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VAC vs BKNG vs EXPE vs ABNB
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Travel Services
Travel Services
Travel Services
VAC vs BKNG vs EXPE vs ABNB — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos | Travel Services | Travel Services | Travel Services |
| Market Cap | $2.65B | $132.72B | $29.58B | $84.21B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.64B | $27.69B | $15.17B | $12.65B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-342M | $6.15B | $1.56B | $2.52B |
| Gross Margin | 50.3% | 100.0% | 88.8% | 82.9% |
| Operating Margin | 10.8% | 34.3% | 14.7% | 20.5% |
| Forward P/E | 10.3x | 16.3x | 13.0x | 28.3x |
| Total Debt | $5.75B | $19.29B | $6.67B | $2.07B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $733M | $17.20B | $6.98B | $6.56B |
VAC vs BKNG vs EXPE vs ABNB — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott Vacations … (VAC) | 100 | 56.2 | -43.8% |
| Booking Holdings In… (BKNG) | 100 | 192.3 | +92.3% |
| Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) | 100 | 190.9 | +90.9% |
| Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) | 100 | 95.7 | -4.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: VAC vs BKNG vs EXPE vs ABNB
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
VAC is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability is your priority.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 1.83, yield 4.1%
- Lower P/E (10.3x vs 28.3x)
- 4.1% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs EXPE's 0.6%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
BKNG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 13.4%, EPS growth -4.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 16.3%
- 250.7% 10Y total return vs EXPE's 130.6%
- Beta 0.74, yield 0.9%, current ratio 1.33x
- 13.4% revenue growth vs VAC's 1.3%
EXPE is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +52.8% vs BKNG's -16.8%
ABNB is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.33, Low D/E 25.2%, current ratio 1.38x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.4% revenue growth vs VAC's 1.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.3x vs 28.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 22.2% margin vs VAC's -7.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.74 vs VAC's 1.83 | |
| Dividends | 4.1% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs EXPE's 0.6%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +52.8% vs BKNG's -16.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 21.1% ROA vs VAC's -3.5% |
VAC vs BKNG vs EXPE vs ABNB — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
VAC vs BKNG vs EXPE vs ABNB — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
VAC leads in 2 of 6 categories
BKNG leads 1 • ABNB leads 1 • EXPE leads 1 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BKNG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BKNG is the larger business by revenue, generating $27.7B annually — 6.0x VAC's $4.6B. BKNG is the more profitable business, keeping 22.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to VAC's -7.4%. On growth, ABNB holds the edge at +17.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.6B | $27.7B | $15.2B | $12.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $591M | $10.2B | $3.1B | $2.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$342M | $6.2B | $1.6B | $2.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$23M | $9.0B | $4.9B | $4.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +50.3% | +100.0% | +88.8% | +82.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.8% | +34.3% | +14.7% | +20.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.4% | +22.2% | +10.3% | +19.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.5% | +32.6% | +32.1% | +36.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.8% | +16.2% | +14.7% | +17.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -56.6% | +2.4% | +96.8% | +4.0% |
Valuation Metrics
VAC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 25.8x trailing earnings, EXPE trades at a 26% valuation discount to ABNB's 34.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, EXPE's 10.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than ABNB's 31.3x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.6B | $132.7B | $29.6B | $84.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.7B | $134.8B | $29.3B | $79.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -8.74x | 25.87x | 25.77x | 34.85x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 10.34x | 16.32x | 13.02x | 28.35x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.16x | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.91x | 13.41x | 10.22x | 31.33x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.53x | 4.93x | 2.01x | 6.88x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.35x | — | 13.10x | 10.67x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 14.61x | 9.51x | 18.12x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ABNB leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
EXPE delivers a 68.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $69 in annual profit, vs $-15 for VAC. ABNB carries lower financial leverage with a 0.25x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to VAC's 2.89x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BKNG scores 6/9 vs VAC's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -15.3% | — | +68.7% | +31.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -3.5% | +21.1% | +6.0% | +10.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.7% | — | +40.2% | +50.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.1% | +75.4% | +23.9% | +26.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.89x | — | 2.62x | 0.25x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.0B | $2.1B | -$307M | -$4.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $733M | $17.2B | $7.0B | $6.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.8B | $19.3B | $6.7B | $2.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1.31x | 7.21x | 16.35x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
