Independent Power Producers
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TLN vs NRG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Independent Power Producers
TLN vs NRG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Independent Power Producers | Independent Power Producers |
| Market Cap | $18.73B | $32.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.02B | $32.38B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-21M | $239M |
| Gross Margin | 35.2% | 14.5% |
| Operating Margin | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Forward P/E | 18.6x | 16.4x |
| Total Debt | $6.81B | $16.77B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $752M | $4.74B |
TLN vs NRG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talen Energy Corpor… (TLN) | 100 | 817.5 | +717.5% |
| NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) | 100 | 402.9 | +302.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TLN vs NRG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TLN is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.53
- Rev growth 21.8%, EPS growth -127.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.53, current ratio 1.28x
NRG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 9.4% 10Y total return vs TLN's 7.8%
- Lower P/E (16.4x vs 18.6x)
- 0.7% margin vs TLN's -0.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.8% revenue growth vs NRG's 9.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.4x vs 18.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 0.7% margin vs TLN's -0.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.53 vs NRG's 1.84, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.4% yield; 8-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +74.7% vs NRG's +30.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.2% ROA vs TLN's -0.2%, ROIC 10.6% vs -0.9% |
TLN vs NRG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TLN vs NRG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TLN leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NRG is the larger business by revenue, generating $32.4B annually — 10.7x TLN's $3.0B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 0.7% (NRG) to -0.7% (TLN). On growth, TLN holds the edge at +78.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.0B | $32.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $396M | $3.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$21M | $239M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$2.8B | -$7.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +35.2% | +14.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +8.1% | +3.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -0.7% | +0.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -93.4% | -23.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +78.9% | +19.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +145.2% | -85.6% |
Valuation Metrics
NRG leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, NRG's 11.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than TLN's 119.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $18.7B | $32.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $24.8B | $44.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -85.59x | 37.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.64x | 16.43x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.66x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 119.20x | 11.66x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 7.42x | 1.05x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 17.14x | 17.83x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 42.19x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NRG leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NRG delivers a 8.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $-2 for TLN. TLN carries lower financial leverage with a 6.23x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NRG's 9.97x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NRG scores 6/9 vs TLN's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -1.7% | +8.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -0.2% | +1.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -0.9% | +10.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.9% | +10.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.23x | 9.97x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $6.1B | $12.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $752M | $4.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.8B | $16.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.45x | 2.40x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TLN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TLN five years ago would be worth $88,170 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $45,611 for NRG. Over the past 12 months, TLN leads with a +74.7% total return vs NRG's +30.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TLN at 106.6% vs NRG's 70.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +3.3% | -8.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +74.7% | +30.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +781.7% | +397.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +781.7% | +356.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +781.7% | +936.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +106.6% | +70.7% |
Risk & Volatility
TLN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TLN is the less volatile stock with a 1.53 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NRG's 1.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TLN currently trades 90.9% from its 52-week high vs NRG's 79.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.53x | 1.84x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $451.28 | $189.96 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $220.59 | $114.20 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +90.9% | +79.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 63.6 | 50.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 713K | 2.8M |
Analyst Outlook
NRG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TLN as "Buy" and NRG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 28.8% upside for NRG (target: $194) vs 16.1% for TLN (target: $476). NRG is the only dividend payer here at 1.37% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $475.80 | $194.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.07 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.5% | +4.3% |
TLN leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). NRG leads in 3 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency).
TLN vs NRG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TLN or NRG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) is the stronger pick with 21.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 9. 2% for NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG). NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) offers the better valuation at 37. 6x trailing P/E (16. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TLN or NRG?
On forward P/E, NRG Energy, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 16. 4x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TLN or NRG?
Over the past 5 years, Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) delivered a total return of +781.
7%, compared to +356. 1% for NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NRG returned +936. 2% versus TLN's +781. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TLN or NRG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
53β versus NRG Energy, Inc. 's 1. 84β — meaning NRG is approximately 20% more volatile than TLN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 10% for NRG Energy, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TLN or NRG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) is pulling ahead at 21.
8% versus 9. 2% for NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: NRG Energy, Inc. grew EPS -19. 6% year-over-year, compared to -127. 1% for Talen Energy Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, TLN leads at 1. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TLN or NRG?
NRG Energy, Inc.
(NRG) is the more profitable company, earning 2. 8% net margin versus -8. 7% for Talen Energy Corporation — meaning it keeps 2. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NRG leads at 6. 0% versus -2. 8% for TLN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TLN leads at 49. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TLN or NRG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, NRG Energy, Inc.
(NRG) trades at 16. 4x forward P/E versus 18. 6x for Talen Energy Corporation — 2. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NRG: 28. 8% to $194. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — TLN or NRG?
In this comparison, NRG (1.
4% yield) pays a dividend. TLN does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is TLN or NRG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, NRG Energy, Inc.
(NRG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (1. 4% yield, +936. 2% 10Y return). Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) carries a higher beta of 1. 53 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NRG: +936. 2%, TLN: +781. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TLN and NRG?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TLN is a mid-cap high-growth stock; NRG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. NRG pays a dividend while TLN does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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