Packaged Foods
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THS vs CPB vs GIS vs SMPL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
THS vs CPB vs GIS vs SMPL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $1.46B | $6.34B | $19.05B | $1.24B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.34B | $10.04B | $18.37B | $1.45B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-242M | $550M | $2.21B | $91M |
| Gross Margin | 17.7% | 29.3% | 33.0% | 34.0% |
| Operating Margin | -4.6% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 14.4% |
| Forward P/E | 12.8x | 9.7x | 10.4x | 7.5x |
| Total Debt | $1.57B | $7.21B | $15.30B | $304M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $290M | $132M | $364M | $98M |
THS vs CPB vs GIS vs SMPL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Feb 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| TreeHouse Foods, In… (THS) | 100 | 46.3 | -53.7% |
| Campbell Soup Compa… (CPB) | 100 | 54.9 | -45.1% |
| General Mills, Inc. (GIS) | 100 | 73.4 | -26.6% |
| The Simply Good Foo… (SMPL) | 100 | 110.2 | +10.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: THS vs CPB vs GIS vs SMPL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
THS is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +13.8% vs SMPL's -64.8%
CPB is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta -0.02, yield 7.2%
- 7.2% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs GIS's 6.7%, (2 stocks pay no dividend)
GIS is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding is your priority.
- -9.2% 10Y total return vs SMPL's 3.7%
- 12.1% margin vs THS's -7.2%
- 6.8% ROA vs THS's -6.4%, ROIC 10.6% vs 2.7%
SMPL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 9.0%, EPS growth -26.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 7.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.38, Low D/E 16.8%, current ratio 3.64x
- PEG 0.31 vs GIS's 3.64
- Beta 0.38, current ratio 3.64x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.0% revenue growth vs THS's -2.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.5x vs 10.4x), PEG 0.31 vs 3.64 | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.1% margin vs THS's -7.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.38 vs THS's 1.18, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 7.2% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs GIS's 6.7%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +13.8% vs SMPL's -64.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.8% ROA vs THS's -6.4%, ROIC 10.6% vs 2.7% |
THS vs CPB vs GIS vs SMPL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
THS vs CPB vs GIS vs SMPL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SMPL leads in 1 of 6 categories
GIS leads 1 • THS leads 0 • CPB leads 0 • 4 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — GIS and SMPL each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GIS is the larger business by revenue, generating $18.4B annually — 12.7x SMPL's $1.4B. GIS is the more profitable business, keeping 12.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to THS's -7.2%. On growth, THS holds the edge at +0.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.3B | $10.0B | $18.4B | $1.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $11M | $1.6B | $3.9B | $231M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$242M | $550M | $2.2B | $91M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $101M | $919M | $1.7B | $174M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +17.7% | +29.3% | +33.0% | +34.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -4.6% | +12.1% | +19.1% | +14.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.2% | +5.5% | +12.1% | +6.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.0% | +9.2% | +9.0% | +12.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.1% | -4.5% | -8.4% | -0.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -74.1% | -17.2% | -50.0% | -31.6% |
Valuation Metrics
SMPL leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.7x trailing earnings, GIS trades at a 82% valuation discount to THS's 47.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), SMPL offers better value at 0.51x vs GIS's 3.04x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.5B | $6.3B | $19.1B | $1.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.7B | $13.4B | $34.0B | $1.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 47.90x | 10.57x | 8.71x | 12.20x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.84x | 9.74x | 10.43x | 7.45x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 3.04x | 0.51x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.95x | 7.51x | 8.84x | 5.97x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.44x | 0.62x | 0.98x | 0.86x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.83x | 1.63x | 2.16x | 0.70x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 11.59x | 8.99x | 8.31x | 7.86x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — GIS and SMPL each lead in 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GIS delivers a 23.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $24 in annual profit, vs $-19 for THS. SMPL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.17x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CPB's 1.85x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CPB scores 7/9 vs SMPL's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -19.2% | +14.0% | +23.7% | +5.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -6.4% | +3.7% | +6.8% | +3.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +2.7% | +9.1% | +10.6% | +8.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.1% | +11.4% | +13.3% | +9.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.01x | 1.85x | 1.66x | 0.17x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.3B | $7.1B | $14.9B | $206M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $290M | $132M | $364M | $98M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.6B | $7.2B | $15.3B | $304M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1.98x | 3.14x | 5.01x | 6.77x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GIS leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GIS five years ago would be worth $7,472 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,565 for SMPL. Over the past 12 months, THS leads with a +13.8% total return vs SMPL's -64.