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TFII vs XPO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Integrated Freight & Logistics
TFII vs XPO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Trucking | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $11.36B | $24.28B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.65B | $8.30B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $339M | $348M |
| Gross Margin | 12.2% | 12.2% |
| Operating Margin | 7.0% | 9.1% |
| Forward P/E | 26.7x | 43.9x |
| Total Debt | $3.69B | $4.70B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $210M | $310M |
TFII vs XPO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| TFI International I… (TFII) | 100 | 456.6 | +356.6% |
| XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) | 100 | 758.7 | +658.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TFII vs XPO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TFII carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 3 yrs, beta 1.30, yield 1.8%
- Rev growth 31.1%, EPS growth 4.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 7.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.30, current ratio 1.03x
XPO is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 21.5% 10Y total return vs TFII's 7.1%
- PEG 1.59 vs TFII's 2.60
- 4.2% margin vs TFII's 3.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 31.1% revenue growth vs XPO's 1.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (26.7x vs 43.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.2% margin vs TFII's 3.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.30 vs XPO's 1.73, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.8% yield; 3-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +88.9% vs TFII's +72.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.7% ROA vs XPO's 4.3%, ROIC 9.7% vs 9.3% |
TFII vs XPO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
TFII vs XPO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — TFII and XPO each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TFII and XPO operate at a comparable scale, with $8.6B and $8.3B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 4.2% (XPO) to 3.9% (TFII). On growth, TFII holds the edge at +28.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.6B | $8.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.3B | $1.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $339M | $348M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $778M | $457M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.2% | +12.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.0% | +9.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.9% | +4.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.0% | +5.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +28.4% | +7.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +23.5% | +49.1% |
Valuation Metrics
TFII leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 26.6x trailing earnings, TFII trades at a 66% valuation discount to XPO's 78.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TFII offers better value at 2.59x vs XPO's 2.84x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $11.4B | $24.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $14.8B | $28.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 26.58x | 78.34x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 26.72x | 43.91x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.59x | 2.84x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.18x | 22.94x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.03x | 2.98x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.32x | 13.22x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 11.55x | 73.80x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TFII leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
XPO delivers a 19.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $19 in annual profit, vs $13 for TFII. TFII carries lower financial leverage with a 1.38x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to XPO's 2.53x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +12.8% | +19.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.7% | +4.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.7% | +9.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.3% | +11.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.38x | 2.53x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $3.5B | $4.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $210M | $310M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.7B | $4.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.44x | 3.21x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
XPO leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in XPO five years ago would be worth $40,679 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,420 for TFII. Over the past 12 months, XPO leads with a +88.9% total return vs TFII's +72.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors XPO at 62.2% vs TFII's 10.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +30.1% | +49.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +72.2% | +88.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +35.2% | +326.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +64.2% | +306.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +708.1% | +2145.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.6% | +62.2% |
Risk & Volatility
TFII leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TFII is the less volatile stock with a 1.30 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than XPO's 1.73 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TFII currently trades 92.7% from its 52-week high vs XPO's 89.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.30x | 1.73x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $149.09 | $231.46 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $80.56 | $108.58 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +92.7% | +89.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.9 | 50.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 382K | 1.4M |
Analyst Outlook
TFII leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TFII as "Buy" and XPO as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 1.1% upside for XPO (target: $209) vs -0.9% for TFII (target: $137). TFII is the only dividend payer here at 1.83% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $137.00 | $209.07 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 19 | 32 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.8% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 3 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.53 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.0% | +0.5% |
TFII leads in 4 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). XPO leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
TFII vs XPO: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TFII or XPO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, TFI International Inc.
(TFII) is the stronger pick with 31. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 1% for XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO). TFI International Inc. (TFII) offers the better valuation at 26. 6x trailing P/E (26. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate TFI International Inc. (TFII) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TFII or XPO?
On trailing P/E, TFI International Inc.
(TFII) is the cheapest at 26. 6x versus XPO Logistics, Inc. at 78. 3x. On forward P/E, TFI International Inc. is actually cheaper at 26. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: XPO Logistics, Inc. wins at 1. 59x versus TFI International Inc. 's 2. 60x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TFII or XPO?
Over the past 5 years, XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) delivered a total return of +306. 8%, compared to +64. 2% for TFI International Inc. (TFII). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: XPO returned +21. 5% versus TFII's +708. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TFII or XPO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), TFI International Inc.
(TFII) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 30β versus XPO Logistics, Inc. 's 1. 73β — meaning XPO is approximately 33% more volatile than TFII relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, TFI International Inc. (TFII) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 138% versus 3% for XPO Logistics, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TFII or XPO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), TFI International Inc.
(TFII) is pulling ahead at 31. 1% versus 1. 1% for XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: TFI International Inc. grew EPS 4. 8% year-over-year, compared to -18. 3% for XPO Logistics, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TFII leads at 7. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TFII or XPO?
TFI International Inc.
(TFII) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 9% net margin versus 3. 9% for XPO Logistics, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: XPO leads at 8. 9% versus 6. 9% for TFII. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TFII leads at 12. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TFII or XPO more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 59x versus TFI International Inc. 's 2. 60x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, TFI International Inc. (TFII) trades at 26. 7x forward P/E versus 43. 9x for XPO Logistics, Inc. — 17. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for XPO: 1. 1% to $209. 07.
08Which pays a better dividend — TFII or XPO?
In this comparison, TFII (1.
8% yield) pays a dividend. XPO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is TFII or XPO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TFI International Inc.
(TFII) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 30), 1. 8% yield, +708. 1% 10Y return). XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) carries a higher beta of 1. 73 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TFII: +708. 1%, XPO: +21. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TFII and XPO?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TFII is a mid-cap high-growth stock; XPO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. TFII pays a dividend while XPO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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