Apparel - Retail
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TLYS vs NKE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Apparel - Footwear & Accessories
TLYS vs NKE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Apparel - Retail | Apparel - Footwear & Accessories |
| Market Cap | $128M | $52.26B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $554M | $46.51B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-17M | $2.52B |
| Gross Margin | 29.7% | 41.1% |
| Operating Margin | -3.5% | 6.5% |
| Forward P/E | — | 29.5x |
| Total Debt | $170M | $11.02B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $46M | $7.46B |
TLYS vs NKE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) | 100 | 81.3 | -18.8% |
| NIKE, Inc. (NKE) | 100 | 45.0 | -55.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TLYS vs NKE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TLYS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 0.79
- Rev growth -2.8%, EPS growth 62.3%, 3Y rev CAGR -6.3%
- 67.9% 10Y total return vs NKE's -5.6%
NKE is the clearest fit if your priority is quality and dividends.
- 5.4% margin vs TLYS's -3.2%
- 3.5% yield; 23-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend
- 6.7% ROA vs TLYS's -5.3%, ROIC 16.7% vs -6.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -2.8% revenue growth vs NKE's -9.8% | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.4% margin vs TLYS's -3.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.79 vs NKE's 1.17 | |
| Dividends | 3.5% yield; 23-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +253.3% vs NKE's -20.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.7% ROA vs TLYS's -5.3%, ROIC 16.7% vs -6.0% |
TLYS vs NKE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TLYS vs NKE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NKE leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NKE is the larger business by revenue, generating $46.5B annually — 84.0x TLYS's $554M. NKE is the more profitable business, keeping 5.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TLYS's -3.2%. On growth, TLYS holds the edge at +5.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $554M | $46.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$9M | $3.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$17M | $2.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $3M | $2.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +29.7% | +41.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -3.5% | +6.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -3.2% | +5.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.6% | +5.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +5.3% | +0.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +121.6% | -30.8% |
Valuation Metrics
TLYS leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $128M | $52.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $252M | $55.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -7.31x | 20.31x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 29.48x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.28x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 12.38x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.23x | 1.13x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.51x | 4.94x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 15.99x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NKE leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NKE delivers a 17.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $18 in annual profit, vs $-21 for TLYS. NKE carries lower financial leverage with a 0.83x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TLYS's 2.00x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TLYS scores 6/9 vs NKE's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -21.3% | +17.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -5.3% | +6.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -6.0% | +16.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -8.5% | +13.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.00x | 0.83x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $124M | $3.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $46M | $7.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $170M | $11.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 10.45x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TLYS leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TLYS five years ago would be worth $4,996 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,814 for NKE. Over the past 12 months, TLYS leads with a +253.3% total return vs NKE's -20.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TLYS at -18.1% vs NKE's -27.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +109.9% | -30.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +253.3% | -20.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.1% | -61.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -50.0% | -61.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +67.9% | -5.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -18.1% | -27.4% |
Risk & Volatility
TLYS leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TLYS is the less volatile stock with a 0.79 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NKE's 1.17 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TLYS currently trades 76.8% from its 52-week high vs NKE's 54.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.79x | 1.17x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $5.52 | $80.17 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.57 | $42.09 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +76.8% | +54.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.6 | 30.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 20.6M |
Analyst Outlook
NKE leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TLYS as "Hold" and NKE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 124.1% upside for TLYS (target: $10) vs 59.3% for NKE (target: $70). NKE is the only dividend payer here at 3.52% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $9.50 | $69.88 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 17 | 71 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +3.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 23 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.55 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +5.7% |
NKE leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). TLYS leads in 3 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns).
TLYS vs NKE: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TLYS or NKE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Tilly's, Inc.
(TLYS) is the stronger pick with -2. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -9. 8% for NIKE, Inc. (NKE). NIKE, Inc. (NKE) offers the better valuation at 20. 3x trailing P/E (29. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate NIKE, Inc. (NKE) a "Buy" — based on 71 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — TLYS or NKE?
Over the past 5 years, Tilly's, Inc.
(TLYS) delivered a total return of -50. 0%, compared to -61. 9% for NIKE, Inc. (NKE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TLYS returned +61. 9% versus NKE's -5. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — TLYS or NKE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Tilly's, Inc.
(TLYS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 79β versus NIKE, Inc. 's 1. 17β — meaning NKE is approximately 48% more volatile than TLYS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, NIKE, Inc. (NKE) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 83% versus 2% for Tilly's, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — TLYS or NKE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Tilly's, Inc.
(TLYS) is pulling ahead at -2. 8% versus -9. 8% for NIKE, Inc. (NKE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Tilly's, Inc. grew EPS 62. 3% year-over-year, compared to -42. 1% for NIKE, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NKE leads at -0. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — TLYS or NKE?
NIKE, Inc.
(NKE) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 0% net margin versus -3. 2% for Tilly's, Inc. — meaning it keeps 7. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NKE leads at 8. 0% versus -3. 5% for TLYS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NKE leads at 42. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is TLYS or NKE more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TLYS: 124.
1% to $9. 50.
07Which pays a better dividend — TLYS or NKE?
In this comparison, NKE (3.
5% yield) pays a dividend. TLYS does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is TLYS or NKE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, NIKE, Inc.
(NKE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 17), 3. 5% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NKE: -5. 6%, TLYS: +61. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between TLYS and NKE?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TLYS is a small-cap quality compounder stock; NKE is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. NKE pays a dividend while TLYS does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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