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VIK vs HGV vs CCL vs VAC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
Leisure
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
VIK vs HGV vs CCL vs VAC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Travel Services | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos | Leisure | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos |
| Market Cap | $27.18B | $3.95B | $34.03B | $2.68B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.50B | $5.18B | $26.62B | $4.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.15B | $199M | $2.76B | $-342M |
| Gross Margin | 39.0% | 56.8% | 37.4% | 50.3% |
| Operating Margin | 23.1% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 10.8% |
| Forward P/E | 25.9x | 11.4x | 12.5x | 10.5x |
| Total Debt | $5.74B | $7.35B | $27.99B | $5.75B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3.80B | $571M | $1.93B | $733M |
VIK vs HGV vs CCL vs VAC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK) | 100 | 274.0 | +174.0% |
| Hilton Grand Vacati… (HGV) | 100 | 117.6 | +17.6% |
| Carnival Corporatio… (CCL) | 100 | 182.5 | +82.5% |
| Marriott Vacations … (VAC) | 100 | 86.7 | -13.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: VIK vs HGV vs CCL vs VAC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
VIK carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 21.9%, EPS growth 7.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 27.0%
- 229.7% 10Y total return vs HGV's 88.0%
- 21.9% revenue growth vs VAC's 1.3%
- 17.7% margin vs VAC's -7.4%
HGV is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.71
- Lower volatility, beta 1.71, current ratio 5.20x
- Beta 1.71, current ratio 5.20x
- Beta 1.71 vs CCL's 2.27
CCL lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
VAC is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value and dividends is your priority.
- Lower P/E (10.5x vs 11.4x)
- 4.0% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.9% revenue growth vs VAC's 1.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.5x vs 11.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 17.7% margin vs VAC's -7.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.71 vs CCL's 2.27 | |
| Dividends | 4.0% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +102.0% vs HGV's +28.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.1% ROA vs VAC's -3.5%, ROIC 37.1% vs 5.7% |
VIK vs HGV vs CCL vs VAC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
VIK vs HGV vs CCL vs VAC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
VIK leads in 3 of 6 categories
VAC leads 2 • HGV leads 0 • CCL leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
VIK leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CCL is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.6B annually — 5.7x VAC's $4.6B. VIK is the more profitable business, keeping 17.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to VAC's -7.4%. On growth, VIK holds the edge at +27.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.5B | $5.2B | $26.6B | $4.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.8B | $905M | $7.3B | $591M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.1B | $199M | $2.8B | -$342M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.5B | $328M | $2.6B | -$23M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +39.0% | +56.8% | +37.4% | +50.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +23.1% | +12.1% | +16.8% | +10.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +17.7% | +3.8% | +10.4% | -7.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +23.5% | +6.3% | +9.8% | -0.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +27.8% | +11.9% | +6.6% | +4.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +179.2% | +5.4% | +82.4% | -56.6% |
Valuation Metrics
VAC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 13.6x trailing earnings, CCL trades at a 75% valuation discount to HGV's 54.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CCL's 8.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than VIK's 16.3x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $27.2B | $3.9B | $34.0B | $2.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $29.1B | $10.7B | $60.1B | $7.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 33.48x | 54.62x | 13.62x | -8.86x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 25.87x | 11.35x | 12.47x | 10.48x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 16.30x | 12.86x | 8.26x | 10.96x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.18x | 0.78x | 1.28x | 0.53x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 34.26x | 3.09x | 3.14x | 1.37x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 20.86x | 17.17x | 13.05x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
VIK leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
VIK delivers a 2.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $2 in annual profit, vs $-15 for VAC. CCL carries lower financial leverage with a 2.28x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to VIK's 5.12x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), VIK scores 8/9 vs VAC's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +2.4% | +13.3% | +22.5% | -15.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.1% | +1.7% | +5.3% | -3.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +37.1% | +5.0% | +8.9% | +5.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +26.3% | +5.5% | +11.8% | +6.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 5.12x | 5.10x | 2.28x | 2.89x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.9B | $6.8B | $26.1B | $5.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3.8B | $571M | $1.9B | $733M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5.7B | $7.3B | $28.0B | $5.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.14x | 1.34x | 3.09x | -1.31x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
