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TMHC vs TOL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Residential Construction
TMHC vs TOL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Residential Construction | Residential Construction |
| Market Cap | $5.56B | $12.99B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $7.61B | $10.97B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $672M | $1.35B |
| Gross Margin | 22.4% | 25.7% |
| Operating Margin | 13.2% | 15.7% |
| Forward P/E | 11.2x | 10.7x |
| Total Debt | $2.36B | $2.92B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $851M | $1.26B |
TMHC vs TOL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Morrison Hom… (TMHC) | 100 | 307.7 | +207.7% |
| Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) | 100 | 424.2 | +324.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TMHC vs TOL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TMHC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.92
- Lower volatility, beta 0.92, Low D/E 37.4%, current ratio 6.24x
- Beta 0.92, current ratio 6.24x
TOL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 1.1%, EPS growth -10.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 2.2%
- 437.2% 10Y total return vs TMHC's 321.2%
- PEG 0.34 vs TMHC's 0.34
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.1% revenue growth vs TMHC's -0.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.7x vs 11.2x), PEG 0.34 vs 0.34 | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.3% margin vs TMHC's 8.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.92 vs TOL's 1.21 | |
| Dividends | 0.7% yield; 5-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +34.8% vs TMHC's +2.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.3% ROA vs TMHC's 6.9%, ROIC 13.4% vs 11.0% |
TMHC vs TOL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TMHC vs TOL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TOL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TOL and TMHC operate at a comparable scale, with $11.0B and $7.6B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 12.3% (TOL) to 8.8% (TMHC). On growth, TOL holds the edge at +2.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $7.6B | $11.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.0B | $1.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $672M | $1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $710M | $1.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.4% | +25.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +13.2% | +15.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +8.8% | +12.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.3% | +9.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -26.8% | +2.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -51.2% | -1.1% |
Valuation Metrics
TMHC leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 7.7x trailing earnings, TMHC trades at a 25% valuation discount to TOL's 10.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TMHC offers better value at 0.23x vs TOL's 0.32x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.6B | $13.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.1B | $14.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.65x | 10.16x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.22x | 10.75x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.23x | 0.32x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.18x | 8.12x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.68x | 1.18x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.95x | 1.65x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 6.88x | 12.66x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TOL leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
TOL delivers a 16.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $11 for TMHC. TOL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.35x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TMHC's 0.37x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.8% | +16.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +6.9% | +9.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.0% | +13.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +13.2% | +15.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.37x | 0.35x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.5B | $1.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $851M | $1.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.4B | $2.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 19.94x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TOL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TOL five years ago would be worth $20,902 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $18,573 for TMHC. Over the past 12 months, TOL leads with a +34.8% total return vs TMHC's +2.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TOL at 29.6% vs TMHC's 11.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.1% | +1.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +2.0% | +34.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +37.4% | +117.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +85.7% | +109.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +321.2% | +437.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +11.2% | +29.6% |
Risk & Volatility
TMHC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TMHC is the less volatile stock with a 0.92 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TOL's 1.21 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.92x | 1.21x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $72.50 | $168.36 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $54.58 | $100.92 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +82.0% | +81.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.0 | 49.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
TOL leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TMHC as "Buy" and TOL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 24.0% upside for TMHC (target: $74) vs 21.6% for TOL (target: $167). TOL is the only dividend payer here at 0.71% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $73.75 | $166.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 30 | 46 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.97 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.9% | +5.0% |
TOL leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). TMHC leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility).
TMHC vs TOL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TMHC or TOL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Toll Brothers, Inc.
(TOL) is the stronger pick with 1. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 6% for Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC). Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) offers the better valuation at 7. 7x trailing P/E (11. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) a "Buy" — based on 30 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TMHC or TOL?
On trailing P/E, Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) is the cheapest at 7.
7x versus Toll Brothers, Inc. at 10. 2x. On forward P/E, Toll Brothers, Inc. is actually cheaper at 10. 7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Toll Brothers, Inc. wins at 0. 34x versus Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's 0. 34x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TMHC or TOL?
Over the past 5 years, Toll Brothers, Inc.
(TOL) delivered a total return of +109. 0%, compared to +85. 7% for Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TOL returned +437. 2% versus TMHC's +321. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TMHC or TOL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
92β versus Toll Brothers, Inc. 's 1. 21β — meaning TOL is approximately 31% more volatile than TMHC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 35% versus 37% for Taylor Morrison Home Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TMHC or TOL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Toll Brothers, Inc.
(TOL) is pulling ahead at 1. 1% versus -0. 6% for Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Taylor Morrison Home Corporation grew EPS -6. 0% year-over-year, compared to -10. 1% for Toll Brothers, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TOL leads at 2. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TMHC or TOL?
Toll Brothers, Inc.
(TOL) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 3% net margin versus 9. 6% for Taylor Morrison Home Corporation — meaning it keeps 12. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TOL leads at 15. 7% versus 14. 0% for TMHC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TOL leads at 26. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TMHC or TOL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 34x versus Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's 0. 34x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) trades at 10. 7x forward P/E versus 11. 2x for Taylor Morrison Home Corporation — 0. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TMHC: 24. 0% to $73. 75.
08Which pays a better dividend — TMHC or TOL?
In this comparison, TOL (0.
7% yield) pays a dividend. TMHC does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is TMHC or TOL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Toll Brothers, Inc.
(TOL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 21), 0. 7% yield, +437. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TOL: +437. 2%, TMHC: +321. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TMHC and TOL?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
TOL pays a dividend while TMHC does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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