Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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SRFM vs SKYW vs MESA vs ULCC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
SRFM vs SKYW vs MESA vs ULCC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $30M | $3.52B | $879M | $1.25B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $107M | $4.12B | $381M | $3.80B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-111M | $429M | $-166M | $-366M |
| Gross Margin | 3.9% | 41.9% | 10.8% | 31.2% |
| Operating Margin | -72.1% | 14.6% | -44.6% | -11.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 8.0x | 30.9x | — |
| Total Debt | $83M | $2.39B | $103M | $5.46B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $13M | — | $42M | $671M |
SRFM vs SKYW vs MESA vs ULCC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Surf Air Mobility I… (SRFM) | 100 | 10.0 | -90.0% |
| SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) | 100 | 199.3 | +99.3% |
| Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA) | 100 | 937.5 | +837.5% |
| Frontier Group Hold… (ULCC) | 100 | 58.4 | -41.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SRFM vs SKYW vs MESA vs ULCC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SRFM plays a supporting role in this comparison — it may shine differently against other peers.
SKYW carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.49
- Rev growth 15.0%, EPS growth 33.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 10.5%
- 282.0% 10Y total return vs MESA's 78.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.49, Low D/E 87.1%, current ratio 0.65x
MESA is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if defensive is your priority.
- Beta 0.82, current ratio 0.67x
- Beta 0.82 vs SRFM's 3.58
- +20.3% vs SRFM's -40.9%
ULCC lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.0% revenue growth vs MESA's -19.9% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 10.4% margin vs SRFM's -103.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.82 vs SRFM's 3.58 | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 4 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +20.3% vs SRFM's -40.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.9% ROA vs SRFM's -93.5%, ROIC 9.2% vs -361.8% |
SRFM vs SKYW vs MESA vs ULCC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SRFM vs SKYW vs MESA vs ULCC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SKYW leads in 3 of 6 categories
MESA leads 2 • SRFM leads 0 • ULCC leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SKYW leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SKYW is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.1B annually — 38.7x SRFM's $107M. SKYW is the more profitable business, keeping 10.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SRFM's -103.8%. On growth, ULCC holds the edge at +8.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $107M | $4.1B | $381M | $3.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$68M | $967M | -$150M | -$300M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$111M | $429M | -$166M | -$366M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $0 | $339M | -$53M | -$481M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +3.9% | +41.9% | +10.8% | +31.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -72.1% | +14.6% | -44.6% | -11.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -103.8% | +10.4% | -43.6% | -9.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -65.8% | +8.2% | -14.0% | -12.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.7% | +6.8% | -21.3% | +8.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -24.6% | +3.3% | +43.3% | -5.2% |
Valuation Metrics
SKYW leads this category, winning 2 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $30M | $3.5B | $879M | $1.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $101M | $5.9B | $1.2B | $6.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.27x | 8.47x | -0.04x | -9.05x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 8.01x | 30.88x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 6.02x | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.28x | 0.87x | 1.85x | 0.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 1.32x | 0.03x | 2.54x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 12.27x | 63.13x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
SKYW leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SKYW delivers a 16.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $-5 for MESA. SKYW carries lower financial leverage with a 0.87x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ULCC's 11.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SKYW scores 8/9 vs ULCC's 0/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +16.0% | -5.3% | -88.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -93.5% | +5.9% | -71.1% | -5.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -3.6% | +9.2% | -62.9% | -2.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -2.2% | +10.8% | -86.2% | -3.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.87x | — | 11.13x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $71M | $2.4B | $61M | $4.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $13M | — | $42M | $671M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $83M | $2.4B | $103M | $5.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 9.88x | -8.18x | -29.29x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MESA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MESA five years ago would be worth $18,834 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $649 for SRFM. Over the past 12 months, MESA leads with a +2034.1% total return vs SRFM's -40.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MESA at 118.6% vs SRFM's -59.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -40.2% | -13.4% | 0.0% | +18.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -40.9% | -9.6% | +2034.1% | +55.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -93.5% | +220.4% | +944.8% | -33.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -93.5% | +76.9% | +88.3% | -73.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -93.5% | +282.0% | +78.7% | -71.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -59.8% | +47.4% | +118.6% | -12.5% |
Risk & Volatility
MESA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MESA is the less volatile stock with a 0.82 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SRFM's 3.58 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MESA currently trades 100.0% from its 52-week high vs SRFM's 14.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 3.58x | 1.49x | 0.82x | 2.84x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.91 | $123.94 | $21.00 | $6.66 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.01 | $80.00 | $0.90 | $3.02 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +14.4% | +70.7% | +100.0% | +81.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.2 | 47.8 | 98.1 | 65.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.6M | 379K | 0 | 5.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: SRFM as "Hold", SKYW as "Buy", MESA as "Hold", ULCC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 39.2% upside for SKYW (target: $122) vs -9.1% for SRFM (target: $1).
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $1.30 | $122.00 | — | $6.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 3 | 17 | 6 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
SKYW leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). MESA leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility).
SRFM vs SKYW vs MESA vs ULCC: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SRFM or SKYW or MESA or ULCC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, SkyWest, Inc.
(SKYW) is the stronger pick with 15. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -19. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA). SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) offers the better valuation at 8. 5x trailing P/E (8. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) a "Buy" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SRFM or SKYW or MESA or ULCC?
On forward P/E, SkyWest, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 8. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SRFM or SKYW or MESA or ULCC?
Over the past 5 years, Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) delivered a total return of +88. 3%, compared to -93. 5% for Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SKYW returned +282. 0% versus SRFM's -93. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SRFM or SKYW or MESA or ULCC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 82β versus Surf Air Mobility Inc. 's 3. 58β — meaning SRFM is approximately 340% more volatile than MESA relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 87% versus 11% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SRFM or SKYW or MESA or ULCC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), SkyWest, Inc.
(SKYW) is pulling ahead at 15. 0% versus -19. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: SkyWest, Inc. grew EPS 33. 2% year-over-year, compared to -257. 9% for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SRFM leads at 73. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SRFM or SKYW or MESA or ULCC?
SkyWest, Inc.
(SKYW) is the more profitable company, earning 10. 6% net margin versus -103. 8% for Surf Air Mobility Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SKYW leads at 15. 2% versus -72. 1% for SRFM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MESA leads at 99. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SRFM or SKYW or MESA or ULCC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, SkyWest, Inc.
(SKYW) trades at 8. 0x forward P/E versus 30. 9x for Mesa Air Group, Inc. — 22. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SKYW: 39. 2% to $122. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — SRFM or SKYW or MESA or ULCC?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is SRFM or SKYW or MESA or ULCC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 82)). Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) carries a higher beta of 3. 58 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MESA: +78. 7%, SRFM: -93. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SRFM and SKYW and MESA and ULCC?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: SRFM is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SKYW is a small-cap high-growth stock; MESA is a small-cap quality compounder stock; ULCC is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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