EXPE leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BKNG five years ago would be worth $18,762 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,118 for VAC. Over the past 12 months, EXPE leads with a +52.8% total return vs BKNG's -16.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors EXPE at 40.2% vs VAC's -12.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +32.5% | -19.4% | -10.5% | +5.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +38.0% | -16.8% | +52.8% | +14.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -32.9% | +65.4% | +175.6% | +11.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -48.8% | +87.6% | +46.9% | -7.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +61.5% | +250.7% | +130.6% | -2.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -12.4% | +18.3% | +40.2% | +3.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BKNG and ABNB each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BKNG is the less volatile stock with a 0.74 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than VAC's 1.83 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ABNB currently trades 95.4% from its 52-week high vs BKNG's 3.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.83x | 0.74x | 1.47x | 1.33x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $86.33 | $5129.83 | $303.80 | $147.25 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $44.58 | $150.62 | $148.55 | $110.81 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +89.4% | +3.3% | +83.2% | +95.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 63.1 | 42.4 | 50.2 | 56.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 560K | 8.7M | 1.9M | 3.5M |
Analyst Outlook
VAC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: VAC as "Buy", BKNG as "Buy", EXPE as "Hold", ABNB as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 35.3% upside for BKNG (target: $232) vs 3.5% for ABNB (target: $145). For income investors, VAC offers the higher dividend yield at 4.09% vs EXPE's 0.60%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $82.20 | $231.72 | $272.35 | $145.44 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 71 | 75 | 44 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.1% | +0.9% | +0.6% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.15 | $1.53 | $1.52 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.3% | +4.9% | +6.5% | +4.5% |
VAC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). BKNG leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 1 tied.
VAC vs BKNG vs EXPE vs ABNB: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is VAC or BKNG or EXPE or ABNB a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) is the stronger pick with 13. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 3% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC). Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) offers the better valuation at 25. 8x trailing P/E (13. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — VAC or BKNG or EXPE or ABNB?
On trailing P/E, Expedia Group, Inc.
(EXPE) is the cheapest at 25. 8x versus Airbnb, Inc. at 34. 9x. On forward P/E, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is actually cheaper at 10. 3x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — VAC or BKNG or EXPE or ABNB?
Over the past 5 years, Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) delivered a total return of +87. 6%, compared to -48. 8% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BKNG returned +250. 7% versus ABNB's -2. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — VAC or BKNG or EXPE or ABNB?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 74β versus Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's 1. 83β — meaning VAC is approximately 145% more volatile than BKNG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 25% versus 3% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — VAC or BKNG or EXPE or ABNB?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) is pulling ahead at 13. 4% versus 1. 3% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Expedia Group, Inc. grew EPS 9. 6% year-over-year, compared to -257. 4% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, BKNG leads at 16. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — VAC or BKNG or EXPE or ABNB?
Airbnb, Inc.
(ABNB) is the more profitable company, earning 20. 5% net margin versus -6. 1% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation — meaning it keeps 20. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BKNG leads at 34. 5% versus 11. 0% for VAC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BKNG leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is VAC or BKNG or EXPE or ABNB more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) trades at 10.
3x forward P/E versus 28. 3x for Airbnb, Inc. — 18. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BKNG: 35. 3% to $231. 72.
08Which pays a better dividend — VAC or BKNG or EXPE or ABNB?
In this comparison, VAC (4.
1% yield), BKNG (0. 9% yield), EXPE (0. 6% yield) pay a dividend. ABNB does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is VAC or BKNG or EXPE or ABNB better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Booking Holdings Inc.
(BKNG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 74), 0. 9% yield, +250. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (BKNG: +250. 7%, ABNB: -2. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between VAC and BKNG and EXPE and ABNB?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: VAC is a small-cap income-oriented stock; BKNG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; EXPE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; ABNB is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. VAC, BKNG, EXPE pay a dividend while ABNB does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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