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TOL vs SHW
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Chemicals - Specialty
TOL vs SHW — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Residential Construction | Chemicals - Specialty |
| Market Cap | $13.42B | $79.82B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $10.97B | $23.94B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.35B | $2.60B |
| Gross Margin | 25.7% | 49.1% |
| Operating Margin | 15.7% | 16.1% |
| Forward P/E | 11.1x | 27.6x |
| Total Debt | $2.92B | $14.53B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.26B | $207M |
TOL vs SHW — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) | 100 | 438.3 | +338.3% |
| The Sherwin-William… (SHW) | 100 | 163.5 | +63.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TOL vs SHW
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TOL is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 458.1% 10Y total return vs SHW's 255.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.21, Low D/E 35.2%, current ratio 4.17x
- PEG 0.35 vs SHW's 3.98
SHW carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 37 yrs, beta 0.79, yield 1.0%
- Rev growth 2.1%, EPS growth -2.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 2.1%
- Beta 0.79, yield 1.0%, current ratio 0.87x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 2.1% revenue growth vs TOL's 1.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.1x vs 27.6x), PEG 0.35 vs 3.98 | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.3% margin vs SHW's 10.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.79 vs TOL's 1.21 | |
| Dividends | 1.0% yield, 37-year raise streak, vs TOL's 0.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +40.4% vs SHW's -7.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs TOL's 9.3%, ROIC 16.5% vs 13.4% |
TOL vs SHW — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TOL vs SHW — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SHW leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SHW is the larger business by revenue, generating $23.9B annually — 2.2x TOL's $11.0B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 12.3% (TOL) to 10.9% (SHW). On growth, SHW holds the edge at +6.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $11.0B | $23.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.8B | $4.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.3B | $2.6B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.0B | $2.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +25.7% | +49.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +15.7% | +16.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.3% | +10.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.4% | +12.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.7% | +6.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -1.1% | +7.5% |
Valuation Metrics
TOL leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.5x trailing earnings, TOL trades at a 67% valuation discount to SHW's 31.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TOL offers better value at 0.33x vs SHW's 4.55x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $13.4B | $79.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $15.1B | $94.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.50x | 31.51x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.10x | 27.56x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.33x | 4.55x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.36x | 21.43x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.22x | 3.39x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.71x | 17.51x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 13.07x | 30.07x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SHW leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SHW delivers a 58.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $58 in annual profit, vs $16 for TOL. TOL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.35x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SHW's 3.16x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SHW scores 6/9 vs TOL's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +16.3% | +58.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +9.3% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +13.4% | +16.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +15.5% | +21.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.35x | 3.16x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.7B | $14.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.3B | $207M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.9B | $14.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 7.83x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TOL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TOL five years ago would be worth $22,218 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,806 for SHW. Over the past 12 months, TOL leads with a +40.4% total return vs SHW's -7.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TOL at 31.0% vs SHW's 12.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.8% | -1.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +40.4% | -7.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +124.8% | +43.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +122.2% | +18.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +458.1% | +255.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +31.0% | +12.9% |
Risk & Volatility
SHW leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SHW is the less volatile stock with a 0.79 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TOL's 1.21 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.21x | 0.79x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $168.36 | $379.65 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $100.92 | $301.58 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.1% | +85.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.0 | 37.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
SHW leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TOL as "Hold" and SHW as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 20.3% upside for SHW (target: $389) vs 17.8% for TOL (target: $167). For income investors, SHW offers the higher dividend yield at 0.98% vs TOL's 0.69%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $166.75 | $389.43 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 46 | 38 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 5 | 37 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.97 | $3.17 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.9% | 0.0% |
SHW leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). TOL leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns).
TOL vs SHW: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TOL or SHW a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) is the stronger pick with 2.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 1% for Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL). Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) offers the better valuation at 10. 5x trailing P/E (11. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) a "Buy" — based on 38 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TOL or SHW?
On trailing P/E, Toll Brothers, Inc.
(TOL) is the cheapest at 10. 5x versus The Sherwin-Williams Company at 31. 5x. On forward P/E, Toll Brothers, Inc. is actually cheaper at 11. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Toll Brothers, Inc. wins at 0. 35x versus The Sherwin-Williams Company's 3. 98x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TOL or SHW?
Over the past 5 years, Toll Brothers, Inc.
(TOL) delivered a total return of +122. 2%, compared to +18. 1% for The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TOL returned +458. 1% versus SHW's +255. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TOL or SHW?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
79β versus Toll Brothers, Inc. 's 1. 21β — meaning TOL is approximately 52% more volatile than SHW relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 35% versus 3% for The Sherwin-Williams Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TOL or SHW?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) is pulling ahead at 2.
1% versus 1. 1% for Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Sherwin-Williams Company grew EPS -2. 7% year-over-year, compared to -10. 1% for Toll Brothers, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TOL leads at 2. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TOL or SHW?
Toll Brothers, Inc.
(TOL) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 3% net margin versus 10. 9% for The Sherwin-Williams Company — meaning it keeps 12. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SHW leads at 16. 1% versus 15. 7% for TOL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SHW leads at 48. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TOL or SHW more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 35x versus The Sherwin-Williams Company's 3. 98x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) trades at 11. 1x forward P/E versus 27. 6x for The Sherwin-Williams Company — 16. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SHW: 20. 3% to $389. 43.
08Which pays a better dividend — TOL or SHW?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) offers the highest yield at 1. 0%, versus 0. 7% for Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL).
09Is TOL or SHW better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
79), 1. 0% yield, +255. 1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (SHW: +255. 1%, TOL: +458. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TOL and SHW?
These companies operate in different sectors (TOL (Consumer Cyclical) and SHW (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: TOL is a mid-cap deep-value stock; SHW is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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