Food Distribution
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2 / 10Stock Comparison
USFD vs MCD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
USFD vs MCD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Food Distribution | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $23.60B | $202.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $39.12B | $26.26B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $558M | $8.41B |
| Gross Margin | 17.4% | 57.4% |
| Operating Margin | 3.0% | 46.1% |
| Forward P/E | 19.3x | 21.5x |
| Total Debt | $5.20B | $51.95B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $41M | $1.08B |
USFD vs MCD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| US Foods Holding Co… (USFD) | 100 | 480.9 | +380.9% |
| McDonald's Corporat… (MCD) | 100 | 152.5 | +52.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: USFD vs MCD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
USFD is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.1%, EPS growth 45.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.0%
- 269.5% 10Y total return vs MCD's 158.5%
- 4.1% revenue growth vs MCD's 1.7%
MCD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 26 yrs, beta 0.11, yield 2.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.11, current ratio 1.19x
- Beta 0.11, yield 2.4%, current ratio 1.19x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.1% revenue growth vs MCD's 1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (19.3x vs 21.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 32.0% margin vs USFD's 1.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.11 vs USFD's 0.50 | |
| Dividends | 2.4% yield; 26-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +37.3% vs MCD's -8.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.9% ROA vs USFD's 4.0%, ROIC 19.3% vs 9.3% |
USFD vs MCD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
USFD vs MCD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
USFD and MCD operate at a comparable scale, with $39.1B and $26.3B in trailing revenue. MCD is the more profitable business, keeping 32.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to USFD's 1.4%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $39.1B | $26.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.6B | $14.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $558M | $8.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $978M | $7.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +17.4% | +57.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.0% | +46.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.4% | +32.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.5% | +28.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.8% | +3.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.8% | +1.6% |
Valuation Metrics
USFD leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 24.9x trailing earnings, MCD trades at a 20% valuation discount to USFD's 31.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, MCD's 18.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than USFD's 24.0x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $23.6B | $202.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $28.8B | $253.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 31.31x | 24.94x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 19.28x | 21.54x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.26x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 23.99x | 18.33x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.60x | 7.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.92x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 24.61x | 30.32x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MCD leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), USFD scores 8/9 vs MCD's 7/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +12.5% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.0% | +13.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.3% | +19.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.7% | +23.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.21x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.2B | $50.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $41M | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.2B | $51.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.41x | 7.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
USFD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in USFD five years ago would be worth $22,938 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $13,445 for MCD. Over the past 12 months, USFD leads with a +37.3% total return vs MCD's -8.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors USFD at 33.7% vs MCD's 0.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +23.3% | -5.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +37.3% | -8.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +139.2% | +2.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +129.4% | +34.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +269.5% | +158.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +33.7% | +0.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — USFD and MCD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MCD is the less volatile stock with a 0.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than USFD's 0.50 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. USFD currently trades 90.1% from its 52-week high vs MCD's 83.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.50x | 0.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $102.13 | $341.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $66.62 | $282.40 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +90.1% | +83.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.6 | 31.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.1M | 2.9M |
Analyst Outlook
MCD leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates USFD as "Buy" and MCD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 24.0% upside for MCD (target: $352) vs 17.7% for USFD (target: $108). MCD is the only dividend payer here at 2.37% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $108.33 | $352.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 25 | 62 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 26 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $6.75 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.9% | +1.4% |
MCD leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). USFD leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
USFD vs MCD: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is USFD or MCD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, US Foods Holding Corp.
(USFD) is the stronger pick with 4. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 7% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). McDonald's Corporation (MCD) offers the better valuation at 24. 9x trailing P/E (21. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) a "Buy" — based on 25 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — USFD or MCD?
On trailing P/E, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the cheapest at 24.
9x versus US Foods Holding Corp. at 31. 3x. On forward P/E, US Foods Holding Corp. is actually cheaper at 19. 3x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — USFD or MCD?
Over the past 5 years, US Foods Holding Corp.
(USFD) delivered a total return of +129. 4%, compared to +34. 4% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: USFD returned +269. 5% versus MCD's +158. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — USFD or MCD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
11β versus US Foods Holding Corp. 's 0. 50β — meaning USFD is approximately 350% more volatile than MCD relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — USFD or MCD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), US Foods Holding Corp.
(USFD) is pulling ahead at 4. 1% versus 1. 7% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: US Foods Holding Corp. grew EPS 45. 5% year-over-year, compared to -1. 5% for McDonald's Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, USFD leads at 5. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — USFD or MCD?
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the more profitable company, earning 31.
7% net margin versus 1. 7% for US Foods Holding Corp. — meaning it keeps 31. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MCD leads at 45. 2% versus 3. 0% for USFD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MCD leads at 56. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is USFD or MCD more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, US Foods Holding Corp.
(USFD) trades at 19. 3x forward P/E versus 21. 5x for McDonald's Corporation — 2. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MCD: 24. 0% to $352. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — USFD or MCD?
In this comparison, MCD (2.
4% yield) pays a dividend. USFD does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is USFD or MCD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
11), 2. 4% yield, +158. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MCD: +158. 5%, USFD: +269. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between USFD and MCD?
These companies operate in different sectors (USFD (Consumer Defensive) and MCD (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
MCD pays a dividend while USFD does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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