. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SPIR or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 54β versus Spire Global, Inc. 's 2. 93β — meaning SPIR is approximately 90% more volatile than CAT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 8% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SPIR or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is pulling ahead at 4. 3% versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Spire Global, Inc. grew EPS 137. 8% year-over-year, compared to -14. 6% for Caterpillar Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAT leads at 4. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SPIR or CAT?
Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the more profitable company, earning 71. 7% net margin versus 13. 1% for Caterpillar Inc. — meaning it keeps 71. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAT leads at 16. 6% versus -121. 4% for SPIR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SPIR leads at 40. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SPIR or CAT more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SPIR: 4.
8% to $17. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — SPIR or CAT?
In this comparison, CAT (0.
6% yield) pays a dividend. SPIR does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is SPIR or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +1203% 10Y return). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a higher beta of 2. 93 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAT: +1203%, SPIR: -78. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SPIR and CAT?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: SPIR is a large-cap deep-value stock; CAT is a large-cap quality compounder stock. CAT pays a dividend while SPIR does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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