Insurance - Property & Casualty
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WTM vs HCI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
WTM vs HCI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $5.19B | $1.99B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.50B | $927M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.05B | $314M |
| Gross Margin | 48.3% | 66.5% |
| Operating Margin | 44.3% | 47.9% |
| Forward P/E | 18.2x | 9.2x |
| Total Debt | $837M | $68M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $185M | $1.21B |
WTM vs HCI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| White Mountains Ins… (WTM) | 100 | 228.7 | +128.7% |
| HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) | 100 | 340.8 | +240.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: WTM vs HCI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
WTM is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 15.0%, EPS growth 379.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 32.7%
- Combined ratio 0.5 vs HCI's 0.5 (lower = better underwriting)
- +17.3% vs HCI's +2.4%
HCI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.39, yield 1.0%
- 436.8% 10Y total return vs WTM's 156.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.39, Low D/E 6.1%, current ratio 1.24x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.2% revenue growth vs WTM's 15.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.2x vs 18.2x), PEG 0.19 vs 1.34 | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.5 vs HCI's 0.5 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.39 vs WTM's 0.40, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.0% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs WTM's 0.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +17.3% vs HCI's +2.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.2% ROA vs WTM's 9.6%, ROIC 6.8% vs 16.1% |
WTM vs HCI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
WTM vs HCI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HCI leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WTM is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.5B annually — 2.7x HCI's $927M. WTM is the more profitable business, keeping 41.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to HCI's 33.9%. On growth, HCI holds the edge at +11.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.5B | $927M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.1B | $454M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.0B | $314M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $629M | $431M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +48.3% | +66.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +44.3% | +47.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +41.8% | +33.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +25.1% | +46.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -35.5% | +11.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | +23.4% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — WTM and HCI each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 4.9x trailing earnings, WTM trades at a 21% valuation discount to HCI's 6.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), HCI offers better value at 0.13x vs WTM's 0.36x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.2B | $2.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.8B | $844M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 4.87x | 6.15x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.21x | 9.19x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.36x | 0.13x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 4.39x | 1.92x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.92x | 2.20x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.85x | 1.77x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 4.47x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HCI leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HCI delivers a 32.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $32 in annual profit, vs $22 for WTM. HCI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to WTM's 0.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HCI scores 8/9 vs WTM's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +22.2% | +32.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +9.6% | +13.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +16.1% | +6.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +15.0% | +40.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | 0.06x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $652M | -$1.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $185M | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $837M | $68M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 29.20x | 67.24x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HCI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HCI five years ago would be worth $20,530 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,966 for WTM. Over the past 12 months, WTM leads with a +17.3% total return vs HCI's +2.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HCI at 45.7% vs WTM's 13.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +2.6% | -16.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +17.3% | +2.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +44.2% | +209.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +69.7% | +105.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +156.6% | +436.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +13.0% | +45.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — WTM and HCI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HCI is the less volatile stock with a 0.39 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than WTM's 0.40 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. WTM currently trades 89.8% from its 52-week high vs HCI's 72.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.40x | 0.39x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $2333.00 | $210.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1648.00 | $136.37 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +89.8% | +72.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 29.3 | 48.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 17K | 167K |
Analyst Outlook
HCI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates WTM as "Hold" and HCI as "Buy". HCI is the only dividend payer here at 0.98% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $126.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 2 | 14 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.0% | +1.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.02 | $1.50 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.9% | +0.1% |
HCI leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 2 categories are tied.
WTM vs HCI: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is WTM or HCI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the stronger pick with 20. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 15. 0% for White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. (WTM). White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. (WTM) offers the better valuation at 4. 9x trailing P/E (18. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) a "Buy" — based on 14 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — WTM or HCI?
On trailing P/E, White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.
(WTM) is the cheapest at 4. 9x versus HCI Group, Inc. at 6. 1x. On forward P/E, HCI Group, Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: HCI Group, Inc. wins at 0. 19x versus White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. 's 1. 34x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — WTM or HCI?
Over the past 5 years, HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) delivered a total return of +105. 3%, compared to +69. 7% for White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. (WTM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HCI returned +436. 8% versus WTM's +156. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — WTM or HCI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 39β versus White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. 's 0. 40β — meaning WTM is approximately 2% more volatile than HCI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 13% for White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — WTM or HCI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is pulling ahead at 20. 2% versus 15. 0% for White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. (WTM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. grew EPS 379. 1% year-over-year, compared to 179. 8% for HCI Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, WTM leads at 32. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — WTM or HCI?
White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.
(WTM) is the more profitable company, earning 40. 9% net margin versus 33. 2% for HCI Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 40. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: WTM leads at 49. 1% versus 47. 7% for HCI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HCI leads at 73. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is WTM or HCI more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 19x versus White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. 's 1. 34x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) trades at 9. 2x forward P/E versus 18. 2x for White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. — 9. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — WTM or HCI?
In this comparison, HCI (1.
0% yield) pays a dividend. WTM does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is WTM or HCI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, HCI Group, Inc.
(HCI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 39), 1. 0% yield, +436. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (HCI: +436. 8%, WTM: +156. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between WTM and HCI?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: WTM is a small-cap deep-value stock; HCI is a small-cap high-growth stock. HCI pays a dividend while WTM does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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