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GIS at -21.8% vs SMPL's -31.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.0% | -20.5% | -19.2% | -36.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +13.8% | -35.4% | -29.9% | -64.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -54.5% | -52.6% | -52.3% | -67.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -49.8% | -41.9% | -25.3% | -64.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -73.4% | -44.9% | -9.2% | +3.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -23.1% | -22.0% | -21.8% | -31.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — THS and GIS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GIS is the less volatile stock with a -0.04 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than THS's 1.18 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. THS currently trades 98.3% from its 52-week high vs SMPL's 33.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.18x | -0.02x | -0.04x | 0.38x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $24.85 | $36.16 | $55.35 | $36.92 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $15.85 | $19.76 | $33.58 | $10.21 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.3% | +58.8% | +64.5% | +33.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.0 | 46.7 | 42.2 | 42.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 28.9M | 9.1M | 8.7M | 2.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CPB and GIS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: THS as "Hold", CPB as "Hold", GIS as "Hold", SMPL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 62.1% upside for SMPL (target: $20) vs -5.9% for THS (target: $23). For income investors, CPB offers the higher dividend yield at 7.20% vs GIS's 6.72%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $23.00 | $25.83 | $46.58 | $20.17 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 26 | 29 | 34 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +7.2% | +6.7% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 | 5 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.53 | $2.40 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +10.2% | +1.0% | +6.3% | +4.1% |
SMPL leads in 1 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics). GIS leads in 1 (Total Returns). 4 tied.
THS vs CPB vs GIS vs SMPL: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is THS or CPB or GIS or SMPL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the stronger pick with 9.
0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 3% for TreeHouse Foods, Inc. (THS). General Mills, Inc. (GIS) offers the better valuation at 8. 7x trailing P/E (10. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) a "Buy" — based on 24 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — THS or CPB or GIS or SMPL?
On trailing P/E, General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the cheapest at 8. 7x versus TreeHouse Foods, Inc. at 47. 9x. On forward P/E, The Simply Good Foods Company is actually cheaper at 7. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The Simply Good Foods Company wins at 0. 31x versus General Mills, Inc. 's 3. 64x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — THS or CPB or GIS or SMPL?
Over the past 5 years, General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) delivered a total return of -25. 3%, compared to -64. 3% for The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SMPL returned +3. 7% versus THS's -73. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — THS or CPB or GIS or SMPL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 04β versus TreeHouse Foods, Inc. 's 1. 18β — meaning THS is approximately -3444% more volatile than GIS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 17% versus 185% for Campbell Soup Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — THS or CPB or GIS or SMPL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is pulling ahead at 9.
0% versus -2. 3% for TreeHouse Foods, Inc. (THS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Campbell Soup Company grew EPS 6. 3% year-over-year, compared to -45. 7% for TreeHouse Foods, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SMPL leads at 7. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — THS or CPB or GIS or SMPL?
General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the more profitable company, earning 11. 8% net margin versus 0. 8% for TreeHouse Foods, Inc. — meaning it keeps 11. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GIS leads at 17. 0% versus 3. 1% for THS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SMPL leads at 35. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is THS or CPB or GIS or SMPL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 31x versus General Mills, Inc. 's 3. 64x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) trades at 7. 5x forward P/E versus 12. 8x for TreeHouse Foods, Inc. — 5. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SMPL: 62. 1% to $20. 17.
08Which pays a better dividend — THS or CPB or GIS or SMPL?
In this comparison, CPB (7.
2% yield), GIS (6. 7% yield) pay a dividend. THS, SMPL do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is THS or CPB or GIS or SMPL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, General Mills, Inc.
(GIS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 04), 6. 7% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GIS: -9. 2%, THS: -73. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between THS and CPB and GIS and SMPL?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: THS is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CPB is a small-cap deep-value stock; GIS is a mid-cap deep-value stock; SMPL is a small-cap deep-value stock. CPB, GIS pay a dividend while THS, SMPL do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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