VIK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in VIK five years ago would be worth $32,969 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,353 for VAC. Over the past 12 months, VIK leads with a +102.0% total return vs HGV's +28.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors VIK at 48.8% vs VAC's -12.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +19.1% | +6.9% | -10.5% | +34.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +102.0% | +28.6% | +41.7% | +40.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +229.7% | +14.7% | +160.8% | -32.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +229.7% | +12.7% | +6.6% | -46.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +229.7% | +88.0% | -29.4% | +62.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +48.8% | +4.7% | +37.6% | -12.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — VIK and HGV each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HGV is the less volatile stock with a 1.71 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CCL's 2.27 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. VIK currently trades 98.9% from its 52-week high vs CCL's 80.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.85x | 1.71x | 2.27x | 1.83x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $87.00 | $52.08 | $34.03 | $86.33 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $41.88 | $36.79 | $19.22 | $44.58 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.9% | +93.3% | +80.9% | +90.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.5 | 54.2 | 44.3 | 56.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.7M | 767K | 26.9M | 567K |
Analyst Outlook
VAC leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: VIK as "Buy", HGV as "Hold", CCL as "Buy", VAC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 31.4% upside for CCL (target: $36) vs -9.8% for VIK (target: $78). VAC is the only dividend payer here at 4.03% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $77.60 | $50.40 | $36.17 | $82.20 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 13 | 16 | 47 | 18 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | +4.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | $3.15 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +15.2% | 0.0% | +2.3% |
VIK leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). VAC leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
VIK vs HGV vs CCL vs VAC: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is VIK or HGV or CCL or VAC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK) is the stronger pick with 21.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 3% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC). Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) offers the better valuation at 13. 6x trailing P/E (12. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — VIK or HGV or CCL or VAC?
On trailing P/E, Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is the cheapest at 13.
6x versus Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. at 54. 6x. On forward P/E, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is actually cheaper at 10. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — VIK or HGV or CCL or VAC?
Over the past 5 years, Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK) delivered a total return of +229.
7%, compared to -46. 5% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: VIK returned +229. 7% versus CCL's -29. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — VIK or HGV or CCL or VAC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
(HGV) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 71β versus Carnival Corporation & plc's 2. 27β — meaning CCL is approximately 33% more volatile than HGV relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 5% for Viking Holdings Ltd — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — VIK or HGV or CCL or VAC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK) is pulling ahead at 21.
9% versus 1. 3% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Viking Holdings Ltd grew EPS 756. 7% year-over-year, compared to -257. 4% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, CCL leads at 29. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — VIK or HGV or CCL or VAC?
Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK) is the more profitable company, earning 17.
7% net margin versus -6. 1% for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation — meaning it keeps 17. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: VIK leads at 23. 1% versus 11. 0% for VAC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HGV leads at 56. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is VIK or HGV or CCL or VAC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) trades at 10.
5x forward P/E versus 25. 9x for Viking Holdings Ltd — 15. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CCL: 31. 4% to $36. 17.
08Which pays a better dividend — VIK or HGV or CCL or VAC?
In this comparison, VAC (4.
0% yield) pays a dividend. VIK, HGV, CCL do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is VIK or HGV or CCL or VAC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (4.
0% yield). Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) carries a higher beta of 2. 27 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (VAC: +62. 8%, CCL: -29. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between VIK and HGV and CCL and VAC?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: VIK is a mid-cap high-growth stock; HGV is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CCL is a mid-cap deep-value stock; VAC is a small-cap income-oriented stock. VAC pays a dividend while VIK, HGV, CCL do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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