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NRGNRG Energy, Inc.
$100.72$21.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
NRG logo

NRG Energy, Inc.

NRG
NYSE · Independent Power
$100.72
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$21.25B
P/E25.1x
52W High$189.96
Volume2.54M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Debt-Fueled Expansion Masks Volatile Earnings Quality

NRG Energy is executing an aggressive, debt-financed expansion into data center infrastructure, with total assets surging from $24.0B in 2024Q4 to $39.9B in 2026Q2 and PPE expanding six-fold to $14.2B. This growth has driven a 64.1% YoY revenue surge in Q2 202...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NRG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+31% Peers

P/E is 31% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 17 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 83% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 4
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth is robust, with Q2 2026 revenue up 64.1% YoY to $11.1B, but operating margins are volatile, swinging from 21.2% in Q2 2024 to 0.6% in Q2 2025, reflecting weather and commodity exposure.

Analyst Consensus+101.4% target
Buy(27 analysts)
19 Buy7 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strategic Acquisitions & Synergies

NRG’s recent acquisitions, including Vivint Smart Home and the LS Power asset portfolio, are projected to boost cash flow by up to $1.0 billion through cost savings and revenue synergies. The LS Power deal adds substantial gas‑fired generation capacity, expanding NRG’s operational footprint and resilience.

Rising Power Demand & Pricing Power

Electricity demand is accelerating due to electrification, a rebound in industrial production, and rapid data‑center growth. In a market where supply struggles to keep pace, NRG enjoys significant pricing power.

Cross‑Selling Opportunities

With 6 million retail energy customers and 2 million home‑services customers, NRG can leverage its acquisitions to cross‑sell products, driving incremental revenue.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NRG-38.53%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
NRG-38.73%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
NRG+170.25%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.87%
5-Year Return
NRG+154.61%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.47%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
25.1x
Forward P/EExpansion
11.3x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
8.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
25.1x
18.1x
75th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
8.7x
7.6x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
27.7x
41.4x
50th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$1.45-98.6%
Base (Fair)$158.55+53.0%
Bull$62.43-38.0%
$1.45 Bear$158.55 Base$62.43 Bull
Current Market Price: $100.72
Trades at a 36.5% discount to Base DCF ($158.55)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$30.71B+9.2% YoY
Net income
$864M-23.2% YoY
Free cash flow
$766M-58.2% YoY
Operating margin
6%-2.6 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)10.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)41.5%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 4, 2026
$1.49-11.8%
vs $1.69
$7.5B+2.3%
vs $7.3B
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
$1.48-16.4%
vs $1.77
$10.3B+22.1%
vs $8.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 24, 2026
$1.03+6.0%
vs $0.97
$7.8B+16.3%
vs $6.7B
Q4 2025
Nov 6, 2025
$2.75+28.5%
vs $2.14
$7.6B+2.3%
vs $7.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·21h ago
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Recently, Zacks.com users have been paying close attention to NRG (NRG). This makes it worthwhile to examine what the stock has in store.

Defense World·5d ago
Contrasting NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) and Sunrun (NASDAQ:RUN)

Sunrun (NASDAQ: RUN - Get Free Report) and NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG - Get Free Report) are both utilities companies, but which is the superior stock? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their institutional ownership, analyst recommendations, profitability, risk, earnings, dividends and valuation. Profitability This table compares Sunrun and NRG Energy's net

Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
NRG Energy (NRG) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why

NRG Energy (NRG) closed at $106.23 in the latest trading session, marking a -1.07% move from the prior day.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 11, 2026
NRG Energy (NRG) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why

NRG Energy (NRG) concluded the recent trading session at $113.46, signifying a +1.62% move from its prior day's close.

Filtered for NRG Energy, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NRG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NRG logoNRGNRG Energy, Inc.Current
$100.72$21.25B25.129.17%2.81%41.55%2.05%
VST logoVSTVistra Corp.
$137.97$46.52B62.43-12.41%13.89%41.4%—
CEG logoCEGConstellation Energy Corporation
$263.88$94.76B35.668.34%11.12%14.54%—
EXC logoEXCExelon Corporation
$40.69$41.63B14.855.34%10.99%9.61%—
AES logoAESThe AES Corporation
$14.81$10.56B11.75-0.37%14.62%17.1%—
DYN logoDYNDyne Therapeutics, Inc.
$16.23$3.03B-4.68——-64.3%—

Compare NRG vs Peers

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs VST

Most directly comparable listed peer for NRG.

Scale Benchmark

vs GE

Larger-name benchmark to compare NRG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs VST, CEG, EXC, AES

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NRG SEC Filings & Documents

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 15, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 21, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 26, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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NRG Frequently Asked Questions

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is NRG Energy, Inc.'s revenue?

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) reported $36.75B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 30978% increase from $118.3M in 1997.

How fast is NRG Energy, Inc. growing?

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) grew revenue by 9.2% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is NRG profitable?

Yes, NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is profitable, generating $849.0M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (2.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does NRG pay dividends?

Yes, NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) pays a dividend with a yield of 2.05%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is NRG's return on equity?

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) has a return on equity (ROE) of 41.5%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is NRG Energy, Inc.'s free cash flow?

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) had negative free cash flow of $6.71B in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

Industry Metrics
Is NRG's dividend sustainable?

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) has a dividend payout ratio of 48%. This suggests the dividend is well-covered and sustainable.

What if you invested $1,000 in NRG back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →